Betting Preview for the 2021 Wimbledon Championships

By Zarko Naric in Tennis
| June 25, 2021 12:07 pm PST

Get your strawberries and cream, it’s time for the 2021 Wimbledon Championships!

After a one-year break caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Wimbledon is back. The world’s oldest tennis tournament will see its 134th edition commence on June 28. The only Grand Slam played on grass will finish with the Men’s Singles Final on July 11.

Over the course of almost two weeks, 128 players will compete for the “Gold Pineapple.” But only one will win it!

Who’s it going to be? SPOILER ALERT: Novak Djokovic! At least, that’s what oddsmakers think, as you can see for yourself in the list of 2021 Wimbledon favorites below.

Novak Djokovic1.90
Stefanos Tsitsipas6.50
Daniil Medvedev7.00
Roger Federer9.00
Alexander Zverev13.00
Matteo Berrettini15.00
Andrey Rublev34.00
Dominic Thiem34.00
Nick Kyrgios34.00
Jannick Sinner34.00

It’s not only the online sportsbooks that think the world #1 will win the trophy. I think so, too!

With Nadal opting out and Federer being out of form, Djokovic looks, by far, the biggest favorite. However, history thought me that you never know when Novak is concerned. Who knows, he might hit a lineswoman with the ball and get disqualified?

Why Djokovic Is Going to Win 2021 Wimbledon

Being the main 2021 Wimbledon favorite, Djokovic is priced at 1.90. The odds on the second favorite for winning the Men’s Singles are 6.50.

This shows how confident oddsmakers are that Djokovic is going to win it. And they have every right to be confident!

It would be crazy not to think of Novak Djokovic as the strongest candidate for winning the 2021 Wimbledon. He’s my pick, even though the odds aren’t too attractive at 1.90.

Novak Djokovic is the best player on the planet right now. The 34-year-old Serbian is at the very summit of the ATP Rankings, with 1,970 points more than the #2, Daniil Medvedev.

Novak will stay there unless he messes things up royally at Wimbledon. As he’s the defending champion, he could end up losing 2,000 points. Still, reaching the Second Round of the Wimbledon (and getting 45 ranking points) would mean securing the top spot.

Of course, his ambitions are much, much higher than the Second Round. Actually, anything but winning his third Grand Slam of 2021 would be a disappointment!

By getting ahold of the 2021 Wimbledon trophy, Djokovic would make a giant leap toward settling the tennis GOAT debate in his favor.

Other reasons why the Djokovic Wimbledon odds are so short include the following.

  • He’s won it six times already, the most recent title happened at the last tournament.
  • Djokovic has been in fantastic form in 2021, winning two Grand Slams already.
  • He’ has a decent chance to complete the Golden Grand Slam this year (four Grand Slam titles + Olympic Gold).

On top of everything, his biggest nemesis, Rafa Nadal has decided not to take part in the tournament. The other GOAT candidate, Roger Federer, is still in the game, but his recent performances make him a huge underdog.

Reasons Why Roger Federer Won’t Go Far

Roger Federer holds the record for the most titles in Gentlemen’s Singles at Wimbledon in the history of the tournament that stretches all the way back to 1877.

The Swiss legend has won it eight times so far, the most recent one happening four years ago. In fact, the 2017 Wimbledon title was one of his last big achievements.

The 2018 Australian Open win was the last time Federer won
a Grand Slam.

Oddsmakers are giving 1.40 on Federer not to grab another Grand Slam title before the end of his career. Sounds like a sure bet, the only problem being that you might have to wait for several more years before it’s settled.

The reason behind his title drought is that he had to undergo knee surgery which meant he had to stay off the court for months. It happened in 2020, but Federer still can’t find a proper form.

We saw him skipping the Australian Open in February. Three months later, we saw his French Open adventure coming to a premature end in Round 4.

From there, he went to Germany to play ATP Halle, a grass-court tournament. It was supposed to be his general rehearsal for Wimbledon, but another disappointment followed. Federer got knocked out of the tournament in Round 2.

The 39-year-old didn’t look good physically on the court. He also looked bad emotionally in the post-match press conference, to which he arrived some two and a half hours later than agreed.

Knowing all this, his chances of winning the Wimbledon do not look particularly good. In fact, 9.00 on Federer looks way too short.

It seems that betting against the Swiss would be a much better alternative.

Can Tsitsipas or Medvedev Ruin Djokovic’s Plans?

Federer certainly doesn’t seem like someone who could stop Djokovic on his way to the 2021 Wimbledon title.

Does the same go for Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniil Medvedev? The short answer is yes.

This goes especially for Tsitsipas, who doesn’t seem to know how to play against Djokovic. The Serbian player beat him in each of their past four meetings.

The last of those was the Final of the 2021 French Open. At Wimbledon, however, the two cannot meet in the Final, as they’re placed at the same side of the bracket. The reason is that Novak is the #1 seed; Stefanos is #3.

The #2 seed is the one who can meet Djokovic only in the final. The man in question is the 6’6 Russian Daniil Medvedev.

The bad news for his fans is that Medvedev doesn’t have a great track record when it comes to playing at Wimbledon. He never went past Round 3!

This time, however, we should see him going far. How far? That remains a big question, as Medvedev could run into some tough opponents on the way to the final.

One of those is Matteo Berrettini, who’s coming to Wimbledon after winning the Queen’s Club Championships.

Backing Mateo Berrettini to Go Far

The winner of the Cinch Championships at The Queen’s Club looks like one of the Wimbledon dark horses.

That man is Matteo Berrettini, a 25-year-old Italian, who’s been in an imperious form over the last couple of weeks.

Famous as an all-around player, Berrettini has polished his serve recently, clocking in some impressive speeds.

In the final of the Queen’s, he recorded a serve speed of 143 mph. That’s very close to his all-time record of 146 mph.

In comparison, the main Wimbledon favorite, Novak Djokovic has a personal best of 136 mph.

Speaking of Novak, he and Matteo have already met once this year. The tournament was the French Open, and Novak was the winner with 3-1 in sets.

If they meet against, Djokovic will probably win again. However, with a bit of luck, Berrettini could get to face the GOAT contender very late in the tournament, possibly even in the final.

Who’s Winning Wimbledon in 2021?

It’s got to be Novak Djokovic. He’s never had such an easy job, so not winning would be a major upset for the reigning Wimbledon champ.

Still, we all know that he can lose his marbles. That raises the question of whether backing Djokovic to win the 2021 Wimbledon is worth it. This goes especially knowing that the odds are so short.

If 1.90 isn’t attractive enough for you, there are plenty of other Wimbledon betting options to choose from.

I say bet against Roger Federer once (or better say “if”) he gets to square off with a Top 20 player. 

Also, do not expect too much from Tsitsipas or Medvedev. The one you should expect a lot from is Berrettini. Feel free to bet on the Italian all the way until he’s faced with Djokovic.  

Still not enough Wimbledon betting advice for you?  Then have a read of our Wimbledon betting guide.

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