DFS Picks for the 2021 Valero Texas Open

| March 30, 2021 8:44 am PDT

So much for having to decide whether or not to cough up $11.8k for Dustin Johnson. DJ’s withdrawal on Monday afternoon takes care of that but know that it’ll send the ownership soaring for some of the other top names in the field.

So, here’s a strategy to consider.

Fade Jordan Spieth and Scottie Scheffler when you’re finalizing your Valero Texas Open DFS picks. Not because each guy isn’t due to play well – but because they both cost well over $10k and their popularity will be through the roof.

Instead, anchor your GPP lineup on DraftKings with another reliable Texas native.

Ryan Palmer – $9,400

Ranked outside of the top 80 this time last year, Ryan Palmer’s surge up the Official World Golf Ranking has been fast and furious.

Currently slotted 26th, it’s not often we see 44-year-old golfers experience this type of upward trajectory this late into their career.

Why the sudden shift?

Incredibly stout iron play (18th in GIR) and significant improvement on the greens (23rd in putting average). 17th or better in six of his last nine starts, Palmer’s seemingly always a great play on DraftKings. 3rd on the PGA Tour in birdie average.

Charley Hoffman – $9,200

After researching his past results at this venue and combining it with his current form, here’s my recommendation.

Just eat the chalk on Charley Hoffman as one of your DFS picks for the Valero Texas Open.

Not only has he won here and finished 2nd a couple of times – Hoffman landed 13th or better at the Oaks Course seven times in seven years (2010-2016).

Charley has tallied a pair of top-10s since the middle of February and closed with 67 at TPC Sawgrass (T17 at THE PLAYERS).

For what’s it worth, he was inside the top-10 with two holes to play in Puntacana this past weekend. 

Si Woo Kim – $8,900

Three missed cuts, a WD, and a couple of other finishes outside of the top 50.

While it hasn’t been the most consistent season from Si Woo Kim, he won The American Express and pocketed around $340k for cracking the top 10 at THE PLAYERS.

Perhaps this will be another week that Kim’s bank account receives a jolt. Kim finished 4th the last time he was here (2019) and placed 22nd in 2017.

His ability to keep his ball down (in the wind) lines him up to be a perennial contender at this layout.

Branden Grace – $7,800

Showcased as one of my sleeper picks for the Valero Texas Open, Branden Grace makes a lot of sense in GPPs on DK. Ryan Moore is going to eat up a chunk of ownership at $7,900, and Charles Howell III will get plenty of consideration at this same price.

Why not pivot to Branden Grace and expose yourself to a potential difference-maker in your lineup?

Branden won a month ago in Puerto Rico and registered top-10s in each of his last two trips to TPC San Antonio (2016, 2017).

Erik van Rooyen – $7,500

Priced the same as “Philly Mick” and $100 more than a red-hot Sam Ryder, rostering Erik van Rooyen gives your Valero Texas Open DFS picks a real chance at standing out.

Keep in mind, if you want to be in the running to win the big bucks on DraftKings, you have to be willing to roll the dice on a somewhat unproven player.

Frankly, Van Rooyen’s not even unproven – he was a top-40 player in the world when play was halted last March.

Winning his group in Austin and going toe-to-toe with Jon Rahm in the round of 16 should give Erik a little pep in his step as he saunters into San Antonio.

Chase Seiffert – $7,100

Currently riding a streak of three straight top-20s, who knows how long Chase Seiffert will continue his rush of steady play. With that said, it seems safe to hop on his coattails this week at $7,100. This price tag is especially warranted at this particular golf course.

On and around the greens – the 29-year-old Florida native is below average and has lots of room to improve. The good news is the premium at the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio is placed on ball-striking.

That’s where Chase makes his hay (29th in SG: Approach, 36th in Proximity).

My 2021 Valero Texas Open DFS Lineup for GPPs

  • Ryan Palmer: $9,400
  • Charley Hoffman: $9,200
  • Si Woo Kim: $8,900
  • Branden Grace: $7,800
  • Erik van Rooyen: $7,500
  • Chase Seiffert: $7,100

Ryan Palmer and Charley Hoffman were already going to be popular plays. On the heels of Dustin Johnson’s withdrawal, Palmer and Hoffman will be even trendier DFS picks for the Valero Texas Open.

Si Woo Kim and Branden Grace may get a bit of love, and you won’t be the only one tuned in to Chase Seiffert’s recent surged. There’s no reason to panic, though.

Not many will be clicking on Erik van Rooyen and the lineup above leaves $100 on the table.

For more betting tips for the Valero Texas Open, check out the best bets and picks to win.

Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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