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DFS Picks for UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira

| November 5, 2020 8:34 am PDT
MMA DFS Picks UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira

My daily fantasy MMA picks were on point last week. I did have one pick that didn’t work out and Thiago Moises lacked any ceiling, but of the six MMA DFS picks I offered for free to our readers, five produced wins.

You can’t ask for much more than that. Short of getting a bit more upside from a value play other than Moises (and avoiding Andre Fili), my lineup did what it set out to do.

I didn’t see a ton of high upside plays I felt amazing about for last week’s event, but I think that could change this weekend for UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira.

Adam Haynes has things covered if you want to bet on UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira. Just check out his UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira predictions.

If you want some help piecing together your daily fantasy MMA lineups, consider rolling with my favorite MMA DFS picks for UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira.

Thiago Santos ($8.8k)

My gut instinct for this headlining bout was Santos by KO, and that was cemented when I took a look at Adam Haynes’ Thiago Santos vs. Glover Teixeira betting pick.

I honestly often go against Haynes, and it usually has to do with chasing upside or backing an underdog for DFS purposes. But here, Santos just feels like the younger, better fighter, who does give us that upside we covet in daily fantasy MMA.

Just look at this dude work.

Haynes points out in his matchup preview that Santos is a massive favorite (-240 odds at BetOnline), while Santos has reached the majority of his fights by KO, and he probably needs to finish Teixeira to get the win here.

Teixeira is as seasoned as they come, and there’s no denying his recent form (4-1 over his last five fights) is strong. However, Santos hasn’t been finished in two years, and the last time he fought, he went five full rounds with the legendary Jon Jones.

Before that, Santos was impressive with a finish of Jan Blachowicz, as well as two other finishes and a decision victory over Kevin Holland.

The edge is mild, but Santos offers as little more upside, and it’s possible his price tag will have him coming in with lower ownership than some other fighters.

Ramiz Brahimaj ($7.7k)

I’ll go against Haynes here, as I want some value, and I love the grappling of Rami Brahimaj.

He will have contrasting styles against Max Griffin, as Ramiz is going to go for the win on the ground (all 8 wins via submission), and Griffin wants the fight to stay on the feet.

Griffin has the wrestling and striking to win in more than one ways, but if this gets to the canvas, I have to give the edge to Brahimah. Griffin also just hasn’t shown well enough at the UFC level (3-6), and we haven’t seen him finish anyone since 2016.

Brahimaj has been able to avoid getting KO’d to this point, so if he can keep this fight in front of him and take Griffin down, I like his chances to return really nice value in MMA DFS lineups.

We need to find some underdogs that are worth backing, and can offer upside. I think there’s a chance Ramiz does that for us this weekend. No matter what happens, he’s a guy worth rooting for.

Alexander Romanov ($9k)

Back to a favorite, I go, as I really like Romanov to get an early finish in his fight against Marcos Rogerio de Lima.

Romanov impressed in his UFC debut back in September, when he dropped an Arm-Triangle Choke to beat Roque Martinez. That gave him his 12th win in 12 tries, with seven wins coming via submission, and 5 via KO.

The guy is positively relentless.

He gets probably his toughest test yet in de Lima, of course, with the Brazilian being the superior striker who can do a lot of different things well. However, he’s a bit long in the tooth, and has been pretty inconsistent with a 4-4 mark over his last eight fights.

As troubling as de Lima could be, Romanov is arguably more well-rounded, and is going to be a nightmare when this bout inevitably goes to the ground. Once there, Romanov can finish early in a multitude of ways, and I don’t think he’s going to be a guy we want to be fading.

Top MMA DFS Lineup for UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira

  • Thiago Santos ($8.8k)
  • Ramiz Brahimaj ($7.7k)
  • Alexander Romanov ($9k)
  • Xiaonan Yan ($8.3k)
  • Brendan Allen ($8.4k)
  • Luiz Eduardo Garagorri ($7.5k)

You know why I like my first three MMA DFS picks for this week, but now I’ll quickly wrap things up by tacking Xiaonan Yan, Brendan Allen, and Luiz Eduardo Garagorri to this week’s lineup.

I’ll start with Yan, who has a pretty distinct striking edge when he goes up against Claudia Gadelha. A solid fighter in her own right, Gadelha has hit the skids a bit lately with a 3-2 mark over her last five fights.

That doesn’t sound bad, but considering she was once 12-0, it’s fair to say she’s been taken down a peg or two. She’s still a good fighter, but she’s going up against a striking technician in Yan, who lands more strikes per minute, and is the more accurate hitter.

Yan also holds the edge in takedown defense and takedown accuracy – by a lot – which paints her as the more balanced and more dangerous fighter. I think it’s a good matchup that likely ends in a decision, but Yan’s significant strikes could get you 100+ points even if she can’t finish this thing.

I also really like Brendan Allen, and I’m not alone.

I don’t mean to keep going against Adam Haynes this week, but hey, he’d probably agree that this is a crazy underrated fight card with a lot of tough calls.

This is one of them, as Allen comes in red hot with seven straight wins, and he offers a nice, well-rounded skill-set. He’s also never been KO’d, and he sports better striking accuracy, as well as better takedown accuracy.

With 13 career finishes, I think he gives you a little more upside.

I’ll cap things off with Garagorri, who has one loss to his name, and will eye his 14th career win against a sliding Darren Elkins. It’s worth noting that Garaggori’s lone defeat came against the talented Ricardo Ramos, too.

Elkins is a good, experienced fighter who has no qualms with getting physical, but he is in a tough slide with four straight defeats. That hasn’t stopped him from being a big favorite, but Garagorri just seems more dangerous at this point.

He got stopped in his last fight, but that was his first loss, and he was the one doing the finishing in six of his previous seven bouts. With Elkins on his way down, I like chasing the upside here.

Per usual, I’m assuming some risk with my MMA DFS picks going into UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira. Most of it is calculated, however, and in this sport, there’s rarely anything called a bad gamble.

You can roll with my MMA DFS picks, or take my favorite plays (and Haynes’ betting insight) over to the best UFC sportsbooks.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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