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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night: Paul Felder vs. Rafael dos Anjos

| November 13, 2020 2:04 am PDT
MMA DFS Picks UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos

We were supposed to be getting a battle for the ages between Islam Makhachev and Rafael dos Anjos. Bad luck would get the better of Makhachev, however.

UFC Fight Night lives on, as Paul Felder has stepped in to save the day. If you plan on betting on this event, you can get some expert advice from Adam Haynes in his UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos predictions.

I’m here to give you my insight via MMA DFS picks, which you can either use to build MMA daily fantasy lineups, or also bet on the UFC with.

Last week wasn’t great, as I had three misses and one fighter I liked saw his bout get canceled. I did hand you winners in Alexander Romanov and Xiaonan Yan, though, so there’s that.

The goal is to get back to our winning ways, and I think we can do that by backing Rafael dos Anjos immediately. Let’s dig in a bit deeper, as I break down my favorite MMA DFS picks for UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos.

Rafael dos Anjos ($8.8k)

A living legend, Rafael dos Anjos aims to dispatch the willing and able Paul Felder, who is probably taking this fight on too short of notice.

That, and there were whispers he was considering retirement after his most recent loss.

Call me crazy, but that’s not the ideal combination for an underdog. He’s not a massive one, with most apps for betting on MMA listing him with +158 odds.

From a matchup perspective, though, dos Anjos is the better overall fighter, and he’s probably shooting for one more climb up the ladder. His recent form is troubling, but the guy can win the fight standing up or on the ground, and it’s pretty likely he’d get the nod if this gets to a decision, too.

Felder’s best route to a win might be a KO, but dos Anjos hasn’t been finished since 2016. I think dos Anjos is a rock-solid pick to get a finish of his own, or inflict some solid damage and score the win over a full fight.

Right now these guys are projected for similar fantasy points and ownership, but I think you have to play this as if one of them gets a finish. Between the two, I think dos Anjos is the most likely to get it done.

And if you hit up Adam Haynes’ Paul Felder vs. Rafael dos Anjos betting pick, you’ll see exactly how he might make it happen.

Khaos Williams ($7.1k)

This is the “are we getting too cute?” MMA DFS sleeper pick of the slate. You can also look at Paul Felder in this range, while Roque Martinez also offers upside and is in the same price range.

Of those cheap options, Khaos Williams stands out the most, and this is not a dude who lacks confidence.

He has one decision loss in his career, and he has six of 10 wins by stoppage. He looked quite good in his UFC debut back in February, too, when he scored a KO win and registered a cool 105 fantasy points.

The hope is for something similar against the favored Abdul Razak Alhassan, who didn’t look like the polished fighter we’re used to seeing in a recent defeat. The reality is both of these guys carry some of the most upside of this slate, but only one of them is coming away with a finish.

Due to the savings, the upside, and the projected low ownership, I’ll bet on that being Khaos Williams. If you’re doing cash games, go the other way in this one.

Julian Marquez ($9.4k)

If you correlate UFC odds with MMA DFS picks at all, you may want to back Julian Marquez this weekend. He’s one of the biggest favorites going into this card (-275 at BetOnline), and for good reason.

Marquez has two decision losses in nine fights, but he’s otherwise been a knockout artist (six KOs), and has shown the ability to finish in a multitude of ways.

One of his most impressive wins came against the explosive Phil Hawes, who he dropped with a head kick.

That was a really intense bout, where Marquez also worked his way out of numerous jams. He followed up that stellar win with a submission of Darren Stewart.

The one knock here is Marquez hasn’t fought since dropping a decision to Alessio Di Chirico in 2018. I won’t let the potential rust scare me here, though, as he has the edge against Saparbek Safarov.

Top MMA DFS Lineup for UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos

  • Rafael dos Anjos ($8.8k)
  • Khaos Williams ($7.1k)
  • Julian Marquez ($9.4k)
  • Brendan Allen ($7.9k)
  • Alex Morono ($8.9k)
  • Geraldo de Freitas ($7.5k)

I have zero hesitation backing guys like dos Anjos and Marquez. They’re favored, rightfully so, I doubt they get finished, and at worst, we will cross our fingers they grind out decision wins.

Given the amount of damage they can inflict with takedowns and significant strikes, the latter wouldn’t even be that big a negative.

Khaos Williams is a massive risk. He’s my favorite sleeper on the board, though, and you need to take a stab at some underdogs to make your MMA DFS lineups work. His matchup could truly go either way against another elite finisher, but his swing-for-the-fences mentality may just allow him to pan out.

For the rest of this lineup, I think Morono is another relatively safe play. He did get taken out by Kalinn Williams in his last fight, but he has high upside with his finishing ability, and we know he’s a tough dude after lasting an entire fight with Max Griffin.

He gets Rhys McKee, who didn’t look great in his UFC debut.

He’s a good prospect and has the edge in height and reach (by a lot), but I love Morono’s well-rounded skill-set. We can also play the “McKee isn’t ready” card here and hope Morono’s toughness and solid overall ability win out.

I’ll also snag Brendan Allen, just because he’s too good of a value. He has a really tough draw in Sean Strickland, but he has elite finishing ability, and Strickland has a crazy quick turn around after fighting literally two weeks ago.

Geraldo de Freitas is a good way to wrap this thing up.

He’s a mild underdog against Tony Gravely, who has proven to be quite vulnerable on the ground (5 submission losses). De Freitas has the edge there, and he’s shown toughness and strong defense with zero finishing losses to this point.

This is going to be a pretty unpredictable card. Hopefully I’m on the right end of some of the craziness, and my underdog plays work out. Ideally, these MMA DFS picks all hit, and we can all win big together.

If you want to take things one step further, you can take my insight to the top UFC sportsbooks and place some bets. Just be sure to stop by our MMA betting picks for some extra insight from Adam Haynes on all of these matches first.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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