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Betting Tips for NFL Week 9 (2020)
The Trade Deadline has passed, and believe it or not, the playoff picture is beginning to take shape. However, rather than look ahead and worry about the distant future, I’m locked into dishing out NFL betting tips for week 9.
Individual previews to all of the games are available in our NFL picks section if that’s what you’re looking for.
Those specifically looking to attack a couple of the matchups and get in tune with a noticeable trend, this post should be right in your wheelhouse.
Bet on the Buffalo Bills at BetNow
That’s a lot of “Bs,” but here’s the thing. With the Seahawks laying -2.5 points at nearly all of the top NFL betting sites, grabbing hold of Buffalo +3 (-110) at BetNow makes a ton of sense. On top of dealing with a host of injuries at the running back position, traveling to the east coast after staying out west since October 4th isn’t exactly ideal.
Sloppy performances against the Jets and Patriots have some concerned about the Bills legitimacy, but the Seahawks dreadful passing defense presents a great opportunity for Buffalo’s air attack to get back on track.
When I say that Pete Carrol’s secondary has been “dreadful,” I’m talking – alarmingly bad. Seattle is surrendering a mind-boggling 358.7 passing yards per game – by far the most in the league.
Stefon Diggs and John Brown on the outside combined with Cole Beasley working the middle of the field – I like Buffalo to control the tempo at home.
Ride the Underdog Train Even Further?
We know the general public likes betting on favorites. A perfect example was week 8 where the sportsbooks enjoyed their most fruitful day of the season. It’s no surprise underdogs went 10-4 ATS – which included seven outright wins.
Through the first eight weeks, underdogs are now 65-49-2 ATS (57%).
Thinking about some potential NFL upset picks for week 9, Denver is certainly intriguing. The Broncos are riding a ton of momentum after storming back against the Chargers, and Atlanta’s offense will be without one of their primary weapons.
Calvin Ridley won't practice but Raheem Morris considers him day-to-day. Ruled an ankle injury during last Thursday's game, Morris said it is a mid-foot injury.— Jason Butt (@JasonHButt) November 4, 2020
Given the Falcons have a bye looming in week 10, it seems highly unlikely we see Ridley on Sunday.
The moral here is anyone searching for NFL betting tips for week 9 – they should be aware of the value currently being carried by the dogs.
Back the Bucs on SNF
Don’t be concerned with Tampa’s lackluster performance on MNF versus the Giants – that’s already in the rear-view mirror. And while we don’t know if Michael Thomas is going to play for the Saints, we know another high-profile WR will suiting up for the Bucs.
Rocking a TB12 hat and speaking in a sincere tone during a Wednesday interview, Antonio Brown looks like he’s ready to set the league on fire. Playing at home in a prime-time spot, I don’t see anything Sean Payton can do to get in the way of Brady and company doing damage.
New Orleans has been suspect on the road and will now be without their top interior defender.
Sheldon Rankins suffered an MCL injury in his knee, according to a source. He avoided major injury. Expected to miss about three weeks.— Nick Underhill (@nick_underhill) November 2, 2020
The waning arm strength of Drew Brees has been well documented, and the Buccaneers have the speed at the linebacker position to confront Alvin Kamara. Too much is stacked against New Orleans in this one – look for TB to roll.
This game would have earned a spot on my safest bets of the week, but NFL writer Noah Davis has four other games in mind.