DFS Sleeper Picks for NFL Week 9 (2020)
A week after smashing most of my NFL DFS sleepers, week eight was unkind to me in spots. Jimmy Garoppolo had an amazing matchup in front of him, and completely flatlined.
Some other games were also negatively impacted by weather, which threw a wrench in a few other daily fantasy football sleeper picks.
Fortunately, I did come away with a few solid plays. Myles Gaskins and Jamycal Hasty both found their way into the endzone, and the Miami defense was the play of the slate at that position.
It was not the best week for my value picks, but we can try again. With that, let’s see which cheap plays are worth cramming into lineups with a look at my favorite NFL DFS sleepers for week 9.
Quarterback NFL DFS Sleepers for Week 9
- Tua Tagovailoa – Dolphins ($5.5k)
- Drew Lock – Broncos ($5.2k)
- Jake Luton – Jaguars ($4.6k)
Tua was not on point in his first NFL start, but this is partially a price play, and also based on Arizona’s offensive upside. The Cardinals rank 5th in plays per game this year, and if they get out to an early lead, Tua will probably have to air it out.
I feel considerably better about Drew Lock, which might mean nothing to you after what Jimmy Garoppolo farted out last week. That said, Lock has a cannon, has a great matchup on paper, and could be throwing a lot against the Atlanta Falcons.
Lock finally showed signs of life last week, as he fired in three touchdowns, with one being the game-winner against the Chargers.
Atlanta ranks dead last against fantasy passers in 2020, and it’s likely Lock will have to take it to the air in this one. I think he finds plenty of success, of course, and that’s one reason why I like the Broncos as one of the best week 9 NFL upset picks.
I’m not especially excited to use Jake Luton, but we need to consider him after the Jaguars named him their week nine starter under center.
Jaguars’ rookie quarterback Jake Luton, a sixth-round pick from Oregon State, is expected to start Sunday against the Houston Texans.— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 2, 2020
Luton tossed 28 touchdowns for Oregon State last season, and this Jake Luton scouting report details his size, arm strength, and ability to hit the deep ball.
That may not fully get me on him, but he does have quite the weapon in D.J. Chark, and it’s worth noting that the Houston Texans rank 29th against fantasy quarterbacks this season.
Week 9 Running Back Sleeper Picks
- DeeJay Dallas – Seahawks ($5k)
- K. Dobbins – Ravens ($4.9k)
- Wayne Gallman Jr. – Giants ($4.6k)
This first play is absolutely contingent on the Seahawks again being without their top two running backs. Both Chris Carson and Carlos Hyde were out last week, and it paved the way for Dallas to bust out for 22 fantasy points.
That wouldn’t be a lock again this week even if the role is his, but he’s quite cheap for a talented player with a big role. Keep an eye on the status of Hyde and Carson this week.
Next up is Dobbins, who will be in a timeshare for as long as Mark Ingram is sidelined. He topped 100 rushing yards last week against a very good Steelers defense, so the guy is legit.
Even if Ingram makes it back this week, there is writing on the wall that indicates he won’t factor into the team’s plans. Just see what he posted on Twitter.
They change up on you quickly and the love they say the have is only conditional. God’s plan is always perfect. Stay down 21 they can’t stop what God has for you. #GodwinS #Godfidence ????⏳ pic.twitter.com/Tr6QdzJ790— Mark Ingram II (@markingram21) November 2, 2020
Lastly, we can take a look at Gallman due to his price. He managed to piece together 13 fantasy points against a supposedly stout Buccaneers defense, and for as long as Devonta Freeman is sidelined, he looks likely to soak up plenty of touches.
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Values for Week 9
- Danny Amendola – Lions ($3.7k)
- KJ Hamler – Broncos ($3.4k)
- Christian Blake – Falcons ($3k)
I highlighted Marvin Jones in my week 9 NFL DFS picks, but a nice (cheaper) pivot could be slot machine Danny Amendola. Both of these guys could benefit with Kenny Golladay likely out.
#Lions WR Kenny Golladay is expected to be out this week and will be considered week-to-week going forward with a hip injury sustained yesterday, sources say. He’ll have more tests, but that is where it stands now.— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) November 2, 2020
Amendola has been super quiet all year, but this could be the week to fire him up. Not only will a lot of ownership lean toward the more explosive Jones, but this matchup with Minnesota (30th vs. WRs) is about as good as it gets.
