Last week was a great success when it came to my daily fantasy football sleeper picks. I had numerous value plays pan out, with the best easily being Kyler Murray, Jonathan Taylor, CeeDee Lamb, and Tyler Higbee.
It was a strong week, and if you combined those stellar NFL DFS sleepers with my top NFL DFS picks, you should have done alright.
The goal is to take down a GPP at some point, of course, and a big part of that is nailing these value picks. It’s up to you to pair the right values with the right studs, though.
I’ll get this side of the deal. Join me as I break down my favorite NFL DFS sleepers for week 3.
QB NFL DFS Sleepers for Week 3
Ryan Tannehill – Titans ($5.9k)
Carson Wentz – Eagles ($5.8k)
Mitch Trubisky – Bears ($5.7k)
Let’s start things off with Tannehill, who is on a tear to kick-off 2020. This was supposed to be Derrick Henry season, but instead, Tannehill has six passing scores through two weeks.
This week, Tannehill gets the Vikings, who got lit up by Aaron Rodgers in week one, and saw Philip Rivers complete 76% of his passes in week two. Minnesota will likely sell out to slow down Henry, so we could be looking at another week of 20+ fantasy points for Tannehill.
Carson Wentz has had a rough start to 2020, as he can’t stop turning the ball over, and his Eagles are in a regrettable 0-2 hole. His back is against the wall this week, though, and we know the guy offers elite DFS upside.
Wentz still has two very good tight ends and a stud running back to go to war with, and he’s flashed his high-level ability. With a nice matchup against a bad Bengals defense in week three, he could approach one of his coveted ceiling games.
Why pay up for these other two guys when Mitch Trubisky is cheaper? That’s actually a serious question, as Trubisky hasn’t even been that good, yet has notched 24 and 15 fantasy points through his first two games.
He could have his best game yet in week three, when he faces a bad Falcons defense that is getting torched by opposing offenses. Atlanta has struggled with two mobile quarterbacks through two weeks, while this unit has coughed up 38 and 40 points in devastating losses.
Trubisky has an incredibly low floor, but his ceiling and cheap price tag are why we need to salivate over this matchup.
Week 3 NFL DFS RB Sleeper Picks
Mike Davis – Panthers ($5.1k)
Jerick McKinnon – 49ers ($4.9k)
Frank Gore – Jets ($4.4k)
There are some injuries to some of the best running backs in the NFL, with guys like Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey being off-limits in week two.
You can still target a nice intermediate option in Miles Sanders, who slides into my best NFL DFS picks for week three. In addition to Sanders, though, it may make sense to save cash at this position elsewhere.
Mike Davis should directly benefit from the absence of C-Mac, as he hauled in eight catches for 74 yards after McCaffrey got hurt last week. Can we trust that? Not really, but he’s too cheap to lose sleep over his downside.
I may be more apt to slide Jerick McKinnon into my week three NFL DFS lineups. He’s an elite athlete and should be looking at a huge role with Tevin Coleman and Raheem Mostert on the sidelines.
McKinnon’s speed and versatility have already been on full display this year, as he’s averaging 13 fantasy points per game in a bit role. With an expanded role against the Giants, he has a good chance to smash.
I’m not super into Gore, but he’s really cheap and we saw last week that he’s going to get the ball (21 carries) for as long as Le’Veon Bell is out. If he can tack on some catches and find the end-zone in his week three date with the Colts, he could be a surprising money play.
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Sleepers for Week 3
Jerry Jeudy – Broncos ($5k)
Zach Pascal – Colts ($4.5k)
Josh Malone – Jets ($3k)
The Broncos are hurting these days. Drew Lock is out for several weeks with a shoulder injury, and Courtland Sutton was lost for the year with a knee injury.
Coach Fangio confirmed that Courtland Sutton will be out for the rest of the season.
The latter piece of bad news at least pushes Jerry Jeudy into a massive full-time role. He has major downside, of course, as he’s a rookie and for the moment he’ll be attempting to catch passes from Jeff Driskel.
