Dallas Renegades vs. DC Defenders – XFL Week 6 Betting Preview

By Noah Davis in XFL
| March 12, 2020 7:05 am PDT
Renegades Defenders Week 6 Preview

It’s amazing what one week can do for you in the XFL. Prior to Landry Jones going down, the Dallas Renegades were surging behind two wins and suddenly looked like the preseason title contender everyone made them out to be.

Jones succumbed to a knee injury, Dallas lost to Houston, and suddenly, they’re 2-3 and closing in on a free fall.

It was the opposite for the Defenders, who slid after a 2-0 loss and were so bad offensively that Cardale Jones got benched in each of the last three games.

Only time will tell which version of either team we can actually trust, but the loser of this matchup could be served a one-way ticket out of the postseason discussion.

Let’s take a closer look as to who that might be in this week 6 Renegades vs. Defenders preview.

Renegades vs. Defenders – Key Info

  • When: Sunday, March 15th
  • Time: 4:00 pm ET
  • Where: Audi Field in Washington, DC
  • Channel: FS1

The Renegades head to DC on Sunday and will battle the Defenders in an afternoon game that will be broadcast on FS1.

Dallas is playing in their third road game on the year and is 2-0 away from home so far. The Renegades will also be appearing in a Sunday game for the fourth time and are 1-2 so far in such games.

The Renegades will also be playing on FS1 for the second time (0-1).

DC will be back at home for the fourth time this year. All three of their wins have come at Audi Field in front of their home crowd.

The Defenders will be playing on FS1 for the third time (1-1) and will appear in a Sunday game for the fourth time (1-2).

Dallas enters the contest with the lone key injury, with star quarterback Landry Jones unlikely to suit up for the second week in a row and third game of the year. The Renegades are 0-2 with Jones sidelined.

Renegades vs. Defenders Odds

XFL Team BetOnline Spread Bovada Spread BetNow Spread
Renegades (+4.5) -110 (+4.5) -110 (+4.5) -110
Defenders (-4.5) -110 (-4.5) -110 (-4.5) -110

The online XFL betting sites like the Defenders across the board here. DC has a bit of a situation under center, but they’re still at home, are 3-2 on the year, and have yet to lose in front of their home crowd.

The point spread is the same about everywhere, so if you follow the logic of the top sportsbooks, you can bet on the Defenders to cover at Bovada. You can go the other way with Dallas there, as well, as the pricing is the same at all of the top sites.

Things get tricky with the moneyline, where BetOnline offers the best price (+175) to go with Dallas. If you like the Defenders to win, the site to bet on them is easily BetNow (-200).

There is also the game total, which is just 35 at every major site. The odds (-110) are the same everywhere, too, so feel free to pick the site you prefer there.

Renegades vs. Defenders Prediction

The harsh reality here is that the Renegades are not the same on offense without Landry Jones.

Philip Nelson is way too conservative and lacks aggressiveness. It restricts the passing game and allows the defense to play up on the line of scrimmage. The results don’t lie; Dallas has 15 total offensive points with Nelson running the show.

It’s always possible Dallas controls this game on the ground, but they’re on the road with a backup quarterback who doesn’t really give them a great chance.

The Defenders have their own quarterback issues, but they can also run the ball and defend. In a borderline wash, the edge goes to the home team.

Prediction: Defenders 18, Renegades 12

Can the Renegades Win?

Yes, they can, assuming Philip Nelson can actually take successful shots down the field. He at least needs to pose a threat, while Dallas does have a nice set of weapons around him.

If Nelson can at least keep the Defenders guessing, it could allow the Renegades to get their rushing attack going. Cameron Artis-Payne and Lance Dunbar team up to form one of the better running games in the XFL, but they can’t do much if the defense knows what is coming.

Dallas could dictate the pace and grind out a tough win here, but I’m not sure they can win a tough road game unless Nelson pops off a bit. That feels unlikely, but it’s probably the only way Dallas escapes with a win.

Renegades vs. Defenders Pick

DC is going to win this game. I don’t like the point spread at all, and this is a tricky total to work with, so all roads lead back to just picking this game straight up.

Considering how horrendous Cardale Jones has been, there is merit in hoping the Renegades stage the upset and return elite value as a +175 pick. However, they’re in just as bad of a situation under center, and they have to get a win on the road.

The Defenders should have their way defensively, and I expect Jhurell Pressley (107 rushing yards last week) to start to build some positive momentum.

The value isn’t amazing, but I like DC to simply get the win. Their -200 moneyline is the best you’ll find for them right now, but I’d pounce before it gets any thicker.

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