Daily Fantasy Football Sleepers for NFL Week 4 (2020)
It wasn’t fun to see one of my top NFL DFS sleepers (Mitch Trubisky) get benched last week, but it was otherwise a solid week for daily fantasy football value picks.
We still got several hits, with Mike Davis, Jerick McKinnon, Mo Alie-Cox, and the Patriots defense all working out nicely.
There’s more value where that came from, and with several studs worth paying up for in week four, you will certainly be seeking it. With that, here’s a look at my top NFL DFS sleepers for week 4.
QB NFL DFS Sleepers for Week 4
- Drew Brees – Saints ($5.8k)
- Baker Mayfield – Browns ($5.8k)
- Ryan Fitzpatrick – Dolphins ($5.4k)
I know, nobody wants to roster an aging Brees who isn’t stretching the field. But he still put up 23 fantasy points with his dink and dunk approach last week.
Getting Michael Thomas back can’t hurt his value, either.
Saints’ WR Michael Thomas (ankle) is eyeing a Week 4 return:https://t.co/kO5Tn65fn1— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) September 27, 2020
If we’re to believe Alvin Kamara and/or MT are worth rostering, then we should like a discounted Brees in a potential shootout (54 game total at BetOnline).
The same goes for Mayfield, who may be ready to explode in week four. This is another game projected to be very high-scoring, and Mayfield faces a bad Cowboys defense that has given up the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
Yeah, it doesn’t feel great, but I’m down for getting some exposure to Mayfield in tournaments.
Ditto for Fitzmagic, who reminded us the past two weeks (25 and 27 fantasy points), that he can still ball. I’m not sure why we should suddenly sour on him, now, seeing as he’s in his own high total game (54) and faces a Seattle secondary that ranks 31st against fantasy passers.
Give me exposure to all these dudes, although I’ll probably prioritize Fitzmagic due to pricing.
Week 4 NFL DFS RB Sleeper Picks
- Darrell Henderson – Rams ($5.8k)
- Mike Davis – Panthers ($5.7k)
- David Johnson – Texans ($5.3k)
- Rex Burkhead – Patriots ($4.8k)
I’m not really seeing some amazing punt at running back this week, but there sure is a lot of value. Kenyan Drake made my top NFL DFS picks for week four, and he starts out at $6k flat.
You can go cheaper if you want, as Darrell Henderson stands out. He’s literally PFF’s best running back through three weeks, after all.
Grade/rank among RBs (min. 30+ snaps):— PFF (@PFF) September 22, 2020
Darrell Henderson – 82.4 (1st)
Jerick McKinnon – 80.3 (2nd)
Which back are you prioritizing on waivers this week??⬇️ pic.twitter.com/oKL5yCqnwd
The Rams do have three capable rushers when healthy, but it’s trending in the direction of Henderson being “the guy” right now. With 20+ fantasy points in two straight games and a date with the Giants (24th vs. RBs), there’s no reason not to use him.
Mike Davis looks like a nice pivot, or even a guy we can pair with Henderson. Heck, toss Devin Singletary into that conversation, too. I just like Davis a bit more than the latter, though, as he has more PPR value, and doesn’t have Josh Allen siphoning rushing production.
Davis has seen at least eight targets in each of his last two games, and he’s also the main running back for Carolina with Christian McCaffrey sidelined. With 15 and 23 fantasy points the last two weeks, he’s in play against an Arizona defense that has given up the 5th most receiving yards to running backs.
Role is everything in fantasy football, so let’s not overlook David Johnson. He hasn’t been great, but he’s also had impossible matchups the past two weeks. He’s still seeing 13+ touches every week, and he has goal-line work in his favor.
Johnson should still provide explosive upside, and in a likely shootout with the Vikings (double-check that game plays), he could be one of the top week four NFL DFS sleepers.
I won’t write much on Burkhead, but he scored three times last week. If James White misses a third consecutive game, Burkhead needs to be considered.
