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Betting on the Super Bowl 55 MVP – Odds, Contenders, Sleepers, and Predictions

| January 30, 2021 6:00 am PDT
Super Bowl 55 MVP Odds

Who’s going to Disney World?

Every year since 1987, the Super Bowl MVP has been invited to parade around the theme park in Orlando and celebrate his success. Phil Simms was the first to shout out the famous phrase following a victory in Super Bowl 21, and we saw Patrick Mahomes carry-out a childhood dream when he uttered the words in 2020.

Looking ahead to the tilt in Tampa Bay, who’s next to spit out the quasi-patented sentence?

We’ll start with the odds to win the Super Bowl 55 MVP. I’ll address the obvious favorites, highlight a few sleepers, and ultimately deliver a prediction.

Super Bowl MVP Odds for 2021

Displaying the 2021 Super Bowl MVP odds from just one of the top Super Bowl betting apps didn’t seem appropriate. Not considering some of the blatant discrepancies staring us in the face.

Player MyBookie BetUS BetOnline
Patrick Mahomes -115 -140 -125
Tom Brady +200 +175 +225
Tyreek Hill +1000 +900 +1000
Travis Kelce +1000 +1200 +1200
Leonard Fournette +1200 +2800 +3300
Mike Evans +2800 +3500 +2800
Chris Godwin +2800 +3800 +3300
Tyrann Mathieu +4000 +7000 +5000
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +5000 +3800 +5000
Ronald Jones +5000 +5000 +6600
Antonio Brown +5000 +4500 +5000
Mecole Hardman +5000 +7000 +5000
Darrel Williams +5000 +4500 +6000
Shaquil Barrett +5000 +9000 +5000
Rob Gronkowski +6600 +7000 +6600
Devin White +6600 +4500 +6600
Jason Pierre-Paul +6600 +9000 +6600
Cameron Brate +10000 +12000 +10000
Scotty Miller +10000 +14000 +10000
Lavonte David +10000 +14000 +10000
Tyler Johnson +10000 +18000 +10000
Byron Pringle +10000 +14000 +10000
Demarcus Robinson +10000 +14000 +10000


Imagine backing Leonard Fournette at +1200 when he’s sitting at +3300 in another spot? Tyrann Mathieu’s price tags are all over the lot, while Shaq Barrett is +5000 on one app and +95000 on another.

Even the two quarterbacks are priced differently at each of these bookmakers.

Use the table above to peruse the Super Bowl MVP odds before locking anything in. That way, you’ll ensure you get the best number available.

Now for some insight into who’s likely to walk away with the hardware in hand.

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes was supposedly “hobbled” entering the AFC Championship game. The reigning Super Bowl MVP had just cleared concussion protocol and was dealing with a turf toe – surely he was going to struggle against a ravenous Buffalo defense.

Patrick Mahomes vs. the Bills – By the Numbers
Completions Attempts Completion % Yards TDs INT Passer Rating
29 38 76.3 325 3 0 127.6

Kansas City easily dispatched the Bills (38-24) to advance to a matchup against Tampa Bay. Those wondering if the Bucs pass rush will be able to get to Patrick, here’s what’s Mahomes did back in week 12 versus the Bucs – a game that was also played in Raymond James Stadium.

Completions Attempts Completion % Yards TDs INT Passer Rating
37 49 75.5 462 3 0 124.7

The Chiefs won that game as well.

Mahomes is the Super Bowl 55 MVP favorite for a reason – he’s the best player on the planet, and the Chiefs are favored to win this game. On the other hand, winning the Super Bowl MVP two years in a row rarely happens. It hasn’t occurred since Terry Bradshaw did it in Super Bowl’s 13 and 14.

Tom Brady, QB, Buccaneers

Remember the naysayers early in the year who were convinced that Tom Brady couldn’t throw the deep ball? They’ve now gone into hibernation on the heels of Brady balling out for the Bucs.

Credit his offensive line, extoll the weapons around him, justify the situation any way you want. The fact of the matter is Tom finished the regular season ranked 2nd in completions (401), 2nd in passing touchdowns (40), and third in passing yards (4,633). He was PFF’s second-highest graded quarterback, trailing just Aaron Rodgers. You know, the same guy he just defeated at Lambeau Field to earn a trip to his 10th Super Bowl.

TB12 already stands alone in the record books with four Super Bowl MVP awards. I’m sure he’s got room on his mantle back home to squeeze in a fifth trophy.

