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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night on September 19, 2020

| September 18, 2020 7:06 am PDT
MMA DFS Picks UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley

Last week ended abruptly for yours truly. My first two fights got taken out immediately, with Roosevelt Roberts being a bit of a shocker.

While things started poorly, I still had some nice MMA DFS picks. I got the main event right when I picked Michelle Waterson, I backed Ottman Azaitar and he got a first-round KO, and I scored another win when Billy Quarantillo took out Kyle Nelson in round three.

I also had Tyson Nam in my final MMA DFS lineup, but his fight was scrapped.

It wasn’t all bad, so if you used those daily fantasy MMA picks, hopefully, you had the right pieces around them and found a way to profit.

I’m back at it again going into UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley. I’ve got my eyes on some favorites I like, as well as some sleeper picks for UFC Fight Night.

Let’s see who you can trust in your MMA DFS lineups this weekend.

Tyron Woodley ($6.9k)

Talk about value. Yes, Woodley is 38 and trending in the wrong direction with defeats in his past two bouts, but the guy remains an elite talent.

Capable of ending this fight early or grinding out a win by going the distance, Woodley is an exceptional value in this spot. He makes our list of UFC Fight Night sleepers at the link above, and with Woodley vowing to knock Colby Covington out, I’m game for some risk.

Part of winning in MMA DFS is not following big names blindly, but I don’t think that’s what I’m doing here. Rather, I see obvious value, a talented fighter that is motivated, and all kinds of upside.

Challenging the favorite in the headlining act hasn’t gone well for me this year, but maybe Woodley bucks the trend. And if he’s lower-owned, all the better.

Niko Price ($8.5k)

This is more about having zero faith in Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone anymore. The guy is extremely skilled and one of the toughest dudes in MMA history, but he can’t win anymore.

Cerrone has lost four straight fights and is probably on his last leg in the UFC. I don’t know if that will force the guy into retirement, but at age 37, things aren’t pointing upward for him anymore.

The skill-set is there for Cerrone to win, but he’s just so vulnerable these days, that I favor Niko Price’s KO-winning upside. Price has 10 knockouts on his resume, and his ability to potentially end this thing early is something I covet.

Our own Adam Haynes details it a bit more eloquently than I can in his Niko Price vs. Donald Cerrone betting preview, but the end result is the same; we like Price to knock out the Cowboy.

Randy Costa ($7.8k)

This is another solid value, where we get early knockout upside. Costa has had six professional MMA fights, and he’s won five (all by KO).

The guy just keeps attacking.

Adam Haynes picked him to win in his UFC Fight Night predictions post, and I agree that he matches up well against Journey Newson. Newson has more experience and is honestly equally capable of taking Costa out early, but I view Costa as the superior striker.

If Costa can keep this fight off the ground, I like his chances to score the KO win early and net us some nice mid-range value.

MMA DFS Lineup for UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley

  • Tyron Woodley ($6.9k)
  • Niko Price ($8.5k)
  • Randy Costa ($7.8k)
  • Khamzat Chimaev ($9.4k)
  • T.J. Laramie ($9.2k)
  • David Dvorak ($8.2k)

Soaking up some value via Woodley and Costa allows us to pay up for our other MMA DFS picks this weekend. That gets me Chimaev, for starters, who is 8-0 as a professional and 2-0 in the UFC.

So far, he’s looked dominant, possessing the ability to end fights at any time and in any fashion. There is a first loss just around the corner for every fighter, but I don’t see it coming against Gerald Meerschaert.

I’ll also pay for Laramie, who is a rising young talent with four straight wins under his belt. He has vicious KO ability, and he can also end fights on the ground. This will be his first taste of the UFC, but I like the 22-year old’s chances against the fairly one-dimensional Darrick Minner.

Lastly, I will cap things off with Dvorak, who comes in at 18-3, and hasn’t lost since 2012. His 14-fight winning streak could end anytime, but he’s an incredibly versatile fighter that just doesn’t give in early.

Could he lose if the fight goes the distance? Sure, but I also don’t see that happening, as 13 of his last 14 bouts saw him KO or make someone tap.

Overall, this is a very busy MMA DFS slate. Barring unforeseen cancellations (which we’re sure to get), this is a pretty big slate that could go in a number of different directions.

I went against our in-house MMA expert Adam Haynes on several fights last week, but for UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley, we’re honestly pretty aligned. Except for Woodley getting the win and launching our MMA DFS lineups into the green, of course.

If you want to take on the betting side of things, see what else Adam has to say for this week’s fight card at our MMA picks section.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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