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DFS Picks for the 2020 NASCAR Season Finale 500

| November 6, 2020 3:54 am PDT
NASCAR DFS Picks 2020 Season Finale 500

It all comes down to this. The best drivers in NASCAR will duke it out for the title this weekend, with Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, and Joey Logano all still having a shot.

They won’t be alone, of course. The other drivers will be there to make life difficult on them, and also try to win the 2020 Season Finale 500.

While the main talking point is who ends up being the champion for the entire season, we still want to correctly gauge who will fare the best in this specific event.

I’m here to do that for the DFS side of things.

For what it’s worth, my NASCAR DFS picks were pretty good last week. I loved Joey Logano and he finished third at the Xfinity 500.

Alex Bowman was another favorite of mine and he was a rock solid 6th, while Ty Dillon ended up being an amazing value thanks to a 16th place finish.

Who can we trust in our lineups for this weekend? Let’s find out as I break down my top NASCAR DFS picks for the 2020 Season Finale 500.

Joey Logano ($10k)

I think Kevin Harvick is really sneaky this weekend, just because he’s so expensive, and he can’t win the season championship.

That’s one way to go, but I’ll ride Logano for the second week in a row. He’s been good to me throughout 2020, and he’s got terrific form with 2nd, 1st, 10th, and 3rd place runs over his last four races.

He’s also going for his second NASCAR title, so there’s that.

Seriously, Logano is rolling right now, and this hot streak could not be coming at a better time.

Let’s also not forget that he won his last race at this track (FanShield 500) earlier this year. He’s also finished 9th and 10th in his previous two stops here.

The top NASCAR betting websites have Logano tied for second with +450 odds. I love the form, the course history, and his motivation with a shot at the title on the line.

Aric Almirola ($7.8k)

I have gone back to Almirola many times this year. He has zero wins in 2020, but he plays certain courses very well, and he’s consistently in the thick of the majority of his races.

Almirola is nicely priced for this weekend, even though he finished 7th last week, and now owns 21 runs inside the top-10.

He isn’t a real threat to win here, but I love the value and his ability to at least keep things competitive.

Denny Hamlin ($10.3k)

My other stud I will pay for is Hamlin. He’s a major discount compared to the likes of Martin Truex Jr., he won here last year, and he’s got a shot at the season title if he does well.

None of that guarantees a thing, but this is still one of the best drivers in the game. He has seven wins on the year, has cracked the top-10 on 22 different occasions, and he’s got something to play for.

That, and it’s somewhat possible he gets a bit overlooked here. Hamlin hasn’t exactly been crushing it lately, after all. He’s been fine, but hasn’t finished better than 9th since winning the YellaWood 500.

Hamling is a real threat to repeat here as he eyes a season championship. You gotta pay up at least twice this week.

Best NASCAR DFS Lineup for the Season Finale 500

  • Joey Logano ($10k)
  • Aric Almirola ($7.8k)
  • Denny Hamlin ($10.3k)
  • Ty Dillon ($6k)
  • Ryan Newman ($6.5k)
  • Alex Bowman ($9k)

I am high on Logano and Hamlin for this race, and Almirola is a fine intermediate option. We’ll have to save cash somewhere, so I’ll go back to the Ty Dillon well, and also roster Ryan Newman.

Neither of these guys are necessarily “safe”, but Dillon ran well last week, and has been fairly competitive at this track. With finishes of 15th, 20th, 15th, and 19th in his last four tries (including an 11th place run in 2017), I like his chances to at least hang around and get us some nice place differential points.

Newman is past his prime, to be sure, but he can still be a pretty competitive driver. He won’t win and he isn’t a realistic threat to even push for the top-10, but he’s finished 18th, 19th, and 22nd over his last three runs.

That’d be good enough for this race, and Newman is another guy who has handled this course well. He’s finished 18th, 12th, 11th, 11th, 20th, 1st, and 12th in his last seven trips to Phoenix Raceway, so he looks to be as good of a value pick as anyone.

I’ll wrap things up with Bowman, who worked out nicely last week, and has been really pushing for his second win of 2020. He’s finished 6th, 5th, 3rd, and 8th over his last four races.

He also hasn’t dipped outside of the top-16 in his last 10 tries.

Bowman hasn’t been particularly impressive at Phoenix Raceway, but he finished 14th here earlier this season, and had a career-best 6th place run back in 2016. I think his recent form and price are the main selling points here, of course.

Overall, I like this lineup, but I suggest rolling out several different NASCAR DFS lineups this weekend. Whatever you do, thanks for stopping by, and good luck!

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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