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Daily Fantasy Football Picks for NFL Week 15 (2020)

| December 15, 2020 12:39 pm PDT
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What a week for my NFL DFS picks. It was a clean sweep, as all of my recommended plays either did very well or were total smash hits.

Russell Wilson didn’t have a crazy yardage day, but he still put up 206 passing yards and tossed four touchdowns. I also suggested his Seahawks defense, who gave up three points and also tacked on three sacks and a fumble recovery.

Michael Thomas was rock solid with 16.4 fantasy points, while Derrick Henry erupted for 39 fantasy points, and Travis Kelce (30) was also worth paying up for.

It was a good week for my core plays in daily fantasy football, and if you built around those guys, you could have been headed to a big week.

The goal is more of the same. With that, here’s a look at my favorite NFL DFS picks for week 15.

Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles ($5.9k)

Lamar Jackson leads the way at quarterback for me, but you don’t really need me to tell you to play studs every single week. He’s the top quarterback I’m eyeing, but the best overall play at quarterback feels like Hurts.

Hurts flashed his upside after relieving Carson Wentz against the Packers two weeks ago, and then he got his first NFL start against the Saints.

That is an impossible spot, yet he rushed for over 100 yards and generated 23 fantasy points.

By default, Arizona is a far better matchup on paper.

The Cardinals run an up-tempo offense that could push the pace, too. When you consider the matchup, the game total (most NFL betting websites have it set at about 48.5) and his rushing ability, Hurts feels like one of the best week 15 NFL DFS picks.

Jonathan Taylor, RB, Colts ($7.2k)

If you need me to tell you to roster Derrick Henry, then here, I’m telling you to roster Henry. I said it last week, too, and the guy is heating up with another great matchup.

Henry will be part of my week 15 NFL DFS lineups, but he’s also $9.5k and you probably don’t need me to tell you to play him.

Perhaps you need more convincing to use Taylor. I’m not totally sure why, though, as he finally fully broke out last week with 33.5 fantasy points.

He has crushed in two positive matchups in a row, and in week 15, he gets a terrible Texans defense that he dropped 22.5 fantasy points on in week 13.

This, the defense that got burned by David Montgomery, allowing an 80-yard touchdown run on his first touch in week 14. Had the Bears run the ball more, Montgomery could have had 40 fantasy points.

Taylor has that type of upside, quite clearly.  

It’s no guarantee he gets there, but if the Colts are smart, they feed him the rock relentlessly against the second-worst defense against running backs.

Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams ($7k)

There are a lot of wide receivers worth paying up for on this slate, but Davante Adams plays on Saturday. Due to him being the only true “lock” each week at the position, I may pay up at running back and try to save at wide receiver in week 15.

Kupp isn’t cheap, but he’s $1.8k cheaper than the top wide receiver (Tyreek Hill), and I think he can match him. Facing a terrible New York Jets team will do that to you, it seems.

The Jets could also get carved up on the ground, but they’ve been far better at slowing down opposing running games in 2020. Through the first 14 games, they’ve given up the second-most fantasy points to quarterbacks, and the 6th most to fantasy receivers.

This feels like a Goff/Kupp week, while a ton of people will flock to the still cheap Cam Akers.

That might make Kupp a great leverage play, but you’ll want to stay on top of ownership projections to be sure.

Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens ($5.5k)

Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but Travis Kelce is really good and you should be paying for him. Tight end is also a horrible position that needs to die, so there’s that.

Unfortunately, Kelce is also $8k this week. Yes, he’s the top play, and yes, you can roster him. But he’s super expensive, and his matchup isn’t very friendly by the numbers.

Enter Mark Andrews, who returned on Monday night and should be getting targets from Lamar Jackson in the red-zone. He has a pretty good matchup against the Jaguars in week 15, who have quietly given up the 11th most fantasy points to tight ends.

That doesn’t sound insane, but the real value with Andrews is his scoring. Jacksonville (checks notes) has allowed the second-most touchdowns (10) to the position.

Andrews is not a guy we play due to immense PPR value like Kelce or Darren Waller. He’s a touchdown savant, and this is a smash spot. He’s too cheap given the awful options at tight end.

Seattle Seahawks Defense ($3.1k)

Obviously, the Los Angeles Rams are the dreamiest defense in all of the lands this week. They have looked quite nasty against good teams, and in week 15 they face the Jets.

If you’re looking for the safest NFL DFS picks, they’re a pretty good place to start.

Sadly, they’re also $4.5k at DraftKings, and I simply won’t stand for it. There is probably built in safety with this matchup, but in my experience, paying up for defenses weirdly rarely works.

Whether it does or not, you can always make up for whatever they do by punting defense and saving the extra cash for a stud receiver or running back. You just need to make sure the defense you use pans out.

I think we can go back to the well with Seattle. They were solid last week, and in week 15 they remain a similar price, and are in another great matchup.

It likely hinges to the status of Washington players for me. Antonio Gibson might not play, and Alex Smith also got hurt this past weekend.

If Seattle has a big game against Dwayne Haskins, I don’t see any reason why they can’t be fired up with confidence. Haskins isn’t good, and the Seahawks have been turning it on lately with multiple sacks and at least one forced turnover in each of their last three games.

They also haven’t given up more than 17 points during that stretch. Save the $1.4k and allocate it elsewhere.

Summary

There, you have my favorite NFL DFS picks for week 15. It’s early in the week and things can change, but I don’t know if things will get weird enough to get me off of any of these plays.

As mentioned, I prefer the likes of Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, and Travis Kelce, but so does everyone. And honestly, you can’t pay for everyone.

My advice usually refers to those of you who are just trying to build the best possible lineup, and if you want to make pivots or get cute in other sports, that’s totally up to you.

How do you build the best team? You get a core of NFL DFS picks that hit, and you surround it with the right sleeper plays. I’ll drop that knowledge this week, too, but hopefully my week 15 NFL DFS core plays get you on the right track.

If you want to transition from NFL DFS to betting on the NFL, feel free to stop by our sports betting picks page.

Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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