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Corey Anderson vs. Jan Blachowicz 2 Odds and Prediction

| February 11, 2020 10:47 am PDT
Corey Anderson Jan Blachowicz Odds and Prediction

A rematch between Corey Anderson vs. Jan Blachowicz will headline UFC Fight Night 167 at the Santa Ana Star Center this Saturday, February 15.

The odds for Anderson vs. Blachowicz have been doing the rounds, with the American the favorite to win. As it stands, Poland’s Blachowicz is not a mega underdog, which makes this one worthy of the top slot.

Those looking for odds on UFC Fight Night 167 will have plenty of options to choose from, but it is this bout, in particular, that I want to spend a little time on today in this dedicated Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 betting preview.

With that in mind, I’ll be touching on the reasoning behind the oddsmakers’ prices for Anderson vs. Blachowicz. Additionally, I’ll be giving my take on how this one might go and the best bets to target for what should an explosive second fight between the two.

But as I don’t believe in keeping you in suspense for too long, let’s get to the point first before I break things down in more detail.

Who Wins – Anderson or Blachowicz

  • Corey Anderson to Win by Decision

Despite derailing the Johnny Walker hype train at UFC 244 with a vicious stoppage win, I’m backing Mr. Anderson to get this one done on the cards.

If you had slept on the 30-year-old previously but caught that last fight, you might be surprised to learn that stoppages are a rarity for Anderson. He is not known as a knockout artist.

Blachowicz is a scary guy and scored his own surprising KO victory last year when he stopped former UFC middleweight king Luke Rockhold. He is coming off a win over Jacare Souza, too, and has a good shot.

But, ultimately, it is Anderson who will emerge as the winner in this fight. I’m going to break things down for you a little later, but first, let’s see what the odds tell us about this one.

Latest Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 Odds

The odds below come courtesy of Bovada.

  • Anderson to Win -210
  • Blachowicz to Win +170

So, Corey Anderson is the -210 favorite to earn his second win over Jan Blachowicz.

This UFC Fight Night 167 bout has a hell of a lot more on the line than their first encounter at UFC 191 in September 2015, however. It could end up deciding the next challenger to Jon Jones’ crown.

So, if Blachowicz is to get his first shot at UFC gold, he will need to overcome the underdog tag. You can get odds of +170 on Blachowicz to beat Anderson, and I can certainly see why those odds are appealing to many fans.

But here’s the thing — they don’t appeal to me. So, if you’re looking for the best Anderson vs. Blachowicz bets, I would consider the following.

Best Bets for Anderson vs. Blachowicz

I know that some of you are considering betting on Anderson vs. Blachowicz but aren’t crazy about the odds. It happens, right?

But you always have options when it comes down to it. And those options come in the form of other bets you can target — and by other bets, I am referring to those other than the moneyline — that can help maximize your chances of making a decent profit.

As I don’t like Blachowicz in this contest, I wouldn’t take the moneyline on him. But if I did, his price above is decent for a guy of his caliber and resume.

Anyway, it’s pretty clear that I am going for Anderson here. But at odds of -210, I’ll probably look to the following markets.

It’s worth keeping in mind that the Anderson vs. Blachowicz props and specials odds won’t be released until a few days before the fight. So it might be a good idea to check the odds against these next bets before you place your money down.

So, let’s shoot for these ones.

Anderson to Win on Points

This fight is the second five-rounder of both guys’ careers.

Blachowicz’s last outing was a headliner against Jacare, while Anderson did the championship rounds at XFC: Vengeance in 2013.

But as you will find out when I break this one down below, I can’t help but see this one going the full five. And as I am backing Anderson to win, I think a points victory for the American is the way to go.

The odds for Anderson beating Blachowicz on points will be better than taking the moneyline. But I think there are even better odds available if you go for the unanimous decision.

Anderson to Win by Unanimous Decision

The scoring at UFC 247 last week might have left many betting fans wondering what was going on.

The simple fact is that, if a fight does go the distance, the judges’ interpretation comes into play. All three of them.

Now, Anderson vs. Blachowicz will be an easier fight to score than the likes of Jon Jones vs. Dominick Reyes, for example. And this will be down to Anderson’s dominance over his opponent on the night.

I think Anderson’s style is tailor-made to beat Blachowicz, so a unanimous decision is certainly one of the best bets to target.

Why Anderson Will Beat Blachowicz

Corey Anderson has been steadily improving since his last loss to Ovince Saint-Preux in November 2017.

The Rockford, Illinois native has put together a string of four wins on the bounce since that loss. It has been an impressive reaction to being flattened at UFC 217.

Since that loss, Anderson has decision wins over Patrick Cummins, Glover Teixeira, Ilir Latifi, and, of course, his first-round destruction of Johnny Walker. If he can make it five out of five on Saturday, a scrap with Jon Jones could be on the cards.

Blachowicz has also been in impressive form, winning six of his last seven bouts. He has put the likes of Luke Rockhold, Jacare Souza, Jared Cannonier, and Jimi Manuwa away in that timeframe, with a TKO loss to Thiago Santos the only blemish to point out.

But when it comes to Anderson vs. Blachowicz, I see the former getting the job done. While Anderson might not have the same level of cultured striking in his arsenal of weaponry, he does have exceptional wrestling.

Wrestling, of course, that was the key to his win over the Pole in 2015.

Of course, a lot of things have changed since then. It was almost five years ago. Most notably, both guys are much improved. But what has remained the same is that Blachowicz is still vulnerable when it comes to wrestlers.

Blachowicz Could Struggle With Anderson’s Style

Blachowicz still has holes in his wrestling game. It is not out of the question for him to win this fight, but there is no way that he is going to outwrestle Anderson for five rounds.

So, if he is to win this fight, it will be on the feet. And, in my opinion, inside the distance.

I just don’t see that happening. Anderson is one of the most improved fighters on the roster, and part of his constant evolution is down to how much he is raising his wrestling game.

His technical approach to beating Blachowicz last time was to negate his striking prowess and drag him to the scorecards. And it worked.

This time around, I can see him doing the same thing. And with six years on Blachowicz, it will be a struggle for the older man to keep up with his pace.

Anderson Wins This Fight

This fight is going to be won by the guy who can dictate the pace and be smart with their energy and overall output.

I have to give Anderson the advantage here.

While both guys are fairly inexperienced when it comes to the championship rounds, Anderson is the younger, more durable man. He has fewer miles on the clock and can wear his opponent out with his wrestling.

Anderson will also benefit from knowing that he has beaten the Pole before. The psychological aspect to this game is very underrated, and that could go a long way on the night.

Whenever there is a rematch between two fighters, it’s always a good idea to see what adjustments both guys have had since their first encounter. We have almost five years to base our judgment on both men’s progression since the first scrap, and I believe when they are compared, Anderson comes out on top again.

In my opinion, Blachowicz has some serious work to do if he is to win this fight. It could be argued that Anderson’s stoppage of Walker might even make him think twice about having things easy on the feet. Could this make him even more predictable?

In terms of the tangibles, that is about it. Anderson wins it, for me.

Closing Thoughts

Will Corey Anderson live up to his billing as the betting favorite, or can Jan Blachowicz earn an underdog win on Saturday night?

The leading UFC sportsbooks are clear on who should win, but ultimately, it is up to you to predict who comes out on top.

You have read my thoughts on this fight, but I’d love to see yours. Drop me a line below and let me know who wins.

Enjoy the fights!

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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