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Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs

I wonder if Bucs cornerback Carlton Davis is getting much sleep. The poor guy has been getting shredded this postseason and now must square off with the shiftiest receiver in the sport.

Everybody in and around the league is fully in tune with Tyreek’s speed and agility, and you won’t have to remind Todd Bowles how dangerous he is in the open field. Speaking of certain members of Tampa Bay’s personnel not getting any shut-eye during the lead-up to the Super Bowl, Bowles isn’t just tossing and turning at the thought of defending Hill.

My guess is he’s waking up multiple times per night in a heaping sweat.

To say that “The Cheetah” torched the Buccaneers in their previous matchup would be the understatement of the century.

Tyreek ended the game with a staggering 13-269-3 line.

Worth noting – the Super Bowl MVP isn’t typically an award that goes to a wide receiver, and in fact, just four have been honored since Jerry Rice in 1989.

Wide Receivers to Win the Super Bowl MVP since 1990
Year/Super Bowl Super Bowl MVP Team
2005/Super Bowl 39 Deion Branch New England Patriots
2006/Super Bowl 40 Hines Ward Pittsburgh Steelers
2009/ Super Bowl 43 Santonio Holmes Pittsburgh Steelers
2019 Super Bowl 53 Julian Edelman New England Patriots

Could a Tight End Win the 2021 Super Bowl MVP?

A tight end has never won the Super Bowl MVP, but perhaps that could change on February 7th. After all, and no disrespect to Tony Gonzalez, one can make the argument that the two best tight ends in the history of the league will be on the field in Tampa Bay.

Rob Gronkowski’s illustrious resume speaks for itself, and let’s not lose sight that he caught six balls for 106 yards against the Chiefs in week 12. Should Brady and Gronk connect for a couple of scores, it’s not out of the realm to think Rob could win the award.

As for Travis Kelce, he’s in a league of his own when it comes to tight ends putting up beefy numbers.

He’s the only tight end in NFL history to post five straight seasons of 1,000+ yards, and he just set the record for the most receiving yards in a single season by a tight end. And he didn’t even play in week 17.

Before I sign off on this topic, I’d be remiss if I didn’t allude to Cameron Brate being one of the Super Bowl 55 x-factors. Brady isn’t afraid to look his way and trusts Brate implicitly inside the red zone.

The moral here is if we’re ever going to see a TE with the Super Bowl MVP, the 2021 edition could be it.

Rob Gronkowski and Travis Kelce Super Bowl 55

Super Bowl 55 MVP Sleepers

Shaquil Barrett at +9000 at BetUS immediately jumps out. The “sack king” in 2019 sacked Aaron Rodgers three times in the NFC Championship game and won’t have to worry about getting past Eric Fisher on the edge. The Chiefs left tackle is out after suffering a torn Achilles against the Bills.

Another one of the Super Bowl 55 MVP sleepers worth a stab is Tyrann Mathieu. You know the “Honey Badger” will be out there for 100% of the snaps (barring an injury), and his role on Steve Spagnuolo’s defense is multi-dimensional. His knack for roaming around the field and making plays puts him in play at +7000.

Those who really want to go off the wall, how about a flier on Byron Pringle (+14000)?

Pringle was tied with Tyreek Hill for the most snaps played by any KC wideout against Buffalo and is slated to return kicks (and possibly punts) on Super Bowl Sunday. Even the potential return of Sammy Watkins won’t eliminate Byron from the game plan.

The Tampa Bay native returns to his old stomping ground with big plans in mind.

2021 Super Bowl MVP Prediction

It’s fun to speculate the Super Bowl 55 odds and ponder the possibilities. However, it’s hard to pick against the two quarterbacks when push comes to shove.

Patrick Mahomes is the easy choice if you believe Kansas City will emerge. Just look at how last year panned out.

Mahomes threw two interceptions in Super Bowl 54 and generated a 63.5 QBR. Running back Damien Williams racked up 133 yards and two touchdowns – both with under three minutes left in the game that turned out to be the deciding factor. And yet, it wasn’t enough to pry the award out of Mahomes’ hands.

Those who are siding with Tampa Bay coming out on top, +225 on Brady at BetOnline has to sound appealing.

Brady continues to defy all odds and demonstrate first-hand that age really is just a number. Seeking his 5th Super Bowl MVP award at the age of 43 shouldn’t be realistic, but that’s why so many peers have called him an enigma.

Do I have to decide between the two, or can I just plead the Fifth?

Fine, taking odds/upside into account, give me the GOAT.

For more on this debate, check out my colleague’s blog devoted to this very topic.

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Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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