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Betting Preview for the 2019 KitchenAid Senior PGA Championship

| May 21, 2019 12:00 am PDT
KitchenAid Senior PGA Championship Odds and Predictions

Players are making their way to upstate New York for the 2019 KitchenAid Senior PGA Championship.

Action in the Champions Tour’s second major of the year gets underway on Thursday morning, although who ends up hoisting the Alfred S. Bourne Trophy on Sunday is still completely up in the air.

After running away with the Regions Tradition two weeks ago, Steve Stricker will look to keep his foot on the gas and tack another major onto his resume.

Last year’s Senior PGA winner Paul Broadhurst arrives at Oak Hill Country Club on the heels of a 6th-place finish last time out, Vijay Singh is ready to pounce, and Scott McCarron is dominating the Charles Schwab Cup Money List.

I can’t forget about guys like Miguel Angel Jimenez or Jeff Maggert, and failing to mention Bernhard Langer would be simply unacceptable.

Let’s dive right into this Senior PGA Championship betting preview and find out where the betting value lies.

2019 Senior PGA Championship – Odds to Win

Here are the odds to win, courtesy of Bovada.lv. They’ve priced exactly 30 golfers at +7500 or better to end the week as champion. Does anything jump out?

Steve Stricker+500
Bernhard Langer+750
Scott McCarron+1100
Jerry Kelly+2000
Miguel Angel Jimenez+2000
Vijay Singh+2200
Scott Parel+2500
Jeff Maggert+2800
Paul Goydos+2800
Kirk Triplett+3500
Marco Dawson+3500
Tom Lehman+3500
Billy Andrade+4000
Brandt Jobe+4000
Colin Montgomerie+4000
Joe Durant+4000
Prayad Marksaeng+4000
Retief Goosen+4000
Bob Estes+4500
Ken Tanigawa+5000
Lee Janzen+5000
Paul Broadhurst+5000
Woody Austin+5000
Stephen Leaney+6000
Billy Mayfair+7000
Glen Day+7500
Ken Duke+7500
Phillip Price+7500
Stephen Ames+7500
Thaworn Wiratchant+7500

Bovada.lv has long been one of the most complete sports betting sites around and they are among the best places for US bettors to go to when looking to bet on Champions Tour golf tournaments. You can also check out our full list of recommended golf betting sites for some alternatives.

Can Steve Stricker Go Back-to-Back?

Steve Stricker missed a 4-footer for birdie on his final hole on Friday afternoon that would have qualified him for weekend play at Bethpage Black. Missing the cut might have irked Steve at the time, but perhaps not subjecting himself to the difficulties that were presented over the weekend was a blessing in disguise.

Go back to the week before, and you’ll see that Stricker is oozing with confidence.

“Strick” made just one bogey over the course of 72 holes at the Regions Tradition in Birmingham. His four-day performance of 18-under-par resulted in a 6-shot victory and the first major championship of his career — on any tour, for that matter.

Whether or not Steve can be the last man standing in Rochester remains to be seen, but I can assure you that he’ll have more than one blemish on his scorecard this time around. The last time the Senior PGA Championship was held at Oak Hill’s demanding East Course was back in 2008 when Jay Haas shot 7-over par and won the golf tournament.

I’m a little concerned that Steve will be teeing it up for the third week in a row. However, the “two days off” last weekend could really bode well in that sense. Stricker is going to have to play disciplined and patient golf if he plans on sustaining success, and there’s absolutely no reason to think that won’t be the case.

After opening the 2019 Champions Tour with a 29th-place finish at the Mitsubishi Electric Championship at Hualalai, Steve has gotten incrementally better with each start.

Strick logged an 11th at the Chubb Classic and recorded a 6th at the Cologuard Classic. He finished 5th at the Rapiscan Systems Classic before winning the Regions Tradition, meaning this dude is firing on all cylinders.

Not only is he primed to win consecutive majors, but he undoubtedly deserves to be the betting favorite.

Is There Any Value Associated With Bernhard Langer at +750?

As good as the sweet-swinging 61-year-old German golfer is, I’d be much more inclined to back him had he been listed in the +1000 range.

We can’t forget that Bernhard Langer has already won 10 majors on the senior circuit, and I must point out that in seven starts thus far this season, he’s yet to finish worse than 15th place. In other words, almost no scenarios exist in which Bernhard isn’t at least in contention over the weekend.

