DFS Picks and Recommended Lineup for the 2021 NASCAR Quaker State 400
It’s been a pretty solid run lately when it comes to my NASCAR DFS picks. I’ve nailed some winners, and just last week Chase Elliott made me look smart, as well.
My lineups have been cashing as of late, and I can only hope my daily fantasy NASCAR picks and lineup advice has assisted you, as well.
That’s the goal again this weekend, as the best drivers in the Cup Series hope to take down the checkered flag at Kentucky Speedway.
This is quite the change in pace from recent events, as endurance will be tested throughout an insane 400-mile course. Brad Keselowski (three wins) is the most successful driver in this event, while Cole Custer shocked with a victory here in 2020.
Let’s dive into this marathon with my top three NASCAR DFS picks for the week, along with my favorite lineup.
Martin Truex Jr. ($9k)
Too cheap. I won’t fault you for going back to the Kyle Larson well. He had that crazy winning streak, and he’s been the best driver in 2021.
Larson is the betting favorite at the top sites for betting on NASCAR, too, so there’s that.
But Truex Jr. is tied for the fourth-best odds to win this weekend, and he’s won the Quaker State 400 twice before. His most recent win came in 2018, when he won his second in a row.
It’s been a couple of years since he crossed the finish line first, but the history and track success is encouraging, and the guy is kind of good.
Seriously, how is he this cheap?
Truex Jr. projects well (fourth-best projection according to RotoGrinders.com), he’s not even expected to be that highly owned, and he’s had a fantastic 2021 season.
In fact, he’s in a position to make the Championship 4, and is at the very least one of the top contenders to do so in 2021.
He’s really done it all, as he has three wins under his belt, he’s finished inside the top-10 on 10 different occasions, and he even has solid recent form.
Truex Jr. has stayed in races (9th and 11th) in his last two runs, and he could be trending in the right direction again. At this price, he’s a core play for me.
Kurt Busch ($8.4k)
Another guy with a nice price is Kurt Busch. His brother Kyle is the far more dominant driver at this stage in their respective careers, but Kurt can still be useful.
His history at this event doesn’t hurt his argument at all, as Busch won here in 2019. He’s also been on a bit of a heater at Kentucky Speedway in general.
Here’s a quick look at his last four finishes here.
- 2020: 5th
- 2019: 1st
- 2018: 6th
- 2017: 30th
- 2016: 4th
Those are his only top-5 runs here in his career, but he’d been plenty competitive with five top-19 finishes before that.
Busch has a lot more going for him, too. He’s among the drivers still in contention for the 2021 NASCAR Playoffs, and he’s in solid form.
A 4th place finish last week is worth noting, while Busch has finished 10th or better in five of his last six races.
The form is good, the history is good, the incentive is there, and Busch is a solid price. Oh, and he’s not even a good bet to garner serious ownership this week. Consider all the boxes checked, my friends.
Chase Briscoe ($6.4k)
Here’s your big punt for the 2021 Quaker State 400. If you need a sleeper for this week and/or want to save some cash, Briscoe could be your guy.
Briscoe only has three top-10 runs and no wins in 2021, but he’s been very competitive. He finished 6th last week and has been useful (22+ fantasy points) in 7 of his last 10 events.
The 26-year-old has only been rolling in the Cup Series for this season, but he’s racked up a little experience at Kentucky Speedway.
Briscoee also pops in the RotoGrinders projections, as he’s coming in with the third most expected fantasy points. The ownership will be high, but this could be good chalk worth eating.
Top NASCAR DFS Lineup for July 11th
- Martin Truex Jr. ($9k)
- Kurt Busch ($8.4k)
- Chase Briscoe ($6.4k)
- Tyler Reddick ($7.1k)
- Joey Logano ($8.8k)
- William Byron ($10k)
Truex Jr. and Busch are two living legends that look like fantastic plays at discounted salaries. Everything looks good about them, while Briscoe is shaping up as the best sleeper of the week.
Of course, as is always the case, you will absolutely want to keep an eye on exactly where these guys start the race. That isn’t known as I push out this week’s NASCAR DFS picks, so adjust as needed once final starting spots are public.
To fill out the rest of the roster, let’s break down the other three drivers I like for the 2021 Quaker State 400.
Elsewhere, I really like Tyler Reddick for additional savings. He’s another guy that is still fighting to survive the 2021 NASCAR cut line, plus he’s pretty cheap, and also happens to be in good form.
Reddick has finished 8th and 9th over his last two events and has 11 top-10 finishes in 2021.
He’s also shown well at Kentucky Speedway, scoring a 10th place finish here last year, and also finishing 3rd and 6th at this track for the Alsco 300 in 2019 and 2018.
Another guy that stands out is Joey Logano. Logano is priced close to Truex and could be a fine pivot, but I like the idea of just pairing them together.
He’s just too cheap for the upside he brings to the table.
The guy has been in the mix in a ton of races this year. He already has a win under his belt, and he’s been inside the top-10 in 15 different races.
Logano has also had success at this course. He finished 2nd here back in 2015 and has been 10th or better in five races here.
Lastly, I really like William Byron. There is a lot playing into this. For one, he’s in the same price range as Kyle Busch and Chase Elliott – both of which project better and will be high-owned.
This is also another fantastic driver below two other studs that people may want to pay for (Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney). I won’t fault those that do, but Byron has had an amazing season and should be looking to bounce back after finishing 33rd last week.
Before that, Byron had cracked the top-10 in 16 different races and scored a win. He’s also done well at this track, finishing 11th here in 2020, and 18th the year prior.
His experience here isn’t amazing, but Byron’s overall 2021 form certainly is. I love the idea that last week’s finish and the surrounding talent could suppress his ownership, and that’s the play here for me.
Betting on the 2021 Quaker State 400
Hopefully, my NASCAR DFS picks for the 2021 Quaker State 400 are of good use. It’s possible you can even use some of my top plays in the betting realm.
After all, I have been hitting on 1st place finishers lately.
The other drivers are always in play if you don’t mind a little risk, but the aforementioned four are serious threats to win.
I am just one voice in your plight to make money betting on NASCAR, though.
Be sure to stop by our NASCAR betting picks section to see what in-house NASCAR betting expert Adam Haynes has to say about this weekend’s race.