Betting on Which English Premier League Manager Will Be Sacked Next

| October 14, 2019 1:57 pm PDT
Next EPL Manager to be Sacked

We didn’t have to wait long for the first Premier League managerial casualty this season. Watford’s head coach Javi Gracia got the boot after just four games in charge. This was expertly predicted by my colleague at the start of the new season and is another reminder of the ruthless nature of the current club owners in the Prem.

Gracia was well-liked by the fans and he even managed to lead Watford to the FA Cup final last year. However, it was deemed that the team has stalled under him and a change was needed. The Hornets reinstated Quique Sanchez Flores to the position and he will now have the task of steering the team to safety.

There’s no telling how long his tenure will last this time, but he’s not alone in the hot seat. A host of ambitious Premier League clubs have been underachieving since the start of the campaign, and their managers have quickly come under fire.

As always, I’m curious to explore the betting angle here, so I’m going to highlight who those coaches are and share my thoughts on who you should back as the next EPL manager to be sacked.

Latest Odds for the EPL’s Manager Sack Race

Here are the current odds for the next Premier League manager to lose his job.

Marco Silva, Everton

Is it at all surprising that Marco Silva is the frontrunner here? Everton was tipped for greatness this year and a lot of people, including me, gave them a good chance of upsetting the Big Six. The team had an exciting summer transfer window that saw them add both flair and solidity to the ranks.

The key to a successful start was how well the manager could make use of all his resources. So far, it’s not looking good. The pieces look good on paper, but there’s no real end product. For all their attacking firepower, the team has scored only six goals in eight games. Only Watford and Newcastle United have registered fewer than that.

Star signing Moise Kean is still finding his feet in the league. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, the other center forward option, is talented but he can’t be expected to lead the line on a team with Top 6 aspirations. The defense hasn’t been much better either. Everton has shipped 13 goals so far, and it’s evident that they are sorely missing Idrissa Gueye who provided expert protection to the back four last season.

Given that the owners have invested heavily in the squad these past two years, I can’t imagine that they are enjoying the performances. The Toffees are currently sitting in the relegation places. If Marco Silva can’t turn the ship around fast, he’ll be looking for a new job sooner rather than later.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, Manchester United

How things have changed for Ole. His appointment last season lifted the spirits at Old Trafford and the results came immediately. Not only that, but the players were looking reenergized and were playing like a proper Manchester United team for the first time since Sir Alex Ferguson retired.

After coming back from a 0-2 deficit against PSG in the Champions League, Solskjaer was handed a permanent contract. Sure, United was atop the world back then, but Woodward’s decision struck me as a bit odd. Did it make sense to appoint the manager permanently before the end of the season?

I don’t think it did anything to help the players or settle down any nerves Solskjaer may have had. Ole himself said that he didn’t expect to get the job before the season ended. Overall, it was a very rash decision in my view and, now, Woodward will have to live with it. So far, he hasn’t exactly been vindicated.

The team embarked on a poor run of form as soon as Ole signed his contract, and they registered some heavy loses before the end of the season.

There was a bit of excitement around the club in the summer since they finally managed to sign a couple of decent defenders in Harry Maguire and Aaron Wan-Bissaka. But that was about it. Romelu Lukaku left for Inter and no established attacking options were added.

United did have a flying start, beating Chelsea 4-0 in their first EPL fixture. But as convincing as that sounds, it also revealed that Ole’s men have some glaring weaknesses to address. A very young and inexperienced Chelsea team still managed to get seven shots on target and had more possession than their opponents.

It was only a matter of time before the team’s shortcomings would surface, but I didn’t expect such a downfall so early. Since beating Chelsea, United has only won one home game against Leicester City, which could’ve gone either way.

They are currently sitting 12th and have only scored 5 goals in their last seven Premier League games. Players like Rashford and Pogba, who were flying last season, have been a huge disappointment so far. The fact that 21-year-old Daniel James is probably the only standout performer speaks for itself.

Simply put, United is not in a good place right now. And what’s worse is that I don’t think Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has the experience to turn things around. The honeymoon period is over and the club is facing a major hangover.

Ole might’ve been a good choice to take over temporarily, but he has been a disaster since signing his permanent deal. And just after seven short months, Woodward is left with a big decision to make yet again.

Mauricio Pochettino, Tottenham

I guess the international break came at the right time for the Spurs, since they completely fell off the track last week. The team has been largely unrecognizable this season and, if their early Newcastle defeat can be viewed as a small hiccup, their recent results suggest they are in a full-blown crisis.