Langer clocks in at 5th on the Champions Tour total driving, 2nd in greens in regulation (GIR), and 1st in scrambling. It’s no surprise he leads the tour in scoring average when you consider how consistent this man is on a day-in-day-out basis, nor should there be a surprise he’s listed at +750 to win.

Langer opted to skip the 2018 Senior PGA Championship so that he could attend his son’s high school graduation, but nothing is getting in the way of him competing at Oak Hill this week. He’s no doubt on the short list of who I expect to be in the mix on Sunday.

Scott McCarron Is Lurking

Two wins and a total of six top 10s, and we’re not even into the month of June yet. Scott McCarron is having one heck of a year on the PGA Tour Champions, having more than a $285,000 cushion over Bernhard Langer in the Charles Schwab Cup Money List.

McCarron played poorly at Greystone Golf and Country Club en route to finishing in a tie for 66th place, and perhaps that will scare casual bettors away from investing in him this week. Nonetheless, I feel obligated to point out that Scott finished 3rd at the 2018 Senior PGA Championship, marking the third consecutive time he cracked the top 7 at this event.

Kicking things off at 7:40 am on Thursday with “Calc” and “Monty,” McCarron could be off to the races in the early going. Rather than experience FOMO if and when that occurs, place a wager on Scotty at +1100.

You might be in for a sweat.

Are There Any Dark Horses to Be Aware Of?

If you consider Paul Goydos (+2800) and Tom Lehman (+3500) as dark horses, then I would unequivocally say yes.

But if you want to dive a bit further down the betting sheet and try to lock into some extreme upside, how about a guy like Tim Petrovic at +9000?

Really, Tim Petrovic?

Tim Petrovic hasn’t had his best stuff in 2019, but he did finish runner-up to Paul Broadhurst at last year’s Senior PGA. The 52-year-old Massachusetts native played collegiately at the University of Hartford and has plenty of familiarity competing in the Northeast.

His season game log of just three top 25s and a lone top 10 isn’t anything to write home about, but Tim has made each and every cut and ranks 9th in first-round scoring average.

Should Petrovic get off to a quick start, he could be a candidate to keep the ball rolling.

Lee Janzen Is Worth a Look at +5000

Lee Janzen had just a pair of top-10 finishes through his first seven events but has now hit the ground running. Lee parlayed his 7th-place showing at the Bass Pro Shops Legends of Golf into a solo-third at the Insperity Invitational.

Janzen registered a 6th two weeks ago at the Regions Tradition — a tournament in which he led the entire field in birdies (22) and ranked 2nd in putts per GIR. I have a hunch that Lee can carry the positive momentum into Oak Hill, and his handsome +5000 price tag most certainly has me intrigued.

My Pick to Win the 2019 KitchenAid Senior PGA Championship

Quite frankly, had David Toms decided to play this week as opposed to participating in the PGA Tour’s Charles Schwab Challenge, he would have likely been my pick to win.

But that’s neither here nor there, so I’m forced to focus on the task at hand.

And that leads me right into a discussion about Jerry Kelly, another former University of Hartford golfer.

Jerry has yet to emerge victorious in a major championship on the Champions Tour. However, seeing his best buddy get the monkey off his back two weeks ago should serve as plenty of inspiration.

When Steve Stricker was bludgeoning the field at the Regions Tradition, Kelly was busy finishing 12th. This came after Jerry placed 7th at the Insperity Invitational, which directly followed up a 2nd at the Mitsubishi Electric Classic.

The setup this week at the East Course at Oak Hill isn’t designed for the faint of heart. Things will get messy. The ability to salvage pars when out of position will be vital for success, which is why I love the fact that Kelly trails only Bernhard Langer in the scrambling department.

Angling for his first “W” in 2019, I’d get on board the Wisconsinite had he been priced at +1600.

Consider the +2000 a friendly discount.

PICKJerry Kelly+2000

Final Words

I’d love to promise you we’ll see loads of birdies and eagles all week long and that someone will post 20-under par. Unfortunately, that won’t be the reality of the situation at Oak Hill’s treacherous East Course.

Tune into The Golf Channel’s telecast of the 2019 KitchenAid Senior PGA Championship on Thursday and Friday and move over to NBC for national coverage over the weekend.

If Jerry Kelly goes on to win, “you’re welcome” for the free advice.

Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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