Common Super Bowl Betting Mistakes to Avoid

By Anthony Haage in Super Bowl
| December 8, 2021 11:31 am PST

The Super Bowl is one of the biggest sporting events every single year. Avid football fans and even non-football fans always sit down for the biggest game of the season. It is also one of the most popular days of sports betting.

Since 2014, there has been over $115 million legally wagered every year on the Super Bowl. 2020 was a record-breaking year with a whopping $154+ million wagered on the Super Bowl that featured the Chiefs and 49ers.

If you are new to betting, you are probably super excited to place some bets when the Super Bowl comes around. These are some common mistakes people make when it comes to betting on the Super Bowl.

Don’t Just Bet the Over

Betting the over is almost religious to some bettors. I get it, games where the over hits are usually filled with very entertaining plays and are fun to watch.

You can hope for the game to be entertaining, but you don’t necessarily have to place a bet on the over just based on hope. This goes for every game in sports betting.

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Sportsbooks are going to set the line at a certain point and the game usually comes very close to that total. You should always look at the matchups and take everything into consideration.

In the Super Bowl, teams are usually there because they have talent on both sides of the ball. Defensive players are heavily underappreciated in the “superstar” category but have just as much impact on any game as offensive players.

The main point here is to make sure that betting the over is a reliable option, not a hopeful option. In fact, the under has hit more times than the over in NFL games since 2003.

Bet with Your Head and Not Your Heart

This is another thing that you need to take into consideration into every bet, not just the Super Bowl.

The Super Bowl is the most amplified point of the NFL season. If your favorite team is lucky enough to be a part of it, you need to make sure you are going to be responsible about it.

You can approach this game in a couple of different scenarios.

 You can take the win/win or lose/lose route, which is basically betting for your favorite team straight up. Or you could bet on the opponent and set yourself up for a guaranteed win on the night.

If your team does make the Super Bowl, they probably have a reason to be there. They might be lucky enough to win the game as well, but it is important to not set yourself up for an absolute disaster at the conclusion of the NFL season.

Keep the Parlay Small in Price and Quantity

Huge parlays are very fun to place because of the potential for massive payouts. In the Super Bowl, you might have a vision of exactly how the game is going to go.

Keep in mind that anything can happen in that game, and you only need to miss one leg of your massive parlay to lose.

You must understand that sportsbooks accept those insane odds because they know just how unlikely they are to hit. The more legs you place, the riskier the bet becomes.

It is important to always keep your parlays in the 2 to 4 range at most. If you want to go higher than that, you might want to consider just accepting the fact that your bet is probably going to lose.

Avoid Promotional Prop Bets

These are popular especially when the Super Bowl comes around. Sportsbooks love to offer crazy high odds for certain prop hits to hit.

The whole reason why they do that is because they know that those certain bets have a low likelihood of actually hitting.

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Say they are offering a quarterback to throw for 300+ passing yards and 3 total touchdowns in the game for +750 odds. Immediately, you need to be thinking about just how unlikely that is to happen.

Instead of taking their bait and placing their preassigned bet, you should make one pivoting in the opposite direction. The sportsbooks will probably be privately betting on the under of those certain prop bets and you should be too.

Steer Clear of MVP Voting

The Super Bowl MVP award is always a popular bet every year. Of course, the quarterbacks are always going to be the top options here, but the MVP award is trickier than you think.

Sportsbooks are not going to offer very profitable odds when it comes to the quarterbacks.

You might get a +350 on one of the quarterbacks and they very well could win, but there is much more risk that is involved in that.

Outside of the quarterbacks, it is basically a shot in the dark when it comes to the Super Bowl MVP.

There will be other big-name players to top the list, but may I remind you that players such as Julian Edelman (SB LIII), Malcolm Smith (SB XLVIII), Deion Branch (SB XXXIX), and Dexter Jackson (SB XXXVII) have won in the past?

There could be a player to make that one historic play that could seemingly win the game for a certain team. That would steal the award from the quarterback and be impossible to predict exactly which player is going to be the one to make that play.

It is best to steer clear of the MVP bets, because the QBs aren’t too profitable and everyone else is a shot in the dark.

Don’t Be Superstitious

This is a fun one, but you should never include this in your Super Bowl betting. You might hear some sayings about “This team has won in 4 straight games because they wore white jerseys.” Basically, if someone says something along those lines, don’t take it seriously.

Superstitious bettors might get lucky from time to time, but it does not contribute to the actual result of the game in the slightest bit.

It is important to keep a level head when it comes to sports betting, and the Super Bowl is not the place to start betting based on factors that have nothing to do with the actual game.

How to Bet on the Super Bowl

Betting on the Super Bowl is a very fun time, but should still be taken seriously. It is always better to treat it as any other game and bet with your head and not your heart.

You must always take everything into consideration such as certain matchup advantages, injuries, and more.

Make sure you do an adequate amount of research before placing your bets to have the most fun when betting on the Super Bowl. When you’re ready to place your bets, be sure to check out our top Super Bowl betting sites.

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