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Betting on the Top Run-Scorer in the 2021 Big Bash League – Odds and Player Analysis

| January 28, 2021 4:43 am PDT
Betting on the Top Run-Scorer in the Big Bash League (2021)

We have seen some seriously impressive batting performances throughout BBL 10, haven’t we?

With the playoffs set to kick off on Friday, January 29, it’s time to take a look at which players are in contention to finish as the 2020/21 Big Bash League’s top run-scorer.

Can Alex Hales get his hands on the Golden Bat? Or will Josh Philippe overtake the Thunder star and end up at the top of the run-scoring charts?

I assess the bookies’ odds for the BBL 10 top run-scorer and analyze the favorites below.

Latest Odds for the Top Run-Scorer in BBL 10

Here are the latest Big Bash League top run-scorer odds for 2021, courtesy of 10bet.

Alex Hales 1.30
Josh Philippe 5.50
Chris Lynn 7.00
Colin Munro 9.00
Alex Carey 11.00
Jake Weatherald 26.00
Jason Roy 34.00
Callum Ferguson 51.00

As you can see, Alex Hales (1.30) is the bookmakers’ clear favorite to win this year’s Golden Bat. The Englishman is currently 81 runs clear of his nearest challenger – Josh Philippe (5.50).

Heat star Chris Lynn (7.00) is also among the frontrunners, along with the Scorchers’ Colin Munro (9.00) and the Strikers’ Alex Carey (11.00).

The odds then take a significant jump up to Jake Weatherald (26.00), before Jason Roy (34.00) and Callum Ferguson (51.00) complete the market.

Let’s take a closer look at each BBL 10 Golden Bat contender.

Alex Hales (1.30)

  • Team: Sydney Thunder
  • Possible games remaining: 3
  • Current run tally: 535 (1st)

The Thunder booked their spot in the Knockout by finishing third in the standings, just one point shy of second-place Perth. Needless to say, the team’s impressive net run rate (+0.949) is largely down to the exploits of one man – Alex Hales.

Just days after scoring the first century of the competition against the Sixers, the powerful Brit surpassed Marcus Stoinis’ record for most sixes in a BBL season, scoring 63* against the Strikers in his previous outing.

Having already smashed 30 maximums this season, Hales is arguably in the form of his life. To go with his hundred, the 32-year-old has also scored three half-centuries, boasting a freakish strike rate of 163.61.

The Thunder could play as many as three more games this season, but even if Shane Bond’s men don’t make it all the way to the final, Hales could still easily finish as the tournament’s leading run-scorer.

Matches 14
Runs 535
High Score 110
Average 41.15
Fours 53
Sixes 30

Josh Philippe (5.50)

  • Team: Sydney Sixers
  • Possible games remaining: 3
  • Current run tally: 454 (2nd)

Before BBL 10 kicked off, we all knew that Josh Philippe was an exciting young prospect, right? But as we approach the business end of the campaign, it feels like the 23-year-old has now established himself as one of the best T20 batsmen on the planet.

Philippe’s wide range of shots allows him to score runs in almost any area, making him extremely difficult to bowl against. Granted, he doesn’t score as many sixes as Hales, although he is the second-highest four-hitter in the competition.

The Sixers starlet fell just five runs short of a century against the Renegades, smashing 95 off only 57 deliveries in his second appearance this season.

Greg Shipperd’s side faces a difficult Qualifier test against the Scorchers, but let’s not forget that Phillipe scored 84 runs against Perth less than a fortnight ago.

Matches 14
Runs 454
High Score 95
Average 32.42
Fours 51
Sixes 11

Chris Lynn (7.00)

  • Team: Brisbane Heat
  • Possible games remaining: 4
  • Current run tally: 420 (3rd)

Despite missing a number of games due to injury, Chris Lynn has still managed to climb up to third in the run-scoring charts before the playoffs get underway.

I mean, did you really expect anything less from the all-time leading BBL run-scorer?

Lynn was sidelined for four of the Heat’s matches earlier in the campaign, but he has since been making up for lost time. With a strike rate of 157.30, it is easy to see why he scores runs so quickly.

The experienced Queenslander has hit five 50s in ten outings this season. With Brisbane potentially playing four more games, Lynn arguably has an edge over the likes of Hales and Philippe, who only have a maximum of three matches remaining.

Matches 10
Runs 420
High Score 69
Average 42
Fours 34
Sixes 24

Colin Munro (9.00)

  • Team: Perth Scorchers
  • Possible games remaining: 3
  • Current run tally: 411 (5th)

English openers Jason Roy and Liam Livingstone have grabbed plenty of headlines this season, yet it could be argued that Colin Munro has been the Scorchers’ most consistent batsman in BBL 10.

Only Lynn has hit more half-centuries than Munro this term, while the New Zealand international’s average of 34.25 is among the best in the competition.

