DFS Picks for the Divisional Round of the 2021 NFL Playoffs
The Divisional Round of the 2021 NFL playoffs is here. Just eight teams are left, and four games will sound off, with two coming on Saturday and two more coming on Sunday.
It’s an intense week of football, but with the condensed slate, the DFS sites are offering a full two-game slate immediately. That wasn’t the case at first last week, and with three-game slates, I gladly offered breakdowns, and NFL DFS picks for both days.
Last week’s daily fantasy football picks were solid, too.
I was all over the Browns defense, while I also vouched for Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jonathan Taylor, Stefon Diggs, Antonio Brown, Jack Doyle, Kareem Hunt, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Michael Thomas.
My NFL DFS lineups were held back by Ronald Jones Jr. not playing, Corey Davis getting zero, and Derrick Henry having his worst game of the year. Hopefully, you worked your way around those lineup-sinkers and managed to win.
I think I can hand out solid lineups again this week, so join me for my NFL DFS picks, sleepers, and lineup help for the 2021 NFL Divisional Round.
Before you do, of course, be sure to brush up on the betting side of things by taking a look at my early 2021 NFL Divisional Round odds breakdown.
Top NFL DFS Picks for Divisional Round
- Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens ($7.6k)
- Cam Akers, RB, Rams ($5.7k)
- Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs ($8k)
- Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs ($7.8k)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense ($3.1k)
This slate is loaded at quarterback. The best options are pretty pricey, and beyond them, you’re dancing between bad matchups and amazing value.
Potentially getting Aaron Rodgers at $6.9k looks great on paper, but the Rams defense he’s facing is no joke. I mean, there’s a reason I am taking the Rams in my 2021 NFL Divisional Round upset picks.
All roads lead to Jackson, who I went with last week, and he responded with a cool 28 fantasy points.
He has one of the better matchups on paper, as Buffalo has issues against the run, and that’s kind of what Jackson and the Ravens do.
Akers is a total monster. He hung 176 total yards, and a score on a pretty good Seahawks run defense. Green Bay’s defense is a little better than people think, but I didn’t like them more than Seattle. Akers could crush again, and he’s way too cheap.
Hill is a stud, and you’ll want exposure to the Chiefs. Heck, give me Kelce, too. I don’t need to pay the extra $400 to get Mahomes here, but I do want his weapons.
The Chiefs get a Browns defense that just let Ben Roethlisberger pass for over 500 yards, after all.
I don’t really want to pay up for a defense this week. If I must, maybe I’d go with the Bucs.
I don’t think any defense is in a smash spot, but Drew Brees has seemed washed for stretches this year, and Tampa Bay should be out for blood after getting smoked the last time they played New Orleans.
Divisional Round NFL DFS Sleepers
- Baker Mayfield, QB, Browns ($5.3k)
- Devin Singletary, RB, Bills ($4.5k)
- Josh Reynolds, WR, Rams ($3.2k)
- Austin Hooper, TE, Browns ($3.8k)
- Los Angeles Rams Defense ($2.6k)
There is some nice value to consider on this slate, and it could all start with Baker Mayfield. The best way to attack the Kansas City Chiefs is on the ground, but most NFL betting sites have this game listed with the highest total (54.5).
In a likely shootout, Mayfield could be quite busy, and it’s possible he destroys this price tag.
He may not be totally necessary depending on how you’re building your Divisional Round DFS lineups, of course.
Singletary may be a lock for me. He has had fumble issues in the past, but he’s a terrific athlete that could be looking at a huge role with Zack Moss (ankle) on the shelf.
Report: Bills fear Zack Moss could be out for rest of playoffs https://t.co/nWEAseNNue— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) January 9, 2021
Cooper Kupp is also banged up, so it’s possible one of the cheap Rams wide receivers becomes useful.
That’s probably Josh Reynolds for me, especially with Robert Woods likely drawing shadow coverage from Jaire Alexander. Just don’t leave Van Jefferson out of your player pool if you’re mass entering lineups.
Austin Hooper was involved in Cleveland’s offense last week and probably should have had two scores. In a likely shootout, he could be very busy against a KC defense that has struggled against tight ends.
I am likely saving some cash by punting at defense this week. Do I love the idea of targeting the league’s #1 offense? No, but the Rams have a shutdown corner and perhaps the best overall defensive player in the league in Aaron Donald.
If those guys have their say, a normally careful and efficient Packers offense could have a real problem on their hands.
Top NFL DFS Lineup for the Divisional Round
- QB: Lamar Jackson – Ravens ($7.6k)
- RB: Cam Akers – Rams ($5.7k)
- RB: Devin Singletary – Bills ($4.5k)
- WR: Tyreek Hill – Chiefs ($8k)
- WR: Allen Lazard – Packers ($3.9k)
- WR: Cole Beasley – Bills ($4.9k)
- TE: Travis Kelce – Chiefs ($7.8k)
- FLEX: Kareem Hunt – Browns ($4.8k)
- DEF: Los Angeles Rams ($2.6k)
There are too many options on this slate, so you have to pick your spots. Jackson is a little cheaper than Mahomes and offers insane rushing upside, so he’s my favorite play at quarterback.
Alvin Kamara is probably the only expensive running back really worth our time, but he faces a nasty Buccaneers run defense (6th vs. RBs). He’s not some awful play, but I’ll just soak up the value with Akers (it’s okay if he’s chalky).
The same goes for Singletary and Hunt. The latter has some revenge on the brain and should be involved no matter what the game script is, and if any Bills running backs are going to do anything, Singletary is the guy to roster there.
My spends are Hill and Kelce.
Kelce is the priority at a bad position, and Hill is just a pivot away from Diggs and Adams. In tournaments, I might play the ownership game and simply roster the guy who is most contrarian, but Hill stands out withy (by far) the most appealing matchup.
Fading Diggs and Adams still doesn’t mean I shouldn’t get exposure to their games. Lazard has been too quiet, and if the Packers do stand a chance this week, I bet he needs to get involved.
The same goes for Beasley, who may need to step up with Baltimore potentially containing Diggs.
The Rams defense makes this all work. This play is more about the savings and the fact that they are really good than the thought of them completely shutting down the league’s top-scoring offense.
Of course, I do have the Rams winning this week, so maybe they’re just flat out the top play at the position.
NFL Divisional Round Betting Advice
At the end of my NFL DFS picks last week, I handed out a little parting advice for anyone looking to bet on NFL playoff games.
The main message was to just check out content we have on this site, but also to consider any correlation between how you play NFL DFS and how you might bet.
A big one for me was the fact that I loved the Ravens and Browns. That led me to being very high on those teams to win, and it had me getting exposure to their squads in my daily fantasy football lineups, too.
That helped, but it also kept me away from what probably won most tournaments; a Steelers passing game stack.
You definitely want to think of both sides of the coin when nailing in your Divisional Round DFS picks, but for the betting aspect, you just want to convert some bets.
When looking at my NFL DFS picks for this week, I think you can translate the Rams defense and Akers play into L.A. at least beating the spread, and a full-blown upset isn’t out of the question.
For a little more insight into how to bet on the NFL playoffs this week, check out our NFL picks.