After failing to beat Olympiakos in the Champions League, the Spurs fell to Leicester and endured an embarrassing exit from the League Cup at the hands of Colchester United. A hard-fought win against Southhampton for days later calmed the nerves a bit, but the team completely broke down in their next two games.

Bayern Munich came to town and Tottenham managed to get in front early on, but they ended up losing the game 7-2. It was a record hammering for Pochettino’s men and one that will remain firmly in their fans’ memory.

The trip to Brighton was to provide an opportunity for a quick fix, but instead, an inspired Seagulls team completely battered the Spurs and handed them a 3-0 defeat. Pochettino has a lot of stuff to contemplate during the break, but I fear that his problems may be deeper than just a bad run of form. It’s true that the team reached the Champions League final last year, so it’s crazy to say that Poch has to go.

However, their performances in the league have been bad for a while. They ended last season poorly and only got to the CL places by the skin of their teeth. It’s evident that the chemistry in the team is not the same.

A lot of the important players have been around for years, and the thought of how they may never reach the top has surely entered their heads by now. But don’t get me wrong, this is the best Tottenham side of the Premier League era and Pochettino is definitely their most successful manager in modern history.

Having said that, the Spurs don’t have anything to show for their efforts. And it does feel like the manager’s project may have run its course. The playing style is not as dynamic and tenacious as it once was, and the atmosphere around the team is a bit flat. I still think Pochettino will get a chance to remedy the situation, but it’s also true that a managerial change has never looked more likely since he was appointed in 2014.

 The Rest of the Bunch

Steve Bruce and Roy Hodgson were two of the early favorites to get the boot first, but after some positive performances it looks like they’re safe for the time being.

Hodgson at Crystal Palace is definitely working. The team is currently 6th and level on points with the likes of Chelsea and Leicester. Led by veteran Gary Cahill, Palace has been one of the best defensive teams in the league so far. And with players like Zaha and Jordan Ayew in front, there’s always the chance to nick a goal.  They have every chance of finishing in the top half of the table, so I don’t think Hodgson will be in any real danger this season if things don’t change dramatically.

Steve Bruce can’t relax just yet, but the recent victory over Man United will do wonders for the confidence of his players. The Toon are still close to the relegation zone, but in all fairness, they’ve had some tough matches so far.

I don’t expect much from their trip to Chelsea next week, but they have a series of very winnable games afterward. Being the Newcastle United manager will always be risky while Mike Ashley is still in charge, so a lot will depend on how the team fares until Christmas. For now, I believe Steve Bruce is doing enough to keep hold of his job.

Managers like Frank Lampard, Dean Smith, and Sean Dyche have also strengthened their positions with some positive results in the last weeks. All three of them were prime candidates at the start of the campaign, but are now maintaining a safe distance from the chopping block.

Final Pick

I would have to go with Marco Silva here. He’s had over a year to make something out of the huge investments the club made, and he’s fallen flat every time. Recent reports have suggested that the manager only has three games to turn things around.

In contrast, Solskjaer has been assured that his job will be safe even if United loses the derby against Liverpool. For me, it’s definitely between these two as I would be hugely surprised if Pochettino does not finish the season as Tottenham manager. Next summer may well bring about a mass exodus, but I don’t see how Daniel Levy could sack his most successful manager without giving him the chance to correct things first.

In these circumstances, I think the 1.90 odds for Silva are an absolute steal. There’s no other manager in the league who is feeling the heat more, and the decision to sack him shouldn’t be a hard one for the owners.

They already have a great team of players and simply need an experienced manager who can get the most out of them. They clearly chose Silva for the job, but he has not been up to the challenge and I think his days as Everton’s boss are numbered.

  • Marco Silva

Wrapping It Up

The odds for this market are constantly changing, so be sure to regularly check the best soccer betting sites for the latest updates.

I feel that betting on Marco Silva represents a great value at the moment, and I can only see the odds dropping. You could do a lot worse than to pick him.

For more soccer betting insight, don’t forget to keep visting our blog, where you’ll find all the latest analysis, predictions, and picks!

Elias Wagner

Elias Wagner has been a soccer fan since he was a young boy. He still has a huge passion for the sport itself as well as betting on it and writing about it.

Outside of soccer, Elias also enjoys other sports including basketball, tennis, and snooker. He's been writing for since 2018.

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