I am high on Lock this week, so you’ll probably want to at least consider a little exposure to some of his weapons. Pretty much any of them are fair game, but it could be time for the speedy KJ Hamler to bust out.
Hamler has sprinkled in his ability, and he finally scored last week. This could be the week where he pops off, seeing as the Falcons have allowed the second-most yards to wide receivers this year, and no team has given up more 20+ yard plays (39) through the air.
Sticking in that Broncos vs. Falcons game (which has a palatable 50 game total at BetOnline), we can probably hit the other side. Julio Jones is healthy, but Calvin Ridley is not.
That could open up some opportunities for any of Atlanta’s bench guys, but it was Christian Blake (2 catches for 14 yards) who stepped in for Ridley last week.
The real draw is the savings, of course, as Blake could be entering a starting role and comes in at the bare minimum at DraftKings in week nine.
Week 9 NFL DFS Sleepers at Tight End
- Evan Engram – Giants ($4.3k)
- Jonnu Smith – Titans ($3.9k)
- Logan Thomas – Washington ($3.7k)
Tight end continues to be a total wasteland. It’s worse than ever in week nine, as you can pay for Travis Kelce at $7.2k, or start thinking about guys priced below $6k.
Darren Waller is still on the table, too, but this feels like a good way to dig for value at the position.
Evan Engram isn’t a terrible place to start, as his role is growing (19 targets and 22 fantasy points over the last two weeks), and he faces a bad Washington defense that struggles (24th) against tight ends.
Jonnu Smith was a failure last week and is naturally very hit or miss. However, he’s also a bit of a freak, and it often takes on big play for him to pay off. That’s especially true when he’s this cheap and in a favorable spot.
He faces a good Bears defense, but one that got burned by Jared Cook last week, and has now allowed the 8th most receiving yards to the position.
Don’t forget about Logan Thomas. Washington was on a bye, so many will forget he’d been running hot with 13 and 16 fantasy points over his last two contests. New York’s defense looks better than expected, but they couldn’t stop Rob Gronkowski on Monday and Thomas beat them for a 3-42-1 line in week six.
Best Defense Sleepers for Week 9 NFL DFS
- Miami Dolphins ($2.8k)
- Denver Broncos ($2.7k)
- New York Giants ($2.7k)
Punting defense worked out last week, and honestly, it’s been the way to go for a while now.
There always seems to be one obvious defense to pay up for, but if ownership is going to gravitate that way, we can save a ton of cash and gain a huge edge on the field.
Miami was a smash hit last week, and thanks to their ability to generate pressure and force turnovers, they’re in play again. I hate the matchup on the road against the Cardinals, but perhaps the ancillary stats will make giving up points a non-issue.
I tend to like the Broncos vs. Falcons game as a nice little shootout, but I don’t think it’ll be without it’s opportunities for Denver to pay off as a defense. The Broncos have quietly been very good on defense this year, as they rank 9th against the pass, 8th in sacks, and have given up the 8th fewest rushing scores.
Matt Ryan has been known to turn the ball over before, and we know by now we can’t trust Atlanta in general. I think Denver could pay off as a cheap defense in this spot.
Recency bias can be a heck of a thing, but hey, the Giants might actually have a solid defense. New York made Tom Brady look bad for long stretches last week, and they have been quite active across the board.
The G-Men rank 7th in sacks, and have a mouth-watering matchup against Kyle Allen and the Washington Football Team. That was New York’s lone victory just two weeks ago, so the odds are decent they’re again useful in week nine.
Value is the name of the game in NFL DFS, my friends. Last week was dominated by Chiefs stacks paired with Dalvin Cook, but you still needed some NFL DFS sleepers to get to the top of the mountain.
Just look at last week’s Milly Maker, which scored 244.04 fantasy points and had cheap plays such as Kendrick Bourne, Duncan Robinson, Denzel Mims, and Miami defense.
The top plays tend to be fairly obvious, but it’s hitting on the values that can separate yourself from the pack. Hopefully my NFL DFS sleepers for week 9 do just that for you this week.
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