I don’t love that, but Jeudy is an elite route-runner with plus athleticism and a big role. In week three, he faces a burnable Buccaneers pass defense, and he should be very active. He’s an elite value at the wide receiver position.
Pascal could have a big role, too. T.Y. Hilton and Philip Rivers don’t have their chemistry down, and number two receiver Parris Campbell suffered a knee injury in week two.
That should elevate Pascal a bit. He already had a solid role regardless, but he did score last week, and we could see his role increase slightly.
Ready for a punt in week three? Consider Josh Malone. He is priced at the bare minimum at DraftKings, and for the moment, he’s one of just a few bodies Sam Darnold has to work with.
The Jets are massive underdogs against the Colts this week. I actually think they’re a fun try in my week three NFL upset picks, but one way or another, this team should be forced to air it out a good deal.
Should New York be limited at receiver like they were last week, the athletic Malone could see an expanded role. He didn’t do a whole lot with his six targets last week, but if he’s seeing that much action come his way at this price, we need to take notice.
Week 3 NFL DFS Values at Tight End
Mo Alie-Cox – Colts ($3.8k)
Logan Thomas – Washington ($3.7k)
Drew Sample – Bengals ($3.5k)
I am not a fan of the tight end position this week. The best option sat out last week with an injury, and the other mid-priced tight ends are volatile and/or have bad matchups.
In the end, I am likely paying for Tyler Higbee or punting the position.
If you’re down for the latter, start things off with Mo Alie-Cox, who took full advantage of no Jack Doyle last week and racked up a sweet 6-111 line. Philip Rivers loves getting his tight ends involved and New York’s defense is awful, so feel free to fire him up again if Doyle is out.
Logan Thomas also looks appealing.
The former quarterback has morphed into a pretty solid tight end, as he has the size and athleticism to do some serious damage. Washington is trying to implement more of a ball-control offense, but Dwayne Haskins hasn’t been shy about targeting Thomas (8 and 9 targets) when taking it to the air.
His production hasn’t been amazing, but Thomas could easily turn this attention into a big day. In week three, he faces a suspect Browns defense that has gotten obliterated by tight ends through two games.
There’s also Drew Sample, who was part of Cleveland’s tight end struggles in week two when he turned nine targets into seven catches for 45 yards.
Sample is looking at a major role immediately, too, as former starting tight end C.J. Uzomah was lost for the year with a torn Achilles. The floor is low, but Joe Burrow is going to look his way and the Eagles have been very bad against tight ends through the first two weeks.
Best Defense Sleepers for Week 3 NFL DFS
New England Patriots ($3.2k)
Los Angeles Rams ($3k)
Chicago Bears ($2.9k)
We should never waste too much time on defense, but it’s fair to point out that the cheap units have not been useful so far in 2020.
Your best bets are definitely the ones we have to pay for, as just one priced below the $3k threshold is averaging even 7 fantasy points through two weeks.
That can always change, but the pricey defenses may be worth it in week three. Even so, I like the Pats at $3.2k, as they face an inspired Raiders offense that they can probably contain.
If you don’t want to pay, drop down a little more and consider the Rams. Corralling Buffalo won’t be easy, but the Rams can generate pressure and Josh Allen has been known to turn the ball over.
Punting defense is ill-advised on this slate, but you can save a little more cash with the Bears. The Falcons are at home and have moved the ball pretty well, but Chicago isn’t an easy matchup for them at all.
This is a very weird daily fantasy football slate, in that the studs really don’t pop off the page like they did the first two weeks.
Part of that is just due to the schedule, as guys like Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, and Alvin Kamara are all playing primetime games on Sunday and Monday.
There’s also the ugly rash of injuries, with so many arriving in week two.
While that makes finding those reliable stars a bit more difficult, it at least opens the door to a ton of value. Hopefully, I have captured some of that with my week three NFL DFS sleepers.
Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.
When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.