Betting Odds and Match Prediction for Daniel Jacobs vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.
Daniel Jacobs (35-3 29 KOs) makes his long-awaited return to the ring against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (51-3-1-1 No Contest) on December 20 at the Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix.
Having dropped a decision loss at middleweight to “Canelo” Alvarez in May this year, Jacobs has made the decision to move up to 168 pounds to face the son of Mexico’s most beloved boxer, Julio Cesar Chavez.
Chavez Jr.’s career has failed to match the huge hype that surrounded him as he worked his way up the ranks since the beginning of the decade. However, a first-round knockout of the relatively unknown Evert Bravo at light heavyweight has him looking for a chance to get himself back on track.
Jacobs, known as the “Miracle Man” to fans, should be the clear favorite for this one at the top boxing betting sites, despite having never fought at super middleweight before.
That said, there will be some who will be expecting Chavez to put up a much better fight than these odds, courtesy of BetNow, suggest he will. Let’s check out the Daniel Jacobs vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. betting odds and my prediction.
Latest Jacobs vs. Chavez Jr. Betting Odds
If you’re thinking of betting on Jacobs to beat Chavez Jr., the moneyline odds aren’t going to be in your favor. As you can see, you will get -2250 on Jacobs putting the Mexican to the sword.
If Mexican boxing royalty is something you cannot back against, Chavez Jr. is +1200 to beat Jacobs. If he can do it, you can bet it will register as one of the biggest sporting shocks of 2019.
That’s right. It would be a huge shock to see Jacobs lose this fight. If he did lose by way of decision – or in any controversial way whatsoever – expect the boxing world to lose their minds.
Why? Well, I’ll explain that after we take a look at the vital stats for both men.
|Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.||Daniel Jacobs|
Introducing Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.
Alright, let’s get into it.
Despite being the son of one of the all-time greats, Jr. has never really been a popular figure in the world of boxing. Now, you have to kind of cut the guy a little bit of slack for having huge shoes to fill, but there have been certain times when he just hasn’t helped himself.
Footage released after the embarrassing loss to Canelo showed the Mexican boxer partying with strangers in his room. Afterward, it was revealed that some of the women involved in his post-fight blowout had robbed him, if his wife is to be believed.
Chavez’s appetite for partying – or just his plain appetite – has been known for a long time. The guy took an extended break after the Canelo fight, and most thought he was done, so it is somewhat surprising that he has been given this chance against Jacobs.
More than that, it is surprising that this fight is happening at all, given that Chavez was suspended by the Nevada State Athletic Commission ahead of the fight with Jacobs.
According to reports, Chavez failed to agree to a drug test, which is a massive red flag. Especially for a guy that has been accused of cheating in fights for the better part of his career.
Among the accusations aimed at Chavez are steroid use and unfair advantages with rehydration. Of course, these are just accusations. Nothing has been proven, and he has been sanctioned to fight, but not in Las Vegas, where the bout was initially set to go down.
Anyway, that aside, Chavez is clearly aiming to get himself back into the good books by beating Jacobs. To say that he has a stern test on his hands would be an understatement, but he clearly wants at least one more crack at glory before he hangs up his gloves.
Chavez Jr.’s Form in His Last Five
- Evert Bravo – Win by KO in August 2019
- Canelo Alvarez – Loss by UD in May 2017
- Dominik Britsch – Win by UD in December 2016
- Marcos Reyes – Win by UD in July 2015
- Andrzej Fonfara – Loss by RTD in April 2015
As mentioned earlier, Chavez made a return to the ring following a 25-month layoff in August. He sparked Colombia’s Evert Bravo out in just one round, immediately setting himself up for a shot at Jacobs.
It’s amazing how being the son of Julio Cesar Chavez Sr. can afford you such opportunities, isn’t it?
His father was over the moon in May 2017 when he was absolutely outclassed in every department against Canelo. At one point, I was expecting the elder Chavez to grab the mic and publically disown his son before waving adoption papers in Canelo’s face.
Before that fight, Chavez beat Dominik Britsch by unanimous decision, but this was another fight that didn’t really do a great deal for his profile. The German was a regional-level fighter that had two losses against opponents that were on his level.
Prior to that fight, the Mexican beat Marcos Reyes by unanimous decision. This got him back in the winning column following an RTD loss to Poland’s Andrzej Fonfara in a WBC light heavyweight title clash.
