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Betting Preview of the 2020 NASCAR Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 – Odds, Best Bets, and Pick

| June 10, 2020 3:43 am PDT
2020 NASCAR Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500

Despite winning the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 last Sunday, Kevin Harvick finds himself lingering outside of the pack of favorites for the 2020 NASCAR Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 this Sunday, June 13 at Martinsville.

The latest odds for this weekend’s Cup Series race are available on our recommended NASCAR betting sites, and it is no surprise to see the usual suspects favored with the bookies. 

Last season’s Cup Series champion Kyle Busch is the favorite to win at Martinsville, with Brad Keselowski — the winner of this race in 2019 — the second favorite. Martin Truex Jr., Chase Elliott, and Denny Hamlin make up the top five favorites for the race in Ridgeway, Virginia.

So, less of the small talk and on to the pressing matters at hand — who should you target when betting on who wins the 2020 NASCAR Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500? What are the odds for the race? And where is the value to be had on the grid? 

Well, you will find the answers to those questions below. First things first, let’s start with a little analysis of the odds.

Latest 2020 Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 Winner Odds

I have taken the odds above from the BetOnline sportsbook. They are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.

And in case you can’t find the driver you are looking for, don’t fret — you can find a comprehensive list of drivers (and their odds) by visiting the site via the link above. 

So, how about the odds for the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500? It is rare to say otherwise when it comes to the best NASCAR betting sites, but the oddsmakers seem to have the order of the pack heading into this race pretty much spot on.

But given the randomness of the season since lockdown has been lifted on racing, I think it’s worth taking looking a little deeper into the odds here. Naturally, there are arguments for and against the top five favorites’ odds winning this race. Additionally, there is a case to argue that factors like the recent track records of drivers at Martinsville Speedway might not be worth throwing all your chips at.

The 2020 season has been a strange one, for obvious reasons. But looking past the lack of spectators at races and concerns over health, the schedule has been very tightly packed and heavy on drivers. And from that, we have seen a lack of consistency. 

Only Kevin Harvick (+1000) and Brad Keselowski (+550) have won more than one Cup Series race since the season has been back up and running. Harvick is coming off a win at the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 on Sunday, which was his second win of the season following victory at Darlington on May 17. 

Keselowski won the Coca-Cola 600 on May 24 and followed that up with a win at the Food City 500 the following Sunday. He is tied with Martin Truex Jr. (+650) with the best record of all drivers on the grid in the last four races at Martinsville, with one win, three top fives, and four top tens. He also won here in April 2017.

The defending Cup Series champion, Kyle Busch (+400), still has yet to register his first win of the 2020 season. He won at “The Half Mile of Mayhem” in October 2017 and has four top-fives in his last five races here.

Who to Fade and More Trends

Busch has three runner-up finishes this season but has failed to capture the same form of 2019 that saw him win three races in as many starts as he has had in 2020. Needless to say, I’m not sure Busch is worth backing to win at odds of -400.

Chevrolet’s days of dominance at Martinville are behind them. The manufacturer won nine from ten races here between 2011 and 2015, with Jimmie Johnson’s 2016 victory at the Goody’s Fast Relief 500 the last win that they have had on the track.

Martin Truex Jr. (Toyota) was the last winner of a Cup Series race at Martinsville when he took the checkered flag from a starting position of 3rd in the 2019 First Data 500. Prior to that win, Ford won three in a row here with Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, and Clint Bowyer all registering victories between 2018 and 2019.

2020 Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 Top 3 Betting

I was off the mark with my top value predictions for top-three finishes at Atlanta on Sunday. But I won’t let the slight disappointment of seeing the two favorites finishing 1st and 2nd deter me this weekend. 

I mean, how dare Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch live up to their tags as favorites? But all jokes aside, there is value in the following three drivers this Sunday — if not some pocket change on the following guys to win, maybe a couple of dollars for a top-three finish?

  • Jimmie Johnson
  • Aric Almirola
  • Chris Buescher

My Pick to Win the 2020 Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500

Pick
  • Kevin Harvick
    +1000

Harvick, the Stewart-Haas Racing star, sits atop of the Cup Series standings with 421 points. With two wins and six top fives, he deserves to be there, too.

In a season lacking consistency, Harvick has been reliable. Coming off a win last Sunday, Harvick’s confidence will be sky-high. Even if he is starting at 10th on the grid, “Happy Harvick” has what it takes to be the first driver this season to make it to three wins.

Brad Keselowski and Martin Truex might have better records here in recent times, but Harvick can ride the momentum of a promising season so far into this race. A steady ship has eluded most in the Cup Series so far, but the 44-year-old is showing championship-winning quality early on. And, well, that has to count for something.

At odds of +1000, Harvick’s price will be red hot in the coming days. If you agree with my pick, get on him now because these odds will not last long!

Fade Busch in Favor of Harvick?

Sure, fade Kyle Busch. I mean, Busch’s odds (+400) are based on two things — he is the defending champion, and he has three top-fives at Martinsville in four races. Hardly enough material to justify being the favorite in my eyes.

Why? Well, Busch’s odds are not backed up by anything substantial this season. He has hinted at finding form but has yet to win a race. Harvick (+1000), on the other hand, offers much better value, especially given his form and speed this season.

I’m sticking with Harvick to win the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500, but I have some value picks and sleepers for the race this Sunday, June 13, that you do not want to miss out on. So bookmark our NASCAR betting blog for more Cup Series odds, bets, news, and previews for that and, of course, the other big races coming up!

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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