As you can see from the table below, Munro doesn’t score a crazy number of boundaries. Instead, he often relies on quick running between the wickets. This could work against him when it comes to overtaking the four players ahead of him in the current run-scoring charts.

Still, if the Sixers and the Thunder get knocked out early and Munro adds to his impressive half-century tally, he could find himself in possession of the Golden Bat come the end of the campaign.

Matches 13
Runs 411
High Score 82
Average 34.25
Fours 29
Sixes 18

Alex Carey (11.00)

  • Team: Adelaide Strikers
  • Possible games remaining: 4
  • Current run tally: 412 (4th)

In total, 16 players have scored more maximums than Alex Carey this season. But what the Strikers star lacks in brute force, he more than makes up for with class.

Indeed, Carey is one of only two players to have reached triple figures in a single innings in BBL 10, scoring a stylish 101 off 62 balls against the Heat.

Unfortunately, the Australian wasn’t able to back up his century in the final two games of the regular season, racking up just 31 runs across a double-header with the Thunder.

Carey currently finds himself 123 runs short of Hales’ total of 535, but while Hales may only have three games to enhance his tally, Carey and the Strikers could still have four matches to get the job done.

Matches 12
Runs 412
High Score 101
Average 34.33
Fours 42
Sixes 10

Jake Weatherald (26.00)

  • Team: Adelaide Strikers
  • Possible games remaining: 4
  • Current run tally: 401 (7th)

Jake Weatherald played 15 BBL games last year, averaging 29.07 with a strike rate of 133.88. However, you only have to look at this season’s statistics to see that Darwin native has taken his game to another level.

With 14 BBL 10 matches in the books, Weatherald is averaging 36.45 with a strike rate of 143.73. That’s a pretty impressive improvement, right?

Of course, with 134 runs less than Hales as things stand, securing the Golden Bat from here would take something very special. But it does feel like Weatherald is peaking at just the right time.

The left-hander scored 30+ against both the Heat and the Thunder in the run-in to the playoffs, before smashing an unbeaten 80 off 47 deliveries in his most recent outing.

Matches 14
Runs 401
High Score 80*
Average 36.45
Fours 36
Sixes 21

Jason Roy (34.00)

  • Team: Perth Scorchers
  • Possible games remaining: 3
  • Current run tally: 352 (12th)

Jason Roy may sit 12th in the current run-scoring charts. But with Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, and Ben McDermott all failing to reach the playoffs with their respective teams, Roy is destined to challenge the leading batsmen in the coming weeks.

In fact, Roy is one of the leading batsmen in the competition. Only two players – Hales and Philippe – have hit more fours than the Scorchers’ opener, and it is worth mentioning that he has played three games less than the majority of his rivals.

Roy top scored with 74* as the Scorchers demolished the Hurricanes by nine wickets in early January, and he has already scored 48 runs against the Sixers this year.

With Perth facing the Sixers in the Qualifier, Roy still has three games to chase down the Golden Bat frontrunners. 

Matches 11
Runs 352
High Score 74*
Average 35.20
Fours 43
Sixes 7

Callum Ferguson (51.00)

  • Team: Sydney Thunder
  • Possible games remaining: 3
  • Current run tally: 380 (9th)

The Sydney Thunder captain isn’t having the most prolific BBL campaign of his career, yet he still finds himself with an outside chance of finishing at the tournament’s top run-scorer in 2021.

With three half-centuries and a very respectable average to his name (31.66), Callum Ferguson is 155 runs short of team-mate Hales. Odds of 51.00 for Ferguson to win the Golden Bat may seem big, but they are probably fair.

With Hales scoring the bulk of the Thunder’s runs, it will be extremely tough for Ferguson to overtake his partner in crime. Barring a season-ending injury for Hales, Ferguson isn’t likely to finish at the top of the run-scoring charts this term.

Matches 14
Runs 380
High Score 61*
Average 31.66
Fours 37
Sixes 6

Who Will Win the BBL 10 Golden Bat?

At this stage, it is difficult to look past Alex Hales for obvious reasons.

Not only does the Englishman have the most runs in the competition (535), but he has also hit 30 sixes this season! If he continues in that manner, he will be almost impossible to stop.

Having said that, you’d be foolish to write off the likes of Philippe and Lynn altogether. If the Thunder gets knocked out early on, one of the bookmakers’ outsiders could easily overtake Hales.

Who knows how many runs Lynn would have scored if he had played every game this year!

Of course, Hales would be the safe bet here. Odds of 1.33 aren’t actually too bad, especially when you consider the circumstances.

But if you’re looking for a big, why not back one of the higher-priced outsiders?

If you’re planning to wager on the BBL 10 playoffs, head over to our cricket picks section for free betting tips and predictions.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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