Anyway, here’s Danny Jacobs.
Introducing Danny Jacobs
In many ways, Danny Jacobs is the polar opposite to Chavez Jr.
Here is a guy that exemplifies hard work at all times and exudes model professionalism. A slick boxer with awesome fundamentals, it is no surprise to see so much love for The Miracle Man in the boxing world.
In case you are not aware of the significance of his ring name, Jacobs is someone who has overcome some pretty dark stuff.
In 2011, Jacobs was paralyzed when a tumor grew over his spine. This confined the then 24-year-old to a wheelchair, and the chances of him competing ever again looked slim to none. Worse than that, the malignant bone cancer he was diagnosed with, osteosarcoma, was a genuine threat to his life.
Just 17 months later, Jacobs had fought through the treatment and emerged back to his best. He returned to the ring, putting together a string of ten wins before he lost by way of a controversial decision to Gennady Golovkin.
Since that loss to Golovkin, Jacobs has had mixed fortunes.
Let’s check out his recent form.
Jacobs’ Form in His Last Five
- Canelo Alvarez – Loss by UD in May 2019
- Sergiy Derevyanchenko – Win by SD in October 2018
- Maciej Sulecki – Win by UD in April 2018
- Luis Arias – Win by UD in November 2017
- Gennady Golovkin – Loss by UD in March 2017
When Jacobs gloved up to face Canelo in May 2019, he was the consensus third-best middleweight on the planet.
Jacobs was expected to fight smart against the Mexican, using his skills and hand speed to try and outwork the top man of the division. Unfortunately, he failed to trouble Canelo at all and lost the fight without showing what he was truly capable of.
Prior to that bout, Jacobs went toe to toe with the rough Sergiy Derevyanchenko in October 2018 to win the vacant IBF middleweight strap. Once again, this was not the performance that fans had expected from the Brooklyn native.
He did floor the Ukrainian in the first round but ultimately failed to dominate. That said, Derevyanchenko’s performance over Golovkin this year proved that Jacobs’ win was probably more impressive than first thought.
Ironically, there were many who believed that Golovkin earned a controversial win against the Brooklynite in Madison Square Garden in March 2017. That night, Jacobs proved to the world that he has the talent, strength, and boxing capabilities to hang with the best in the world.
Jacobs outboxed Maciej Sulęcki in April 2018, which was, for the most part, a solid performance.
A few months prior to that bout, Jacobs earned a solid win on the judges’ scorecards over Luis Arias in what was his return to the ring following the huge disappointment against Golovkin.
The loss to Golovkin in March 2017 was his first taste of defeat since July 2010. Oh, what could have been.
Betting on Jacobs vs. Chavez Jr.
Daniel Jacobs wants to show what he can do at super middleweight, following losses to the big two of Golovkin and Canelo at 160.
However, with Canelo’s future unsure, it remains to be seen if this is the right move. There are some big fights at 168 for Jacobs – such as Britain’s Callum Smith and Billy Joe Saunders – but he must first dispatch of Chavez.
Jacobs is expected to get the job done against the Mexican on December 20, which will certainly give him the platform to start hunting for a title, but there is a question over how he will do it.
First of all, let’s point out that Chavez is not an opponent that should be in there with Jacobs by merit. He has done little over the past few years and has not seemed to be genuinely motivated by the sport for years.
Chavez enters this contest knowing that there is a nice payday at the end of it, and I don’t expect his motivation to be anything other than dollar signs. In fact, I would not be surprised if he disappears for another couple of years after this one, but the prospect of an absolute retirement is also on the cards.
Jacobs’ motivation is his legacy, and a fight against either of the formerly mentioned Brits would be great to watch. Callum Smith’s poor performance against John Ryder will have him licking his lips, while Saunders’ lackadaisical performance over the unfancied Marcelo Esteban Coceres will also be a driving force for the future.
More than this, Jacobs could realistically earn a rematch with Canelo, seeing as both men are on the DAZN network, so this is a fight that he will want to win, and win well.
Expect Jacobs to make pretty easy work of Chavez in this bout. I would look for a stoppage victory around the 8th round mark.
Prediction: Jacobs by KO/TKO in the 8th Round
Daniel Jacobs should have this fight in the bag on December 20.
Chavez is far from an inspiring character, and the betting odds clearly show that there is a tangible gulf in class between both.
I would be shocked if we see Chavez ever headlining on another bill of this magnitude again.