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Boxing is Dead (To Me, Anyway)

By Nathan Reid in Sports
| July 5, 2017 12:00 am PDT
grim-reaper-boxing

I sit down to write this piece still in utter disbelief of what happened late Saturday night in Australia. It has been several days since the fight ended, and I still cannot believe what I witnessed. After watching the debacle that was Manny Pacquiao versus Jeff Horn, I am ready to make this statement:

Boxing is Dead.

Ok, well, let me clarify. Boxing will always be around, but as a legitimate sport, it is dead. It may as well be WWE as far as I am concerned.

OK, after reading that, that statement may also be a bit harsh. What I really mean to say is that betting on boxing is dead.

I mean, come on now. Who in their right minds would bet on boxing after that obviously rigged result?

(I feel like I have heard that before. Actually, I feel like I have said that before…)

Anyway, as far as I am concerned, the sport is a farce, and no one should spend another dime betting on it.

Let Me Explain

I feel like I need to explain myself here. Let’s start with why more boxing matches than any other sporting event get categorized as “suspect.” This is one of the few sports that is scored by judges if there isn’t an end in the ring. When there is subjective decision making involved in anything, there is room for tampering. Now, I am not saying that one of these judges was paid off, but it’s always the first conspiracy theory when something doesn’t add up.

Before the fight, I always like to look at the extended odds, especially in a matchup that is clearly leaning towards one fighter as in the Pacquiao/Horn case. Here is what I found for this fight:

  • Jeff Horn +425
  • Manny Pacquiao -550
  • Over 9½ rounds -190
  • Under 9½ rounds +165
  • Fight goes to decision -130
  • Fight doesn’t go to decision +100
  • Pacquiao wins by decision +119
  • Horn wins by decision +850
  • Fight is a draw +2500
  • Horn wins inside distance +690
  • Pacquiao wins inside distance +140
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 1 +4000
  • Horn wins in round 1 +8500
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 2 +3000
  • Horn wins in round 2 +7000
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 3 +2500
  • Horn wins in round 3 +6500
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 4 +2000
  • Horn wins in round 4 +6000
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 5 +1800
  • Horn wins in round 5 +6000
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 6 +1600
  • Horn wins in round 6 +6000
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 7 +1400
  • Horn wins in round 7 +5500
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 8 +1400
  • Horn wins in round 8 +5500
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 9 +1400
  • Horn wins in round 9 +5500
  • Horn wins in round 10 +5500
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 10 +1400
  • Horn wins in round 11 +5500
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 11 +1600
  • Horn wins in round 12 +6500
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 12 +2500
  • Horn wins in round 1-3 +2900
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 1-3 +1235
  • Horn wins in round 4-6 +2450
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 4-6 +686
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 7-9 +515
  • Horn wins in round 7-9 +2150
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 10-12 +645
  • Horn wins in round 10-12 +2300
  • Fight starts round 2 -7900
  • Fight won’t start round 2 +3350
  • Fight starts round 3 -2975
  • Fight won’t start round 3 +1495
  • Fight starts round 4 -1545
  • Fight won’t start round 4 +1023
  • Fight starts round 5 -1005
  • Fight won’t start round 5 +653
  • Fight starts round 6 -680
  • Fight won’t start round 6 +490
  • Fight starts round 7 -480
  • Fight won’t start round 7 +383
  • Fight starts round 8 -347
  • Fight won’t start round 8 +287
  • Fight starts round 9 -263
  • Fight won’t start round 9 +223
  • Fight starts round 10 -207
  • Fight won’t start round 10 +174
  • Fight starts round 11 -163
  • Fight won’t start round 11 +143
  • Fight starts round 12 -138
  • Fight won’t start round 12 +118
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 2 -4675
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 2 +2340
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 3 -2155
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 3 +1301
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 4 -1279
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 4 +829
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 5 -815
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 5 +558
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 6 -597
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 6 +449
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 7 -428
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 7 +343
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 8 -317
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 8 +259
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 9 -244
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 9 +204
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 11 -154
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 11 +134
  • Fight goes 1:30 in Round 12 -133
  • Fight won’t go 1:30 in Round 12 +113
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 1-6 +463
  • Horn wins in round 1-6 +1412
  • Horn wins in round 7-12 +1279
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 7-12 +292
  • Horn wins in round 1-4 +2050
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 1-4 +800
  • Horn wins in round 5-8 +1700
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 5-8 +450
  • Horn wins in round 9-12 +1700
  • Pacquiao wins in Round 9-12 +472
  • Fight ends in round 2 +2200
  • Fight ends in round 3 +1900
  • Fight ends in round 4 +1550
  • Fight ends in round 5 +1469
  • Fight ends in round 6 +1412
  • Fight ends in round 7 +1257
  • Fight ends in round 8 +1257
  • Fight ends in round 9 +1257
  • Fight ends in round 10 +1257
  • Fight ends in round 11 +1399
  • Fight ends in round 12 +1900
  • Fight ends in round 4-6 +565
  • Fight ends in round 7-9 +441
  • Fight ends in round 10-12 +532
  • Fight ends in round 5-8 +374
  • Fight ends in round 9-12 +394
  • Fight ends in round 7-12 +228

Yes, I know that is a lot of detail, but I want you to see what I was looking at so I can frame this travesty better. After reviewing all these odds, my thoughts were confirmed – oddsmakers believed that Pacquiao was a big favorite and that the likelihood of him scoring a knockout was small. This is exactly what I believed, so I laid the money on Pacquiao outright, with bets on him winning in a decision, and that the fight would go past the 1:30 mark of the 12th round.

The Outcome

The fight didn’t come on until midnight on the East Coast, so I set the DVR and waited until the morning to watch the fight. I figured my bets were safe, as there was no way the legend was losing to a school teacher.

I managed to get to my television without hearing anything about the fight, having turned my phone off. The great thing about watching a fight that is recorded is not having to listen to all the preamble and also being able to watch a couple round in double speed. Even at that speed, you could see that while Horn was giving it his all, Pacquiao was in control of the fight.

There was some blood from a head butt and Horn’s eye was closing over due to the beating  he was taking. At one point, the referee came over to Horn’s corner and let him know he was close to stopping the fight. To Horn’s credit, after hearing that he did put up a valiant effort, but in my opinion, it was all too late. The master had done exactly what he wanted to do…kept the underdog in the fight for the home crowd but walking away from the winner.

I am about to log into my betting account as I wait for the ring announcer. He reads off the cards…117-111, 115-113…I stop listening because I am certain of what I am going to hear next.

“The winner….”

I hit enter, and my balance starts to load.

“And…”

Still loading…

“NEW CHAMPION”

WHAT. THE. $%#&@^$!

My balance has taken a beating. Somehow, the judges have scored this fight as a decision win for Horn. Not only that but for those of you who may not realize it, scoring a fight 117-111 means that a judge thought Horn won NINE OF THE TWELVE ROUNDS! A seven-year-old couldn’t have seen the fight that way. What a joke.

In Summary

I am sure I am not the only gambler who thinks this result is a load of crap. Whether it was the judges wanting to reward the hometown hero, or there was more at play, we may never know. But here is something I do know. There is a much larger “fight” coming up on August 26th in Las Vegas. The undefeated legend Floyd Mayweather is coming out of retirement to box against MMA loudmouth Conor McGregor. The fight is already expected to break revenue records, and all experts give McGregor no shot. But…when there is a lot of money on the line in bets, you never know just what might happen.

One thing I can guarantee…I will have no money on that fight. Or any other boxing match again.

Betting on Boxing is dead to me.

Now…are there any SummerSlam odds posted yet?

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