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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen

| October 9, 2020 5:08 am PDT
MMA DFS UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen

Carlos Condit can still get wins, it seems, even five years after his last. He was one of my top MMA DFS picks last week, and hopefully he helped you win.

In addition to Condit, I also suggested Dusko Todorovic, who finished Dequan Townsend, and Charles Jourdain, who saw his bout end in a draw.

Unfortunately, I also vouched for Jordan Williams, Irene Aldana, and Cameron Else – all of which tasted defeat. Two were close, at least, as Williams and Aldana managed to go the distance in their respective fights.

This weekend brings a brand new fight card, where we all get to build MMA DFS lineups in hopes of hitting it big. You need perfection, upside, and a way to differentiate yourself from the field, though.

That’s where I come in. Dive into the madness of UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen with my favorite MMA DFS picks for this week’s event.

Cory Sandhagen ($8.2k)

Let’s start by acknowledging that I’ve gone against the headlining favorite for what feels like six weeks in a row. It’s failed every single time.

I really want to throw caution to the wind and chase the upside of a hard-hitting first-round finisher like Moraes, but I think he’s in for a tough draw.

As in-house MMA expert Adam Haynes points out in his Marlon Moraes vs. Cory Sandhagen betting preview, Moraes comes fast and tries to finish fights early, and Sandhagen tires his opponents out.

This matchup probably sets up better for Sandhagen. He’s never been knocked out, he can win in a number of ways, and he’s a patient fighter.

Moraes is a fine pivot for another lineup, but I’ll roll with the headlining favorite for the first time in over a month.

Chris Daukaus ($7k)

I’ve got a nice midrange fighter in Sandhagen, and here I drop down and get perhaps my favorite MMA DFS sleeper of this weekend’s event.

Daukaus displayed his raw KO power and fantasy upside in his UFC debut back in August, when he took out Parker Porter in the first round.

The chin hasn’t been reliable through 12 fights (2 KO losses), but the power and striking sure are. Daukaus doesn’t exactly pass the eye test, but he looked good in his UFC debut, and he’s scored 8 KOs in nine wins.

Even if this fight moves to the ground, Daukus probably has the size and strength to survive. He sure has the explosiveness and boxing to take over this fight from every angle, so at this price, I’ll aim for the skies.

Tom Aspinall ($9.4k)

With some savings, we can spend way up for another heavy-hitter in Aspinall, who is a massive -550 favorite at the top UFC betting websites.

That probably means we can trust him to win here, and do so decidedly.

Aspinall was sharp in his UFC debut, as he KO’d Jake Collier in under a minute of action. That gave him a jaw-dropping four consecutive first-round KO’s and seven in his 10-fight career.

We’re paying for his safety and upside, but this guy is vicious and worth the money.

MMA DFS Lineup for UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen

  • Cory Sandhagen ($8.2k)
  • Chris Daukaus ($7k)
  • Tom Aspinall ($9.4k)
  • Impa Kasanganay ($8.9k)
  • Youssef Zalal ($8.6k)
  • Makwan Amirkhani ($7.4k)

I like my first three MMA DFS picks the most, per usual. If you’re building MMA DFS lineups based on what I’m writing, go with some kind of mixture of those first three fighters.

You can obviously use this lineup as it stands, or create variations of it. My goal is always to throw my squad into a GPP and see if it hits. In doing that, we want the right favorites, we want upside, and we want some underdogs who can end fights in a hurry.

Some chances need to be taken, and you also need to eat the good chalk. 

There is merit in using Moraes over Sandhagen, but I like the favorite this weekend. I’ll also gladly pay for Aspinall, and if you want an elite value that could pan out in a hurry, I think it’s Daukaus.

As for the rest, here goes.

I like Kasanganay’s balance and awareness to keep him perfect. He’s mostly been grinding out wins via decision, but he’s arguably too good to allow Joaquin Buckley to take him out early. Besides, Buckley wasn’t really up to snuff (KO loss) in his UFC debut, and chances are we see him disappoint again here.

Zalal stands out as another strong midrange option. He’s 10-2 and has been red hot since joining the UFC, going 3-0 with three straight decision wins. I am absolutely concerned about his opponent’s exceptional floor game (7 submissions in 8 fights), but Zalal has good takedown defense, and is quite effective on the canvas (five submissions), himself.

You can wrap things up with Makwan Amirkhani, who is another MMA DFS value pick I love this week. Haynes disagrees, and you can see why in his Barboza vs. Amirkhani betting preview.

I definitely am wary of the matchup, but Makwan is a submission specialist who has ended his opponents on the floor 11 times in 16 career victories. 

With 11 first-round finishes, this dude can end fights in a hurry.

He’s in pretty good form, too, going 3-1 over his last four bouts, with the lone loss being a beating from Shane Burgos. That isn’t that demoralizing, and this weekend he gets Edson Barboza, a guy who is an elite striker, but could be fading a bit with three straight losses and five defeats in his last six bouts.

Barboza has major KO power (20 career knockouts), but he hasn’t accomplished that feat in two years. His takedown defense is good, but he certainly doesn’t want the fight to get to the floor. If it does, it could be nighty night.

Overall, this is set up to be a wild slate. Even with the MMA DFS picks I like, you could argue both sides to a lot of these matches. That tells you to create a lot of different daily fantasy MMA lineups, but hopefully my plays above help you this week.

If you want to take things to the next level, head over to the top UFC sportsbooks and bet on some of these fighters to win.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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