While the best NFL DFS picks tend to reveal themselves, the elite value can often be tricky. That was certainly the case last week, as a bunch of seemingly saliva-inducing NFL DFS sleepers simply did not work out.
I did point out Ronald Jones II, however, and he was a beast. Had you used him instead of the absurdly chalky Mike Davis and Duke Johnson, you could have paved your way to glory.
Last week wasn’t a hit overall for my daily fantasy football value picks, though. Let’s right the ship with my top NFL DFS sleepers for week 11.
Quarterback NFL DFS Sleepers for Week 11
Jameis Winston – Saints ($5.9k)
Garrett Gilbert – Cowboys ($5.2k)
P.J. Walker – Panthers ($4.8k)
I am pushing out my week 11 NFL DFS sleepers pretty early, so forgive me if any of these guys become obsolete by Sunday. The logic still applies, though.
If Brees is out, we could see Winston back as a starter, and he might help you eat a win in DFS.
In this dynamic Saints offense, that’d make him one of the top values of the slate. In the off chance Taysom Hill ($4.8k) got the start instead, he’d also be worth a look.
Andy Dalton is working his way back to the field, but Garrett Gilbert flashed enough ability against a good Steelers defense to deserve another start. I like his aggressiveness, and if he starts against a leaky Vikings defense (29th vs. QBs), I don’t mind him as a dart throw in tournaments.
I really only have eyes for former XFL god, Phillip Walker, though.
He was a scoring machine in the XFL, and the guy offers nice dual threat ability and a knack for big plays. Carolina isn’t going to get Christian McCaffrey back for week 11, but they still have a loaded offense and he is insanely cheap for a date with the Lions (21st vs. QBs).
People will hop off the Duke Johnson train, but he was facing a better than advertised defense in terrible weather last week. The good news is he’s still cheap, David Johnson is on injured reserve, and this kid has touched the rock 14+ times in each of his last two games.
I’d prefer Houston to get him involved more as a receiver this week, but his zero catches last week probably had more to do with the elements than anything else. In week 11 he gets the Patriots, which can be taken either way this season.
Hines will probably do nothing a week after blowing up for 28.5 fantasy points on DraftKings, but he did get 17 touches and faces a very beatable Packers run defense at home.
Nyheim Hines has his first career game with at least 100 scrimmage yards and 1 TD ….
Indy is super crowded on offense, but Hines has a nice matchup and is arguably the best running back the Colts have right now. Sit back down, Jonathan Taylor truthers.
In a game that most NFL betting websites have slated with a 51.5 total, Hines looks like an appealing play at a nice price.
I’m sure more value opens up elsewhere, but I’ll wrap up this week’s running back sleepers with a look at Salvon Ahmed. He got the start last week and did well with 90 total yards and a score on 22 touches.
While not super efficient, Ahmed did a fine job and may continue seeing a bunch of work in what should be a favorable spot against Denver. The Broncos just got eaten alive by Las Vegas on the ground last week, after all.
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Values for Week 11
Breshad Perriman – Jets ($4.3k)
Jakeem Grant – Dolphins ($3.5k)
Quintez Cephus – Lions ($3k)
There are several stud wide receivers to pay up for this week, but I tend to prefer to spend on running backs this week. That may demand us looking for value at wide receiver.
In theory, we should be able to find it. Breshad Perriman went off last week (30 fantasy points!) versus the Patriots, and a date with the Chargers is hardly scary at this point. The role and explosive ability is there and at this price, Perriman is an elite GPP play.
Sportsbetting.ag lists the Jets as large 9.5-point road dogs, so it’s probably understandable to assume Perriman will be quite active in this spot.
Jakeem Grant was a hit last week, as he hauled in four passes and scored. His role isn’t massive and he won’t score every week, but Preston Williams is out, so he’s going to get solid work.
The upside with Grant is that he’s so explosive, that it only takes one touch for him to smash his price tag. I like him again this week, as he faces a beatable Broncos pass defense that has given up 11 touchdowns to wide receivers on the year.
Cephus is not reliable, but the Lions are really banged up at wide receiver right now. If Kenny Golladay is out again and Danny Amendola is on the shelf, he’s going to be in play at this price.
I know the results haven’t been there, but don’t forget this kid garnered 10 targets back in week one. Marvin Hall and Marvin Jones Jr. will also be in the mix, but at a flat $3k, Cephus is among the top daily fantasy football sleepers for week 11.
Week 11 NFL DFS Sleepers at Tight End
Austin Hooper – Browns ($3.9k)
Dalton Schultz – Cowboys ($3.6k)
Logan Thomas – Washington ($3.3k)
Tight end continues to be disgusting, and it pains me that we need to roster anyone. I pointed out Mark Andrews as the top play at the position this week, but that basically means nothing.
Miss you, Travis Kelce.
Alas, Kelce isn’t on the main slate, George Kittle is on injured reserve, and every other tight end is awful this year.
It’s a position to save money at and hope you get the right guy in your lineup. One option is Hooper, who returned last week. He did nothing, but weather may have been a factor.
Hooper has a better matchup this week, while you can also consider Schultz. The latter saw seven balls come his way in his last game, and he’ll be facing a beatable Vikings pass defense.
I prefer Logan Thomas of the lot. He’s too cheap for a guy that often has a negative game script. Alex Smith historically features his tight ends, too, and Thomas has six targets in each of the last two games.
If he can score, Thomas will crush this price tag and be one of the best NFL DFS sleepers for week 11.
Best Defense Sleepers for Week 11 NFL DFS
Green Bay Packers ($2.8k)
Cincinnati Bengals ($2.3k)
Atlanta Falcons ($2.3k)
Defense is another great spot to save cash. I really like the Miami defense as a middle of the road option in terms of pricing, but in early NFL DFS builds, I tend to favor punting at this position.
Green Bay’s defense isn’t usually that reliable, but they do generate some pressure, and they’re facing a guy in Philip Rivers who has traditionally struggled with turnovers. They’re a fine price and are in a huge road game, so they’re worth a look.
It probably pays to just go cheaper, and the Bengals stand out. They’re in a true pick’em with the Washington Football Team, and Alex Smith hasn’t been great so far in 2020.
If he’s going to keep turning the ball over, the Bengals could get some easy points, and perhaps even a defensive score. I think there’s a fair amount of points in this game, but Cincy can’t ask for a much better matchup.
Lastly, consider the Falcons.
This is especially the case if Jameis Winston plays. Yes, I like Winston for DFS, but he also turns the ball over a lot and has a history of giving away free defensive scores.
Atlanta has also been playing more cohesive defense ever since firing Dan Quinn. They’ll give up points in this spot, but some sacks, turnovers, and a defensive score are all on the table.
It’s only Monday as I write this, which allows us to realize two things; there is already a lot of value to get excited about, and there will be even more before Sunday rolls around.
But we learned something valuable last week, if we hadn’t thought of it already. Just like it’s worth it to hope on the early week 11 NFL betting lines to gauge the market, we should often stick to our guns in NFL DFS.
Guys like Wayne Gallman, Ronald Jones, and Antonio Gibson seemed like appealing NFL DFS sleepers early on last week, but other news opened things up for Mike Davis and Duke Johnson to be mega chalk.
If you ate that chalk, you know it ended poorly. That could mean paying more attention to these daily fantasy football sleepers – rather than ones that emerge later and get the entire field on them – could prove crucial.
Either way, I hope my top NFL DFS sleepers for week 11 find you well. Thanks for stopping by, and good luck!
Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.
When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.