Daily Fantasy Basketball Value Plays For Tuesday, January 7th
Yesterday’s NBA DFS value picks were on point. Marcus Smart was good chalk, Markelle Fultz was a nice sleeper, J.J. Redick dropped a decent 28 fantasy points and Dwight Powell had a good game.
Eric Paschall (18 fantasy points) didn’t work out in terms of his ceiling, but he was uber chalk and did fine given his cheap price tag.
Overall, it was a solid day at the office and we can do it again with Tuesday’s six-game NBA DFS slate. Check the latest odds at your favorite NBA betting sites and then join me as I break down some of my favorite salary savers at DraftKings for 1/7:
Best NBA DFS Point Guard Sleepers
- Darius Garland – Cleveland Cavaliers ($4.8k)
- Anfernee Simons – Portland Trail Blazers ($4.2k)
- Frank Ntilikina – New York Knicks ($3.4k)
I don’t love trusting rookies, but Garland is locked into 30+ minutes and has flashed ability as a scorer and distributor. Kevin Love potentially sitting out another game only enhances his role and upside.
You can also give Frank the Tank a look if he ends up starting. Elfrid Payton has been away due to the birth of his daughter and could be out again tonight. The Knicks are just a mess, though, so I doubt I have any interest unless Frank starts.
The main point guard you’ll want is undoubtedly Simons. He has a nice usage rate as a scorer off the bench no matter what, but C.J. McCollum possibly missing tonight’s game inflates his value.
McCollum isn’t on the injury report anymore, but the team said he’s a game-time call. Just keep an eye on this situation.
Top NBA DFS Shooting Guard Sleepers
- Terence Davis – Toronto Raptors ($4.9k)
- Dillon Brooks – Memphis Grizzlies ($4.9k)
- Svi Mykhailiuk – Detroit Pistons ($4.2k)
Norman Powell is probably still out tonight, while the Toronto Raptors will for sure be without Fred VanVleet. That hurts an already short-handed Raptors offense, so there should be 30+ minutes and a bunch of usage to go around.
Terence Davis isn’t my favorite value play, but he’s cheap enough and should get 20-25 minutes at least tonight. Against the Blazers, that means something.
There’s also Svi, who is locked into about 30 minutes a night as long as Luke Kennard is out. Detroit is down two of their best offensive players, so attacking their value pieces isn’t the worst idea right now.
You can roll with these guys, but I only have eyes for Dillon Brooks. He plays right around 30 minutes per game and has some nice scoring upside. In a fast-paced game with the Timberwolves (228 total at BetOnline), I like his potential.
NBA DFS Small Forward Value Picks
- Bruce Brown – Detroit Pistons ($4.8k)
- Patrick McCaw – Toronto Raptors ($4k)
- Kent Bazemore – Portland Trail Blazers ($3.8k)
Stack your Detroit Pistons? I don’t know about that, but they sure do stand out with both Luke Kennard and Blake Griffin still sidelined. Brown is part of that, as he’s below $5k and offers a very versatile skill-set.
Cleveland is a good matchup for just about anyone, as they rank 29th in defensive efficiency. Brown is averaging a decent 0.96 fantasy points per minute with all these bodies off the floor. I’ll take that at this price.
McCaw is another guy looking at solid minutes, as he’s someone who could benefit from FVV being out. He smashed just a few games ago, while tonight’s tilt with the Blazers (11th in pace, 20th in defense) looks great on paper.
On the flip-side, let’s not ignore Kent Bazemore. He is the bane of my DFS existence, but he’s locked into a key role and getting good run. He’d be a chalky play in the event McCollum doesn’t suit up.
Best NBA DFS Power Forward Sleepers
- Nemanja Bjelica – Sacramento Kings ($5.3k)
- Sekou Doumbouya – Detroit Pistons ($4.6k)
- Cedi Osman – Cleveland Cavaliers ($4.5k)
Cedi Osman could get more burn if the Cavs are down Kevin Love again. He’s going to see floor time no matter what, but if Love is out he’s easier to warm up to.
I also really like Doumbouya, who has performed admirably in the wake of Blake Griffin’s injury. He’s logged 27, 38 and 34 minutes in his last three games and there is no end in sight to his enhanced court time.
While he may end up making the cut in my NBA DFS lineups, my favorite power forward play is still going to be Bjelica. Richaun Holmes got hurt last night (more on that in a bit) and Marvin Bagley III is out again, so this dude is locked into solid run.
Bjelica is averaging a nice 1.06 fantasy points per minute when Holmes and Bagley are off the floor. We’ve also seen Trevor Ariza ($3.5k) get more burn and he did just drop 36 fantasy points last night, but he feels like a less reliable play.
Daily Fantasy Basketball Center Sleepers
- Christian Wood – Detroit Pistons ($5.5k)
- Ante Zizic – Cleveland Cavaliers ($4.6k)
- Harry Giles III – Sacramento Kings ($3.1k)
Richaun Holmes exited last night’s game with an injury and could sit out tonight. I don’t know how excited the Kings are to shove DeWayne Dedmon out on the court due to his recent trade demands, so someone like Giles could be in play.
Giles is one of the top punts if we hear he’s starting, but Zizic has a clearer path to DFS relevance tonight. Kevin Love looks like he’s getting traded, Larry Nance is out and Tristan Thompson is questionable. There’s also John Henson ($4.4k), but I’ll roll with Zizic as the likely starter.
You can pay up for Christian Wood, too. Blake Griffin is considering season-ending surgery and is out indefinitely, so Wood is locked into 20+ minutes off of the bench.
After a big Monday night slate, things cool down a bit tonight. From the jump, you’ll have to decide whether or not you want to pay up for the Los Angeles Lakers studs. In a sure blowout against the visiting Knicks, I will likely end up fading both LeBron James and Anthony Davis.
Does that take you to Damian Lillard, Andre Drummond, or a more balanced approach? I honestly might favor the latter, especially with the Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves and Suns vs. Kings games profiling as two of the best NBA DFS game environments.
Whatever you do, hopefully Tuesday’s NBA DFS sleeper picks end up being useful. Good luck!