Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night 177
Once again, my MMA DFS picks were largely on point. My lone gaffe was another swing for the fences, as I tried to back Alistair Overeem’s opponent for the upset win.
Beyond that, the only thing I didn’t predict correctly for last week’s UFC DFS slate was the surprise inactives. That messed things up a bit, but you also could have taken advantage of the situation by max entering the various lineup combinations.
Either way, our MMA DFS picks, and advice would have helped you, provided you were smarter than me and got off of Augusto Sakai.
No matter, we can just aim high again this week, as I prepare to piece together a winning MMA DFS lineups for UFC Fight Night 177: Waterson vs. Hill.
This card has Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill butting heads as the headlining act. It should be a good bout, but this fight card as a whole does appear to lack star power. It may be underwhelming in one sense, but the lack of big names could also completely dilute ownership and keep everyone on their toes.
Let’s dive into the madness as I break down some of my favorite MMA DFS picks, en route to my top lineup for the fight card.
Michelle Waterson ($8k)
Do we need to force a fighter from the main event into our UFC DFS lineups? No, but I actually like Waterson, who is a light underdog at the best UFC betting sites.
Hill has fantastic stamina and cardio, she’s a terrific striker, and she has solid takedown defense. If this fight stays off the ground, it’s honestly Hill’s to lose.
The problem? Most of her fights go the distance, and she isn’t too keen on letting things get to the mat. She has the ability to prevent that, as well as wear down her opponent – not to mention knock her out.
Unfortunately, Waterson is here to score a submission, something in which she’s done nine times in a more impressive career. She also stood in the face of elite fighters like Joanna Jedrzejczyk and Carla Esparza and held her own in decision losses.
I’m not in the business of seeking out decision wins, so the hope is Waterson’s pursuit for the takedown eventually wears out Hill – ironically enough – and scores us a fun submission win.
Hill is not immune to this strategy, while there’s still the backup plan of this thing simply going the distance and leaning Waterson’s way.
Ottman Azaitar ($7.7k)
You will want some value at some point, and I think Azaitar is a pretty good way to acquire some. He has yet to lose in his professional MMA career, and he made a solid first impression with a KO victory in his UFC debut at UFC 242.
That alone doesn’t mean you can trust him, but he is 12-0 with 75% of his fights ending in stoppage (9 KOs). He obviously has the insane DFS upside we fawn over, as he can end the fight early, and he even has a little floor game to turn to.
Just look at what he’s capable of.
He doesn’t have an easy task at hand, of course, as Khama Worthy is just as vicious (9 KO wins) and also has a versatile skill-set. Of the two, however, Worthy has been much more vulnerable to finishes (5 KO losses).
Both fighters are running hot coming into this one, so it’s worth wondering if we’re simply headed for a bloody decision. Something has to break, however, and given Worthy’s soft chin in the past, I like Ottman to stay perfect.
Tyson Nam ($7.6k)
UFC On ESPN 10 bonuses: Tyson Nam’s smashing KO snags POTN honors https://t.co/PtFYnKtGZN— Bloody Elbow (@BloodyElbow) June 15, 2020
Nam is a very appealing MMA DFS picks due to his upside. He’s just 18-11 in his career, but he is coming off a big KO win against Zarrukh Adashev, and he has 11 KO victories in his career.
He can be taken down and he’s lost eight fights that have gone the distance, but the guy can stand up and fight, and is always a threat to end things early.
That’s the intrigue at this price point, as Nam will be seeking an early KO to avoid Matt Schnell’s submission game.
This is still a risky play given Schnell’s own ability to end fights early (two submission wins in his last three fights), but Nam’s never been submitted, and he is the superior striker in this matchup.
My MMA DFS Lineup for UFC Fight Night 177
- Tyson Nam ($7.6k)
- Michelle Waterson ($8k)
- Ottman Azaitar ($7.7k)
- Billy Quarantillo ($9.3k)
- Roosevelt Roberts ($8.4k)
- Mike Rodriguez ($8.8k)
I am challenging in-house MMA betting expert Adam Haynes with my MMA DFS picks this week. That isn’t really intentional, of course.
He’s probably offering safer, more logical picks in his UFC Fight Night 177 betting preview this week, while I’m just looking at opportunities for serious upside.
I’ve already detailed Nam, Azaitar, and Waterson. They all have early-round winning upside, and I like their chances. They’re risky, and as is the case with any MMA DFS lineup, getting all three to come through won’t exactly be easy.
They allow me to pay up for the likes of Quarantillo, Roberts, and Rodriguez, though. All three of these guys are worth the salary, while Quarantillo and Rodriguez have the talent and upside to be quick wins in their respective matches.
Roberts can do the same, but he just feels like a safe play. He’s coming off of a loss, but a balanced attack against the inferior Matt Frevola should get him a win in some shape or form.
It could be fun to enter a bunch of MMA DFS lineups this weekend, but due to the volatility of this fight card, it may be even better to just bet on UFC Fight Night 177.
If you require a little assistance, you can check out our UFC Fight Night 177 predictions, and then take our UFC picks to the best UFC betting websites to place some bets.