Daily Fantasy Football Picks for NFL Week 5 (2020)

I nailed some fantastic daily fantasy football picks last week. Deshaun Watson was perfectly fine, the Rams defense was okay, and Kenyan Drake was my lone whiff.

But my goodness, did Odell Beckham Jr. and Mark Andrews deliver. If I’d only had the nerve to suggest Joe Mixon (40 fantasy points!) my core could have won you all of the money.

Ideally, you meshed my NFL DFS picks with your own to find your way to some profit, regardless.

While I’ll be scratching my head over the Drake pick for the rest of the week, last week’s top plays largely checked out. Let’s see who I like for my week five NFL DFS picks over at DraftKings.

Okay, so it’s official. Kyler Murray is matchup proof. He’s torched the 49ers, he tossed three picks against the Lions, and he mustered just 133 passing yards against Carolina.

Through it all, his elite dual-threat ability has kept his fantasy value intact, and he’s registered 24+ fantasy points in every single game.

This isn’t the week to bet against him. In a weird slate that has a lot of would-be good plays in tough spots, I’ll overlook Murray’s supposed bad matchup against the Jets.

New York has limited opposing fantasy quarterback production, but it’s all been rather circumstantial. They’ve still given up the 9th most passing scores in 2020, and they just made Brett Rypien look good last week.

Murray’s matchup isn’t mouth-watering by the numbers, but his upside is undeniable, and his floor is also quite alluring. He’s the total package this week, yet he comes in as the fifth most expensive fantasy quarterback. Sign me up.

Give me all of the CEH, who I peg as this year’s favorite to win the 2020 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award. This looks like a terrific week to go for the midrange guys at running back – and maybe just everywhere – and I certainly like Edwards-Helaire against a bad Raiders run defense.

Las Vegas literally ranks 32nd against fantasy running backs on the year, and there’s no doubt this defense will sell out to contain Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City passing game.

I don’t think they actually are successful, but this is a smash spot for CEH, who can obviously wreck as a traditional runner, or as a receiver out of the backfield.

Nobody has allowed more receiving yardage to running backs than Las Vegas, either, so no matter how CEH aims to get his this week, I’d say he’s getting it pretty easily.

It’s time, Moore truthers. The athletic receiver has played second fiddle to Robby Anderson for long enough, and it’s high time his big-play ability translated into fantasy success.

Robby Anderson to my DJ Moore projections: pic.twitter.com/8BCvWc0RD8

— Mike Wright (@FFHitman) October 4, 2020

Don’t get me wrong, I get the frustration. And if you want to just ride Anderson, you can do so at $100 less.

But this is Moore’s week. I know he’s had six or fewer targets in each of his last two games, and despite some big plays and a monster 120-yard affair in week two, he’s also yet to score.

The touchdowns and yardage will be there in week five, though, as Moore should be able to feast against an abysmal Atlanta Falcons defense.

Atlanta is banged up at the back of their defense, and they presently rank 29th against fantasy wide receivers. There is really nothing to suggest Moore won’t finally get it going in this matchup, but if everyone else remains gun shy due to a somewhat slow start, all the better.

Waller is always going to be a good play in NFL DFS circles, as he’s got a massive role and is an elite pass-catcher. He’s basically a wide receiver playing tight end, and that’s more obvious than ever when you see his 8+ targets in three of his four games in 2020.

In fact, in two of those games, he’s seen at least 12 targets and hauled in 9+ catches. I think he’s headed for something similar again in week five, when he should be rather busy in catch-up mode against the mighty Chiefs.

Waller’s matchup looks tough on the surface, but the Chiefs haven’t gone up against many scary tight ends in 2020. The one week they did, they saw Mark Andrews drop multiple passes – including a sure touchdown.

The matchup is a little better than anyone will suggest, Waller’s role is locked in, and the game script should favor him considerably. Yeah, I’ll bite.

I wasn’t about to fire up the Pats against the Chiefs last week, but I’ll consider paying for them this week. They are egregiously priced at $4.2k, but this could be a good time to use them with a lack of sure-fire studs worth paying up for.

Most of my top week five NFL DFS picks are in the intermediate price range, so spending on a stable defense with a good matchup may not be such a bad idea.

New England is the one to trust if you’re with me, as they take on the Denver Broncos. The Broncos could run the ball and keep this game tight, but they are insanely banged up.

I wouldn’t trust the Broncos to score much or take care of the ball in this spot. It’s a smash spot for this defense, price be damned.

That does it for my week five daily fantasy football picks. I think you can get away with saving a little cash at quarterback, as Murray just feels a bit discounted when you compare him to the guys priced above him.

He can get you their ceiling, and he offers one of the best floors in NFL DFS due to his rushing ability.

At running back, CEH feels like a really reliable play with a solid ceiling. He’s right up there with Kareem Hunt and Mike Davis, and playing all three together is something to consider.

There are some stud wide receivers worth eyeing, but I’ll start my receiver love off with Moore. This is his week to finally shine. Waller should just keep it going out of necessity, too, while the Pats feel like one of the safest plays on the entire slate.

Feel like putting my week five NFL DFS picks to further use? Consider using some of this logic to place player prop bets at the top NFL sportsbooks.