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Early 2022 Australian Open Odds and Betting Preview – Women’s Singles

| October 24, 2021 2:05 pm PDT
naomi osaka, ashleigh barty, Australian Open

Naomi Osaka is the reigning champion of the Women’s Singles tournament at the Australian Open. She won the title last February when she lost only one set in the entire event.

Can she win her third title? Oddsmakers think so, making the Japanese player the #1 favorite. However, history teaches us that when the “Happy Slam” is concerned, anything can happen.

This goes especially for the Women’s Singles tournament, which was won by eight different players since 2010.

A player who still doesn’t have an Australian Open trophy in her cupboard is the WTA no.1, Ash Barty. You can be sure that the Aussie player will do her utmost in Melbourne.

Another reason why a super-interesting tournament is expected is that we’ve seen some young players emerging over the last couple of months. They might be young, but these girls seem to have the quality needed to upset the odds.

Probably the best example is Emma Raducanu, who won the 2021 US Open at the age of 18. Can she win another Grand Slam? Early odds suggest that she might. At +750, she’s one of the top favorites for the title.

Speaking of the Australian Open odds, let’s see which prices bookies are giving three months before the start of the tournament.

Early 2022 Australian Open Odds – Women’s Singles

As you can see from the early odds, tennis bookmakers expect the Women’s Singles tournament of the 2022 Australian Open to be a battle between the reigning champ and the current WTA no.1.

Naomi Osaka won the 2021 tournament, which was her second title. Her first Australian Open triumph happened two years earlier.

When it comes to Barty, she’s the highest-ranked female player on the planet. Another reason why she needs to be thought of as a serious candidate is that she’s Australian. She’ll be the one with the crowd on her side.

Then there’s Emma Raducanu. The British player is on bettors’ radars after winning the title in New York in August.

Those three are currently the only players with the odds of under +1000, suggesting that they’re the most serious candidates.

Can Naomi Osaka Win Back-to-Back AO Titles?

The last time a player won back-to-back titles in Women’s Singles at the Australian Open was in 2012-13. That’s when Victoria Azarenka won two straight titles. Nine years later, Naomi Osaka has a chance to do the same.

The trouble is that her form doesn’t seem that great at the moment. Sure, there are more than 100 days left before the start of the tournament, but her recent record doesn’t give me any confidence.

Since winning the 2021 Australian Open, Osaka hasn’t won a single tournament. In fact, we saw her getting knocked out early on in several subsequent tournaments. Most notable examples include:

  • Round 2 loss to Karolina Muchova at WTA Miami
  • Round 1 loss to Jennifer Pegula at the WTA Rome
  • Withdrawal in Round 2 of the French Open
  • Loss to Marketa Vondrousova in Round of 16 of the Olympics in her native Japan
  • Round 2 loss to Jil Belen Teichmann at WTA Cincinnati
  • Round of 16 loss to teenager Leylah Annie Fernandez at the US Open

On the bright side for Osaka, she seems to love playing in Melbourne. In fact, she’s one of only three active WTA players who have won this Grand Slam on multiple occasions.

Osaka has won it twice so far; the other two are Serena Williams (7 AO titles) and Victoria Azarenka (2).

Ash Barty Going for Her First Australian Open Title

Barty has been at the top of the WTA Rankings for all but four weeks since 2019. Furthermore, she’s been in the top 20 since 2017, winning two Grand Slams along the way – the 2019 French Open and 2021 Wimbledon.

What’s kind of surprising is that she hasn’t achieved much in her homeland. In fact, her best achievement at the Australian Open is reaching the semi-final in 2020.

In 2021, Barty got knocked out in the quarterfinal, which came as a big surprise, considering that the Australian player entered the tournament as the #1 seed.

She’ll be the top seed in the 2022 tournament as well. However, this time, there’s going to be one major advantage for her. This time, there will be fans in the stands, probably without any limitations where the capacity is concerned.

The same wasn’t the case last February when the capacity was kept to 50% (at the most), with some matches being played behind closed doors.

One such match was the one between Barty and Muchova, which was played just one day before the fans were allowed back in.

With no supporters to cheer her on and with a controversial 10-minute medical timeout by Muchova, Barty ended up dropping her 1-0 lead, finishing her Australian Open story too soon.

A new chance for Barty comes in January, and this time, she’ll probably do way better. Does this mean she’ll win the title? I wouldn’t be surprised if she did.

Emma Raducanu to Continue Winning Grand Slams?

I think there’s a really good chance Emma Raducanu will win the Australian Open. However, I don’t think it’s going to be this one.

She’s turning 19 in November, so she’ll have plenty of opportunities to win the title. In 2022, however, I cannot see her doing it.

Raducanu did pull off one of the biggest feats in modern tennis by winning the US Open. However, I think that she still hasn’t reached the level needed to continue to win majors.

Pretty much the same goes for all the other rising stars of the WTA – Iga Świątek (20 years), Bianca Andreescu (21), Coco Gauff (17), and others.

But, what about veterans of women’s tennis like Serena Williams? Can she add the eighth Australian Open title to her collection?

Will We See Serena’s “Last Dance” in Melbourne?

At the moment of writing, Serena is the #41 player in the rankings, which is her worst position since 2018. The reason behind this is that she didn’t play too many tournaments in 2021.

One that she did play in was the 2021 Australian Open, in which she reached the semifinal stage.

Serena Williams turned 40 on September 26, which makes her the second-oldest player in the WTA Rankings. Funny enough, the oldest player on that list is her sister, Venus, who is one year her senior.

The Australian Open seems to be her favorite tournament; she’s won it seven times, which is more than any other player in the Open era.

The last time she did it was in 2017, when Serena was eight weeks pregnant. In September the same year, she gave birth to her daughter Olympia, which meant that she had to take a hiatus from tennis for several months.

This explains why she’s won only one tournament since 2017. However, 2022 might be the year when she makes her comeback to the big stage.

Knowing that she’s one of the most decorated tennis players in history, there’s no doubt that she still has the skillset needed to win the Australian Open. The big question is whether she still has the strength and endurance necessary to win a major?

Betting on the 2022 Australian Open Women’s Singles

Early odds suggest Naomi Osaka will retain her Australian Open title, but I beg to differ. In my opinion, Ash Barty is the player who should be thought of as the top favorite.

If you’re wondering why, the main reason is she’s the best female tennis player in the world. After all, she’s currently topping the WTA Rankins. Another reason is she’s playing in her native Australia. 

The fact that she still hasn’t won the Australian Open is another reason why she’ll probably be super motivated to do well in January.

If you agree with me, now is the right time to bet on Ash Barty to win the 2022 Australian Open. Why? Because the odds are bound to get shorter as time goes by. Right now, they’re really attractive, standing at +550.

For more information on betting on the Australian Open, be sure to check out our guide.

Zarko Naric

Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for GamblingSites.com in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball,  as well as some more niche sports like cycling, for example.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and so on.

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