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Brighton Season Preview for 2019/20 With Odds and Predictions

| June 27, 2019 12:00 am PDT
Brighton Odds and Predictions

The next post from my series dedicated to the clubs from the English Premier League is about Brighton and Hove Albion.

The club survived a tough year, grabbing the last place in the table that guarantees a spot in the top tier of English soccer next season.

The big question is what will happen in the future, as the board decided that Chris Hughton will no longer lead Brighton and appointed Graham Potter as the new manager.

I will explore the problems he faces with the current squad and what needs to be done in the summer. Based on that, I will check the odds on the leading betting sites and share my predictions for the 2019-2020 Brighton season.

But before I get there, let’s look at what happened last year.

Brighton 2018-19 Season Review

After surviving its first season in the elite, Brighton wanted to take a step above. The goal was a more comfortable second campaign that wouldn’t include a relegation scrap until the very end of the English Premier League.

For that purpose, Brighton signed a lot of players in the summer. The likes of Florin Andone, Bernardo, Yves Bissouma, Alireza Jahanbakhsh, Martin Montoya, and a couple of other guys were brought to improve the depth and the quality of the squad.

Most importantly, they were supposed to lift the attack of the team, as Brighton really struggled up front.

The effort on behalf of the club was there, but the results were rather disappointing. The new signings didn’t exactly set the world on fire, and in the end, the season was almost a copy of the previous one.

The start of the EPL campaign was decent, and there were some good moments until November, but it all went downhill from there on.

Brighton struggled badly in front of goal, scoring only 35 times in 38 games in the EPL. Only the relegated teams had worse records and not by much.

The defense wasn’t exactly brilliant, either, shipping plenty of goals in the second part of the season. The overall record of Brighton since the start of 2019 includes only two wins in 18 games. I would say that the club would’ve gone down in many other seasons but was lucky that Fulham and Huddersfield were so bad.

If you add the lack of quality in the Cardiff squad that simply wasn’t on EPL level, one could say that Brighton only finished above teams that they were supposed to beat at the end.

The club wasn’t capable of moving closer to the middle of the table, which was the goal of the manager, Chris Hughton.

On the positive side, Brighton will be in the EPL next season too, and the fans enjoyed a deep run in the FA Cup. With some luck in the draw, the team reached the last four game at Wembley. Brighton even pushed Manchester City to the end but ultimately failed against the champions.

At this point, no one knew what to expect from the club. The problems were obvious and the season was disappointing, but it wasn’t a complete disaster.

And yet, the Brighton board decided to release the manager. A lot of people think that was the wrong decision, but I’m not so sure. Chris Hughton has had his moments in the EPL, but his teams were always fighting against relegation.

Maybe he needs more time, but the modern reality doesn’t allow that at the highest level.

Either way, Graham Potter was appointed, and he is the man in charge now. The young specialist lacks experience in the English Premier League, but he certainly has shown a lot of promise in Swansea and Ostersund.

Potter was appointed in May, which gives him enough time to prepare the team for the new season and actively participate in the recruitment of new players.

What Brighton Needs This Summer

The new manager will certainly have to work hard to improve this team. Based on Brighton’s form in 2019, another battle against relegation is on the cards.

For a start, Potter needs to do something with the attack. The manager is known for a slick style with lots of passing and movement. The big question is if Brighton currently has the squad to play like that.

I’m inclined to say no to that, and the manager has to acquire at least one or two quality midfielders. Glenn Murray will also need support. The striker was excellent last year, but he’s not getting any younger.

The man will be 36 in September, so relying on him to provide in double digits will be a huge risk. None of the other creative players and forwards of Brighton managed to score more than five goals in all tournaments last year, which illustrates the problem.

Simply put, the club will have to invest in attacking players. Considering the inflated market, it would take a ton of money or smart decisions and excellent scouting to solve the issue.

It would be a good idea to work on the defense, too, as Brighton conceded 60 times last season. I would say that the personnel at the back is decent enough right now, so it’s down more to work on the training ground.

If I have to sum it up, the next season will be decided by two main factors: the ability to identify and acquire at least some attacking talent and the time needed by Potter to install his ideas.

I like the Englishman, but he needs to show something at the beginning of the season, or it could become ugly fast. Many supporters weren’t happy with the sacking of Hughton, and Potter hardly has experience on the EPL level, so a couple of bad results could bring a lot of pressure.

Brighton Betting Odds for 2019-2020

It seems hard to predict what will happen with Brighton next season, so let’s take a look at the betting odds first.

Brighton to Be Relegated3.00

I don’t think that there’s any realistic chance of Brighton finishing in the top half of the English Premier League in the 2019-2020 season.

The club will either earn a place in the lower middle part of the table or fight against relegation for most of the campaign. That leaves me with only one market to work with.

888sport offers the price of 3.00 for Brighton to get relegated and 1.33 for the club to stay. Considering how bad last season was, the odds for the latter seem pointless.

The question is if the 3.00 for Brighton to fail is worth a shot. I would say yes, for a couple of reasons.

For a start, I expect the teams that were around Brighton last season to improve dramatically. Burnley won’t be distracted by the Europa League this time, Southampton has plenty of potential, and the gap to the likes of Bournemouth and Newcastle is too big at this point.

Simply put, I won’t be surprised if Brighton is unable to finish above any of the teams that were in the English Premier League, which is what actually happened in 2018-2019.

In this case, the club will have to beat all of the promoted sides to stay in the elite. At this point, Sheffield seems unequipped for the jump, but the likes of Norwich and Aston Villa will be a threat.

While my gut feeling is that Brighton might have a really solid season, the evidence suggests that the club is in a lot of danger. They have a new manager with no EPL experience, the best player will be 36 a month after the campaign starts, and I don’t think that Brighton can afford to spend a lot of money.

That’s enough for me to try the 3.00 price for Brighton to get relegated.

Other Domestic Competitions

Brighton did reach the FA Cup semi-final last season, but there was a lot of luck involved in that run. Even the current odds of 50.00 or so for the side to win the tournament or the League Cup seem fair. Brighton will need a lot of luck to repeat last year, and going two steps further is close to impossible, if you ask me.

Final Words

I’m a bit torn on how to feel about Brighton’s move at the end of last season. I don’t like it when a club sacks the manager lightly, which probably was the case.

At the same time, the bold move to give a young manager with no experience in the EPL a chance certainly deserves admiration.

What’s your opinion on the future of Brighton? Will the risky approach by the board pay off, or will the team drop to the Championship? Let me know what you think in the comments below.

Jerry Summer

Jerry Summer has a wide-ranging interest in gambling and the gambling industry. He's made a living out of both playing poker and betting on sports.

The English Premier League and the NBA are among Jerry's primary areas of expertise. He's knowledgeable about many other sports, too, along with poker and several casino games.

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