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Betting on Surprises in the Top European Soccer Competitions, January 17-19

| January 17, 2020 8:24 am PDT
Premier League, Bundesliga, Sheffield United, Crystal Palace, Laliga and Serie A Logos

For the first time in a while, we have all of the top European soccer leagues playing this weekend. This opens the door to many games, and I intend to take full advantage by finding the top soccer sleepers to wager on this weekend.

I checked the betting odds of the top soccer bookmakers online, and here’s what I found.

The Best Sleepers in the English Premier League This Week

Let’s begin with the English Premier League, which offers several good options.

Arsenal vs. Sheffield United

There’s little doubt that Mikel Arteta has improved Arsenal since arriving as the new manager. The team plays with more discipline and purpose than before. However, their results have been inconsistent.

There was a good win against Manchester United, but Arsenal failed to beat a crippled Crystal Palace side and the struggling Bournemouth. If you add the shaky performance against Leeds United in the FA Cup, it’s hard to expect much from the Gunners.

Arteta will need more time and new players to reach the desired level. Before he gets there, the team will be vulnerable, and the next opponent in the English Premier League has the means to take full advantage of that.

Sheffield United has been the pleasant surprise in the league so far, and the team can be very frustrating for the opposition. The strong defense and the direct style should cause Arsenal all sorts of problems.

If you add the fact that the home side will be without the suspended Aubameyang, the price of +330 for the visitors to win looks really tempting, and I’m willing to take it.

Pick
  • Sheffield United to Win
    +330

Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace

Most people probably think that Crystal Palace has no chance in this match. The online betting sites seem to agree, as the price for the visitors is set at +1750. I don’t think I’ve seen such high odds in the EPL for a while.

I understand that the reigning champions have been playing well recently, and they have the home advantage. I also understand that the visitors are missing several important players, but this is insane.

Crystal Palace is still a solid team that has a strong defense and has managed to get results despite the injuries. If the visitors managed to hit City on the counter and score first, the away win is not that unlikely.

Let’s not forget that this has been one of the tough opponents for Man City recently. Palace won at the Etihad last season and has another draw in the campaign before. The team has the weapons to hurt the favorites once again.

Getting the victory here won’t be as shocking as the odds suggest, so I’m taking the bet because it represents excellent value.

The chances are slim, though, so I recommend you only place a small wager if you decide to follow my pick.

Pick
  • Crystal Palace to Win
    +1750

Newcastle vs. Chelsea

The third game I like is between Newcastle and Chelsea. The Blues have been inconsistent recently and have recorded a bunch of losses against modest teams. The main reason is the lack of experience of the backbone of this team.

On paper, Chelsea will face a side that has been struggling to get results in the past month or so. Newcastle lost several games, but they came against the likes of Manchester United, Leicester, and Everton.

I believe that the Magpies will certainly give it a go on Saturday, and they will be in a good mood after trashing Rochdale in the FA Cup replay on Tuesday.

The home advantage certainly is a factor here, and I don’t think that the price of +460 for Newcastle reflects the balance properly. The game should be tighter than the odds suggest, which is why I’m backing Newcastle here.

Pick
  • Newcastle to Win
    +460

The Best Sleepers in the German Bundesliga This Week

There is one match that I like in the German Bundesliga, so let’s take a look.

Paderborn vs. Bayer Leverkusen

At some point in the season, Paderborn looked destined for relegation, but the team woke up shortly before the winter break. A couple of good performances brought hope to the supporters, and I think Paderborn still has a chance to survive.

The defense improved, and the side is creating more chances on the other end nowadays. Paderborn will face Bayer Leverkusen at home on Sunday, and I believe we might see a surprise there.

The visitors haven’t been at their best recently, and losing here is on the table. The biggest issue of Leverkusen is the lack of goals, and if Paderborn opens the scoring, the favorites will be in a tough spot.

The price of +370 is just good enough to be worth a shot, if you ask me.

Pick
  • Paderborn to Win
    +370

Final Words

I hope you like my suggestions for the best soccer sleepers shared here, and I would like to hear your opinion in the comments below. Also, feel free to share your own ideas about crazy odds that might be worth a try.

Good luck!

Jerry Summer

Jerry Summer has a wide-ranging interest in gambling and the gambling industry. He's made a living out of both playing poker and betting on sports.

The English Premier League and the NBA are among Jerry's primary areas of expertise. He's knowledgeable about many other sports, too, along with poker and several casino games.

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