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Sleepers for Week 4
- Jarvis Landry – Browns ($5.1k)
- Andy Isabella – Cardinals ($4.5k)
- Mecole Hardman – Chiefs ($4.3k)
I am high on Odell Beckham Jr. this week, but it’d be so Browns to just force-feed Landry in a likely shootout with Dallas. The Cowboys have been woeful on defense in 2020, giving up the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers.
You honestly can probably get away with using both of them, but Landry may be more due for an explosion. He hasn’t seen more than six targets all year, and Dallas will likely try their hardest to ensure Beckham isn’t the one that takes the top off of their defense.
At a cheaper price, Landry’s PPR upside and tasty matchup make him a very appealing NFL DFS value pick.
Is Christian Kirk out again this week? He sat out last week with a groin issue, and these injuries can linger.
If so, the speedy Isabella needs to be on your radar. He’s too cheap for a guy who would see an elevated role, has the explosiveness to burn defenses deep, and topped 20 fantasy points last week.
Andy Isabella was a great prospect and he’s immediately producing here with Christian Kirk out.— Ben Gretch (@YardsPerGretch) September 27, 2020
The same goes for Hardman. The play here is speed, and the fact that New England will be far busier trying to limit the likes of Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. New England’s defense can be stingy, but let’s not forget that they got torched by Russell Wilson two weeks ago.
Hardman displayed his big-play upside with 18 fantasy points last week, and if he’s going to be an afterthought in this matchup, he could be a fun GPP dart.
Week 4 NFL DFS Values at Tight End
- T.J. Hockenson – Lions ($4.8k)
- Dalton Schultz – Cowboys ($4.3k)
- Logan Thomas – Washington ($3.5k)
Tight end has been a mess in 2020. George Kittle has been hurt, Zach Ertz has fallen off a cliff from a production perspective, and everyone else is hit or miss.
You could try to play it safe and pay up for Travis Kelce, but facing the Pats (5th against TEs) could complicate matters.
Instead, consider soaking up some value with someone like Hockenson. The Saints will look to take away Kenny Golladay in this one, which probably leaves a lot of targets for the ancillary pieces.
The chances are good Hockenson gets some opportunities here, while the Saints got destroyed by Green Bay tight ends last week. With New Orleans ranking dead last at stopping tight ends through three games, this feels like one of the most obvious plays.
There’s also Schultz, who could benefit from the Browns trying to contain Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys’ many wide receivers. He’ll certainly go overlooked, even though Cleveland ranks 30th against tight ends and Schultz popped off for 22 fantasy points two games ago.
I can’t quit Thomas, either. His matchup with the Ravens looks awful in theory, but Travis Kelce was solid against them, and Baltimore actually has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position.
Factor in the likely game script and role (Thomas has seen 7+ targets every week), and Thomas is likely too cheap to ignore this week.
Best Defense Sleepers for Week 4 NFL DFS
- Chicago Bears ($3.1k)
- Jacksonville Jaguars ($3k)
- Las Vegas Raiders ($2.7k)
This doesn’t feel like the week to save cash with your team defense, but you can try. The Bears could be inspired with the quarterback change, while facing the turnover-prone Philip Rivers has its perks.
You can also consider the Jags, but really just because they’re facing a team that has struggled to run the ball, and has a rookie under center.
Las Vegas is one more cheap try that could make sense. The Raiders are at home and face the Bills, who look unstoppable. While true, Josh Allen has a history of bad decision-making, and Devin Singletary has had fumble issues in the past.
If the Raiders get some turnovers and rack up a few sacks, they could pay off even if they give up some points.
Per usual, nailing the right daily fantasy football sleepers is really just part of the battle. And since I tend to push my top NFL DFS sleepers out early in the week, keep in mind that more value is sure to open up as the week goes on.
Still, these value plays should get you going in the right direction. Combine them with my week four NFL DFS picks, and you just might be en route to a big win at DraftKings.
Not down for NFL DFS this week? Try your hand at betting on the NFL, instead. Feel free to use our free NFL picks before placing any bets.