Another week of pro football action is upon us, come week 11. It’s pretty crazy how short of a turnaround we get each week, as week 10 wraps up on Monday Night Football, and two days later, we’re back to betting on the NFL again.
You don’t always have to get back on the horse that quickly, but sometimes it pays to. And even if you’re not ready to place bets just yet, it sure does make sense to at least look at the early NFL betting lines.
Each week, something crazy is offered to bettors on Monday, and it’s up to us to spot it and decide what to do with the pricing.
I’m back to check out the early NFL week 11 odds, breaking down the latest lines and the matchups they’re attached to.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks Odds
Cardinals to Win+161
Seahawks to Win-181
The best game of week 11 may be the very first, as we get a potentially epic second meeting between the Cardinals and Seahawks.
Kyler Murray and co. won the first meeting in a wild overtime finish just a few weeks back, and they have been in flames ever since.
Russell Wilson hasn’t really been playing his best over the last two games, as Seattle has dropped two in a row and badly needs to get back on track. All of this understandably points to the Seahawks being favorites at home, while the last game totaling an insane 71 points has this game total pushing 60.
You can talk yourself into either side of this thing. Logic suggests the Seahawks might not drop a third straight, but it’s likely we get many points in this one, no matter who wins.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cleveland Browns Odds
Eagles to Win+158
Browns to Win-178
It’s official, the Browns are good (probably), and there’s never an appropriate time to back the Eagles.
Seriously, Cleveland really knows how to run the football, and while they’ve won ugly quite a bit in 2020, they still are grinding out wins. Cleveland is the quietest 6-3 team in existence, and they’re interesting favorites at home against a team that can’t get out of their own way.
Philly sunk to a new low this week, as they lost a game against the Giants they probably should have won. The NFC East is theirs to lose, and they’re tempting underdogs here, but this feels like a bit of a trap.
The Eagles ATS or the Browns SU are probably the best ways to go here, while Cleveland’s desire to run the ball may keep the scoring somewhat held in check.
That should give you a good head start as far as how to bet on this one, but due to the Eagles’ volatility, it may be a game to ignore altogether.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Washington Football Team Odds
Bengals (PK) +100
We’ve got a true pick’em when Joe Burrow leads his Bengals to D.C. to battle the Washington Football Team.
Cincy was embarrassed at Pittsburgh in a blowout defeat last week, but they have a winnable game on their hands here. I’d prefer to get the Bengals at dog money, though, seeing as they have to deal with a pretty strong Washington front seven.
Overall, this game does feel like a toss-up. I tend to favor the Bengals even on the road, and their offensive tempo could promote more scoring in this one than the original total might suggest.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds
Steelers to Win-435
Jaguars to Win+355
The Steelers will lose eventually, and bettors cannot rule out trap games. Last week against the Bengals was one, but the Steelers responded perfectly with a blowout win.
They almost caved in a trap game at Dallas, though, so now that they’re back on the road, we have to wonder if this is where their perfect run ends. Jacksonville did push the Packers to the limit in week 10, after all.
I tend to doubt it, and the Jags could regress again after coming so close to an upset and failing. This collectively makes this a tough one to bet on, but it remains likely that the superior Steelers cover here.
Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos Odds
Dolphins to Win -155
Broncos to Win+135
Tua Tagovailoa appears to be the real deal, but it’s this Miami defense everyone is rightfully excited about. Oh, and the Dolphins are suddenly 7-3 and look like a problem in the AFC.
The Miami Dolphins are one of the hottest, fastest-rising franchises in the NFL. They’ve won 5 in a row. They’re 3-0 behind a rookie QB, Tua, who is their future. They’re well-coached. Young. Fun. And at 6-3, they are highly, highly relevant.
This isn’t a very advantageous matchup for Lock and the Broncos. Miami feels like the team to bet on across the board, although the game total feels a bit dicey.
New York Jets vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds
Jets to Win+320
Chargers to Win-400
Under 47 -115
Oh no, Chargers. Not like this.
Judging by L.A.’s history and the fact that they have a rookie quarterback under center, it is not something bettors can write off so quickly.
Even if you don’t think this is where the Jets finally get a win, should we really bet on the Chargers to cover a thick spread like this?
I tend to think not, but when you look at L.A.’s offense and the lack of defense in this one, we may have an obvious total wager to target here.
Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds
Packers to Win+110
Colts to Win-130
Green Bay has seemingly been mispriced for much of 2020, but the top NFL sportsbooks got it right here. They have had some solid wins, but a narrow in over the one-win Jaguars last week reminded everyone of how fraudulent they appear.
This is a pretty nice opportunity for the Packers to prove themselves. They’re on the road, and they’re facing a nasty Colts defense. How will they respond?
Let’s just say I think they’re correctly labeled as the underdog here, but I do think we’re getting enough value to look at both sides. Green Bay’s offense could push the total a bit here, but Indy’s defense obviously could work against it, as well.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds
Chiefs (-7) -105
Chiefs to Win-305
Raiders to Win +255
The Raiders shoot for the season sweep this week, as they upended the Chiefs in a fun shootout earlier this year.
This one goes down in Las Vegas, and the 6-3 Raiders are looking like a mild problem. That’s especially true if they get the season series here.
Ultimately, there’s probably too much at risk to buy into Patrick Mahomes and co coming out flat. The odds favor KC responding after a week of rest, and they won’t forget their lone loss of 2020, either.
KC covering is a different story, though. The Raiders are a genuine ATS bet at home in a tense setting, while many points should be anticipated in this second meeting.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds
Rams to Win+160
Buccaneers to Win-180
One of the best games of the week goes down in Florida, as Tom Brady and the Bucs host Jared Goff and the Rams.
Brady and co. exploded for 46 points a week after getting completely shut down by the Saints.
We can’t be sure who this team really is, but the potential is there for them to be special.
The Bucs will again be tested, as the Rams have a strong defense and can hurt you in many ways on offense. L.A. at +160 is a solid value, but it’ll be awfully tough to bet against Tampa Bay at home in this spot.
If Brees isn’t playing this week, that’d drastically impact how we bet on the Falcons vs. Saints game. I still tend to favor New Orleans because they have more talent and the coaching edge, but it’s a situation to monitor.
Christian McCaffrey is also tentatively expected back. Still, NFL betting sites are likely waiting to release odds for some games until we know which players are actually suiting up this week.
Beyond that, it can pay to get a jump on the early week 11 NFL betting lines. Hopefully, doing so helps you find a bet you love.
For more NFL betting help, check out our individual game previews at our NFL picks section.
Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.
When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.