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DFS Picks for NFL Week 10 (2020)

| November 10, 2020 4:50 am PDT
DFS Picks for NFL Week 10 (2020)

If you’re coming to us for daily fantasy football advice, you’ll know it’s been a solid run. Last week I delivered a smash hit, as Josh Allen approached 40 fantasy points.

The rest of my daily fantasy football picks struggled to pan out, but Marvin Jones Jr. did find the end-zone. Noah Fant also may have been better had he not gotten hurt, and I don’t have a clue why the Pittsburgh Steelers decided to limit James Conner’s workload.

It wasn’t a total demolition across the board, but the Josh Allen play alone should have sent you down the right path.

Hopefully we can hit on more NFL DFS picks for week 10. Hit up the early week 10 NFL betting lines to gauge which DFS environments are worth attacking.

For your core, though, you may want to start your process with these plays.

Jared Goff, QB, Rams ($6.5k)

If it isn’t broken, don’t fix it, right? Now, Jimmy Garoppolo face planted in the dreamy matchup against the Seattle Seahawks, but basically every other quarterback they’ve faced went off.

Seriously, even Nick Mullens put up over 200 yards and two scores, and he did that in less than one half of play.

Things set up quite nicely for Jared Goff this week. A solid run defense funnels production through the air against Seattle, who rank dead last in fantasy points per game allowed to passers on the season.

Josh Allen just abused them in week nine, so there isn’t much reason to get cute here. Goff has flashed his upside this year, too, as he hung 31 fantasy points on the Bills, and has topped 24 fantasy points three times. Make it a fourth in week 10.

The top sites for betting on the NFL set this game’s total at 55.5. It might even get higher. Even if it fails to hit the Over, this game still has insane upside, and Goff is easy and logical exposure to it.

Think Goff isn’t worth it this week? Justin Herbert is a fine pivot at $6.6k.

He has a much tougher matchup against a pretty good Miami defense, but he’s put up 23+ fantasy points in five straight games. You can also pay up for Aaron Rodgers or Kyler Murray on this slate, but I like Goff’s price, matchup, and upside.

Aaron Jones, RB, Packers ($7.1k)

While Green Bay’s week 10 date with the Jaguars could give way to another big game for Aaron Rodgers, I tend to think this is an Aaron Jones week.

There is always risk in using a guy the Packers have held out due to injury concerns, but Jones had 20 touches in his first game back. I think he’s going to be just fine, folks.

This week, Jones has a much higher ceiling than he did against the 49ers. Jacksonville enters as a massive 14-point underdog, and while I have them beating that spread in my week 10 NFL locks, I still think this is a game where the Packers not only win, but dominate on the ground.

The same matchup looked great for David Johnson last week, but he exited with a concussion. Backup Duke Johnson turned 20 touches into 73 total yards and a score, and we all know Aaron Jones is the far more accomplished player.

Jacksonville ranks 27th against fantasy backs in 2020, while they’ve especially had difficulty keeping them out of the end-zone (11 touchdowns allowed), or tracking them in space.

This all makes Jones stand out, as he has 30-point upside in this spot, and isn’t even priced like the stud he actually is.

Not down to roster Jones? Alvin Kamara is just $1.1k more this week, and continues to be a tough guy to fade in all formats.

Michael Thomas, WR, Saints ($7.4k)

It is going to be awfully hard to fade Thomas at this price. He has not been a major factor in two games this year, but he was hurt in week one, and really wasn’t needed in his return in week nine.

This could be the perfect time to jump on him, as there are far better plays on paper, and Thomas still isn’t cheap considering the weak production he’s posted to this point.

But if you only draft guys based on what they have done, and not for what they could do, you’re doing DFS wrong. Thomas has monster upside here, especially if we’re to ever expect him to be the guy he was in 2019 again.

That, and we just saw Davante Adams carve up a now severely weakened Niners defense to the tune of a 10-173-1 stat line (36 fantasy points). I’m not saying we need to blindly target receivers against San Francisco suddenly, but Thomas is about $2k too cheap for his ability and upside in this spot.

You don’t have to pay for Thomas to get production. He’s just my favorite play at wide receiver this week. Davante Adams has been unstoppable, DeAndre Hopkins is in for a bounce-back game, and Keenan Allen has seen 11+ targets in six of his last seven games.

Evan Engram, TE, Giants ($4.3k)

No, this isn’t a daily fantasy football sleepers pick. It probably should be, but the tight end position is a wasteland thanks to the main slate not having Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, or a healthy George Kittle.

You can pay up for Darren Waller, but this position is absent of any reliable options. I’ll have to try to capitalize on role, matchup, and talent here, and I think that makes Engram a pretty good play.

He’s been criticized for drops this year, but in week nine, we were reminded of what he can do.

Engram has quietly been solid lately, as he’s garnered 9+ targets in each of his last three games, and parlayed that into 10, 12, and 15-point fantasy outings.

Are we seeing the early stages of a breakout? That could be the case, while it’s also worth noting that he gets an Eagles defense that ranks 30th in fantasy points allowed to the position.

Dallas Goedert is a fine pivot in that same game, but I like the targets Engram has been getting, as well as the matchup.

New Orleans Saints Defense ($3k)

The Saints stand out as one of the best week 10 NFL DFS picks, especially after completely blasting Tom Brady and the Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football.

I’d be interested in this play, regardless, as the Saints play host to a truly mangled 49ers team. San Francisco struggled to get anything going against the Packers last Thursday, and this is a way tougher matchup on paper.

New Orleans has a very good run defense, they can generate pressure, and I think they can force some more turnovers here. They’re not just one of the top plays, but they’re also a fantastic value.

Summary

These options stand out as some of the best NFL DFS picks for week 10. I don’t see much reason to go away from targeting the Seahawks, so you can fire up Jared Goff with confidence.

That also means you should be able to stack the Rams, with wide receivers Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods looking like great plays. I’m not sure they’re better options than Michael Thomas, however, as I want a lot of exposure to him at this price tag in his second game back from injury.

Aaron Jones also looks like a smash play this week, while Evan Engram is a solid value in a bad field for tight ends. New Orleans wraps things up for this week’s daily fantasy football picks, but there is more work to be done.

Later in the week, you’ll also find my top NFL DFS sleepers for the week, as well as my favorite NFL DFS lineups. For all kinds of other fantasy sports advice, just check here.

If you need some more insight, feel free to leave a comment below. Thanks for stopping by, and good luck in week 10!

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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