Daily Fantasy Football Picks for NFL Week 17 (2020)
After some really nice weeks of handing out NFL DFS picks, I ran into a wall last week. That’s what I get for…vouching for the Chiefs?
Yeah, week 16 made approximately zero sense. I mean, the top producer on Sunday’s main slate was Samaje Perine, after all.
Looking ahead, things could be a bit weird for week 17. A lot of teams are playing for pride or something to do with the playoffs, but about as many have no reason to risk star talent.
Keep an eye out for teams resting stars or simply holding them out. A look at the early week 17 NFL odds should help in some regard.
I’ll try to avoid the madness with my early look at my favorite NFL DFS picks for week 17, and hopefully, you can build a winning lineup from this core.
Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens ($8k)
I don’t know if there is a safer play than Jackson this week. He gets a bad Bengals defense, his Ravens need to win to ensure they make the playoffs, and he has one of the best built-in floors in NFL DFS.
Jackson has safely topped 22+ fantasy points in four straight games and has displayed his upside with 30+ in two of his last three outings.
The price is steep, but some of the other elite passers have tougher matchups. Jackson faces a Bengals defense that gave up 31 points to the Texans last week and allowed Deshaun Watson to pour in 30.76 fantasy points.
Jackson is in a smash spot and feels like he’s worth the money in week 17.
Jonathan Taylor, RB, Colts ($7.4k)
There is no getting around Derrick Henry, Dalvin Cook, and Alvin Kamara this week. All three are in amazing spots, and they’ve been monsters all year.
I expect the ownership to be split between Henry and Kamara, which could make Cook somewhat overlooked. It also could make some of the more appealing midrange plays fairly unowned.
One that stands out is Taylor, who is a full $2k cheaper than the top backs on this slate. This, despite topping 19+ fantasy points in four straight games.
In other words, he’s been really good.
Jonathan Taylor has a 37% forced missed tackle rate over the last 4 weeks— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) December 25, 2020
Highest among all RBs pic.twitter.com/TAC3GKaGxS
Taylor has a workhorse role, Indy needs to win, and he’s got as good of a matchup as anyone against a weak Jaguars defense.
BetOnline has the Colts priced as massive 14-point favorites as they try to lock up a playoff spot, too.
Whether they actually cover or not, they should turn to Taylor early and often against a defense giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs.
Davante Adams, WR, Packers ($9.2k)
I am curious to see how ownership breaks down in NFL DFS for week 17. No matter how it goes, I find it hard to believe that Davante Adams doesn’t garner ownership.
It also feels pretty unlikely that he gets shut down, as Green Bay is still playing for the #1 seed in the NFC playoffs.
Chicago is also playing for the right to even get into the playoffs, but Adams did just fine (6-61-1) against them back in week 12 and probably should have done a lot more.
The Bears have been good against the pass this year, but as we know, Adams is basically matchup proof. With Green Bay looking at their biggest game of the year, I expect him to show up in a big way to close out the regular season.
Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens ($5.8k)
The Chiefs have locked up the top seed in the AFC and will have a first-round bye. There is no reason for them to roll out their top stars, and word is out that they will rest or limit some key players.
Andy Reid confirms some of the key starters won't play Sunday against Chargers. "Certain guys will have the opportunity to rest up,'' he said.— Adam Teicher (@adamteicher) December 28, 2020
If there’s no Travis Kelce to pay up for on this slate (and perhaps even if there is), you’ll want some other tight end options this week.
I am very high on Lamar Jackson, so you better believe I’ll add Mark Andrews to my week 17 NFL DFS picks, as well.
Andrews will be needed just as much as Jackson with the Ravens still playing for a playoff spot, and he’s got a great matchup in front of him.
Cincinnati has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends, as well as eight touchdowns. Andrews needs to score to pan out, but he’s a nice discount at his $5.8k price, and he dropped a solid 17.6 fantasy points on Cincy earlier this year.
Most people will flock to Darren Waller or George Kittle, or they may just punt the position. All of these options are viable, but Andrews stands out as perhaps the top tight end play of the week.
Seattle Seahawks Defense ($3k)
I continue to be against spending big money on my defense, as it simply rarely goes as planned.
The Ravens ($4.2k) and Colts ($3.9k) are actually in great spots and could be worth it this week, but Seattle is in a similar spot and offer way more value.
People still haven’t fully gotten on board with the Seahawks, but they’ve been very good defensively for a while now.
Seattle has quietly allowed 9, 15, 3, and 17 points over their last four games, and they’ve also registered multiple sacks and at least one forced turnover in that stretch.
The Seahawks also contain their opponents, and this week they get a 49ers team that is down to their third-string quarterback and has nothing to play for. Oh, and they’re a great price.
My favorite NFL DFS picks for week 17 are a bit of a mixed bag.
Seattle and Andrews offer some decent value but still feel like fantastic cash plays, while Taylor is an amazing value compared to the top running back studs.
Davante Adams and Lamar Jackson are just two beasts who should keep crushing. Lamar is in a terrific spot, and both of these guys have too much on the line to come up empty.
This feels like a great set of week 17 NFL DFS core plays. That doesn’t mean you have to cram them all into your NFL DFS lineups (or that you can’t pivot to other studs), but I think these daily fantasy football picks are a good place to start.
I’ve got you covered for the NFL DFS side of things all week, so be on the lookout for my favorite sleepers and lineups. For betting insight, hit up our NFL picks page.