Daily Fantasy Football Sleepers for NFL Week 12 (2020)
Daily fantasy football was a bit of a disaster last week. My NFL DFS sleepers were meh-to-bad across the board. After weeks of pointing you to some really nice value plays, I took a loss, overall.
Those horrible weeks happen over the course of a long daily fantasy football season, but that doesn’t make them any less dreadful.
It’s back to the drawing board, I go. Fortunately, this is a pretty fun daily fantasy football slate. The slate is condensed quite a bit thanks to Turkey Day, and the value stands out pretty easily.
Per usual, more value plays will pop up as the week matures. But for now, here are my favorite NFL DFS sleepers for week 12.
Quarterback NFL DFS Sleepers for Week 12
- Derek Carr – Raiders ($5.7k)
- P.J. Walker – Panthers ($5.4k)
- Ryan Finley – Bengals ($4.9k)
Carr showed us on SNF that he can ball, as he hung three scores on the Chiefs. This week he’s in a dome against a bad Falcons defense. He’s probably one of the better GPP plays at quarterback this week.
Walker may not even be an option this week, depending on the status of Teddy Bridgewater.
Matt Rhule says he expects Teddy Bridgewater to practice Wednesday. Sounded less optimistic about Christian McCaffrey, saying Panthers will see where he is Wednesday. Characterized it as "week to week."— Joe Person (@josephperson) November 23, 2020
That said, he looked pretty good in his first NFL start, as he tossed a touchdown and was very aggressive down the field. Against a weak Vikings pass defense, I’d be very interested in him at this price if he started again.
Ryan Finley isn’t a great talent. However, he can run a little bit, and he’s in a good system with a slew of viable weapons in the passing game.
His date with the Giants isn’t ideal, but there may be enough here to make him worth the risk at this cheap price. If there’s reason to list the Bengals among the week 12 NFL upset picks, there’s reason to consider Finley as a DFS punt.
Week 12 Running Back Sleeper Picks
- Giovani Bernard – Bengals ($5.7k)
- Salvon Ahmed – Dolphins ($5.1k)
- Wayne Gallman – Giants ($5k)
Gio continues to see starter-level work with Joe Mixon sidelined. That should remain the case this week, and with no Joe Burrow, he could see a heavier workload than usual.
Bernard is starting to see his price spike, which is why I’d probably gravitate more toward Ahmed and Gallman. Just keep an eye on the status of Myles Gaskin, who is due back.
All of this likely makes Gallman one of my favorite NFL DFS sleepers for week 12. He’s at a position we all feel inclined to pay up at, yet he is crushing in a big role.
Gallman has been ultra-consistent lately, turning a featured role into 13+ fantasy points in each of his last four contests. Next up is a date with the Bengals, who have allowed the 4th most fantasy points per game to running backs in 2020.
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Values for Week 12
- D.J. Chark – Jaguars ($5.2k)
- Breshad Perriman – Jets ($4.2k)
- Damiere Byrd – Patriots ($4.1k)
Chark has had his ups and downs this year, but I’ll give him two mulligans for tougher than expected matchups the last two weeks.
We saw what the connection between him and Jake Luton is capable of three games ago (30.6 fantasy points), and he’s simply too cheap at this point.
The same could be said for Perriman. He busted out for 30+ fantasy points himself two games ago, and last week he was still plenty useful (13.4 fantasy points). New York is always playing from behind, and he has big-play upside, so he’s probably a bit too cheap, all things considered.
I also don’t mind Byrd. He would have been a money pivot off of Jakobi Meyers last week, as he went completely bonkers (29 fantasy points).
You can’t demand that again, but a date against an up-tempo Arizona offense could make for another big performance in some regard.
Week 12 NFL DFS Sleepers at Tight End
- Evan Engram – Giants ($4.5k)
- Rob Gronkowski – Buccaneers ($4.4k)
- Jordan Reed – 49ers ($3.6k)
Tight end is easily the worst position in NFL DFS, which is why looking for viable value plays is worth our time. I am probably just paying up at the position, but if you want to get some NFL DFS sleepers to consider, these are some of your best bets.
It starts with Engram, who has a terrific matchup against a bad Bengals defense that ranks 29th against the position. He’s had a pretty nice role for weeks now and has topped 10+ fantasy points in three of his last four outings.
You can certainly do worse than Gronk, who is a threat to score every single week. His matchup isn’t amazing by the numbers against Kansas City, but they just got burned by Darren Waller, and this could be a shootout to close out this slate.
Reed is the cheap play if you want to feel good about going dumpster diving at tight end. He’s still fairly spry, and he has a nice role. He hauled in five of six targets for 62 yards in his last game.
If the targets stay there and Reed can find his way into the end-zone, he could be a smash play in week 12.
Best Defense Sleepers for Week 12 NFL DFS
- Carolina Panthers ($2.6k)
- Tennessee Titans ($2.4k)
- Denver Broncos ($2.2k)
I don’t enjoy spending money on my defense, so you’ll find me using a lot of different cheap defenses most weeks. That’s the case again in week 12, and one that stands out is Carolina.
The Panthers have issues with stopping the run, but they’ve had some nice weeks in that regard and also have a pretty stingy pass defense. They pitched a shutout last week, and in week 12, and get a respectable matchup against Kirk Cousins, who has thrown 11 interceptions on the year.
There’s also the Titans, who have a huge showdown with the Colts. This is a must-win game for them, and we all know how Philip Rivers can implode.
I also don’t hate the Broncos as a hedge against Taysom Hill. Even if Hill crushes (and I think he can), he still has ball control issues, and this is a game where I’d expect the Under to hit. Denver could limit scoring, get some sacks, and maybe force a turnover or two.
This looks like a pretty fun week for daily fantasy football. I have a core I really like, which you can see in my week 12 NFL DFS picks. If you build the right NFL DFS sleepers around that core, you may have something special on your hands.
That’s the hope, at least.
NFL DFS is not an exact science. You pretty much need a perfect team to take down a tournament, and you need all the right chalk. If you don’t have most of the best plays, you could be in further trouble.
Getting the core right is step one, and then you need some values to hit. Hopefully, that’s the case with my week 12 NFL DFS sleepers. Good luck, and thanks for stopping by!