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Betting on the EPL Title Race – December 2020 Update With Latest Odds and Analysis

| December 4, 2020 6:53 am PDT
Latest Premier League Title Odds December 2020

We may only be ten games into the 2020/21 EPL campaign, yet it already feels like this season’s title race will go down to the wire.

With just three points separating the top four sides and only six points between first-place Tottenham and Man City down in 11th, it’s fair to say that any number of teams could lift the trophy in May.

To put things into perspective, Liverpool was already six points clear at this stage last term, while fifth-place Arsenal was a whopping 12 points behind.

Let’s start by checking out the latest 2020/21 Premier League outright winner odds before taking a closer look at the bookmakers’ favorites.

The Current EPL Table – How Things Stand

As you can see, Tottenham and Liverpool currently lead the way, with Chelsea and Leicester hot on their heels.

Surprise packages West Ham and Southampton complete the top six, although Man Utd, Aston Villa, and Man City would all overtake them if they won their games in hand.

Even Leeds and Newcastle could find themselves at the top end of the table if they string a couple of wins together. The Gunners are all the way down in 14th, but they are only eight points behind the leaders.

With three-quarters of the season still remaining, the title race is wide open. Let’s take a look at the frontrunners.

Man City Remains the Favorite

Despite making a below-par start to the 2020/21 campaign, Man City is still the bookies’ marginal favorite to win the Premier League title this season.

Pep Guardiola’s men have only managed to win four of their nine matches so far, with defeats to title-rivals Leicester (5-2) and Tottenham (2-0) coming along the way. But the manner with which they destroyed Burnley last time out was hugely impressive.

A Riyad Mahrez hat-trick helped the Cityzens crush the Clarets 5-0. Following a spell of indifferent results, it felt like Man City sent out a big statement to the rest of the league last weekend.

City’s forward line may not be at its free-flowing best right now. In fact, nine teams have scored more goals than Guardiola’s side this term. But it is worth mentioning that only one team – Tottenham – has conceded fewer goals.

If Man City can maintain their strong defensive record and continue to smash five goals past their opponents on a regular basis, it will surely only be a matter of time before the 2018/19 champions are back where they belong.

Guardiola may be tempted to dip into the transfer market when the January window opens. With Sergio Aguero struggling with injuries, I wouldn’t be surprised if the manager is considering adding attacking reinforcements to his squad.

If City can bring in a regular goal-getter to complement current top-scorers Raheem Sterling and Ferran Torres, the team will only be stronger.

Oh, and let’s not forget that Man City boasts one of the best players – if not the best player – in the league. Kevin De Bruyne has already contributed five assists this season. His ability to unlock defenses is unrivaled.

Can Liverpool Defend Their Crown?

If the defending champions were expecting this season to be as easy as the last, they have already been proven wrong.

Liverpool cruised to EPL glory last term, finishing a mammoth 18 points clear of second-place Man City. Indeed, a remarkable 27-game unbeaten streak – 26 wins and one draw – at the start of the campaign effectively saw the Reds secure the title before the pandemic halted the league in March.

However, Jurgen Klopp’s side has managed to win just six of their opening ten matches this time around.

It is important to remember that Liverpool still sits joint-top of the table at the moment, so we can’t class this season as a complete disaster. But it is quite clear that the Merseysiders are nowhere near the level they were at last term.

Liverpool’s weaknesses were well and truly exposed in the astonishing 7-2 thrashing at the hands of Aston Villa back in October. To tell you the truth, I still can’t believe that happened!

It is no secret that Klopp’s squad has been decimated by injuries this year. With first-choice center-backs Virgil van Dijk and Joe Gomez expected to miss the remainder of the campaign, Liverpool will almost certainly be active in the January transfer window.

Thiago Alcantara has barely featured following his summer move from Bayern Munich, while key performers Trent Alexander-Arnold and Alisson Becker have both spent lengthy spells on the sidelines recently.

On a brighter note, new signing Diogo Jota has been a revelation. The former Wolves forward has already notched up nine goals in all competitions for his new club, keeping pressure on the Reds’ regular front three in the process.

Even with so many players missing, Liverpool is still competing at the top of the table. As their injured stars gradually return, the reigning champions will only improve.

Promising Signs for Chelsea

It’s safe to say that Chelsea made a shaky start to the season. Frank Lampard’s men were conceding goals at a rapid rate, with 3-3 draws against West Brom and Southampton underlining the team’s problems.

But following Kepa’s axing and Edouard Mendy’s arrival, the Blues’ backline has become one of the toughest in the division.

We all know that Chelsea’s squad is brimming with attacking talent. Timo Werner, Kai Havertz, and Hakim Ziyech were brought in to join the likes of Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham, and Olivier Giroud. But the team was unbalanced in the early stages of the campaign.

Fast-forward to today, and Lampard’s side now looks like one of the most complete teams in the Premier League.

Not only are the Blues the joint-highest scorers in England’s top-flight (22), they also boast the second-best defensive record (10). Lampard’s men have netted 16 goals across their last seven league matches, yet they have managed to keep five clean sheets during that period.

Chelsea heads into Matchday 11 on a 12-game unbeaten streak in all competitions, with eight wins and four draws keeping the Londoners competitive in both the EPL and the Champions League.

Lampard is an inexperienced manager. There is no denying that. However, his squad is packed with experienced players. Even at 36, Thiago Silva remains a world-class center-back, while Cesar Azpilicueta, N’Golo Kante, and Mateo Kovacic all know what it takes to win titles.

I don’t think many people expected the Blues to be serious EPL contenders this term, but as the season unfolds, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to think of reasons why they can’t challenge for the title.

Spurs Are in Pole Position

Can Jose Mourinho work his magic in the Premier League once again? Well, judging by Tottenham’s start to the season, you’d be foolish to write him off.

Spurs find themselves at the top of the pile after ten games, with their superior goal difference (+12) giving them the edge over Liverpool (+5). With just a single league defeat this term, the team is looking assured at both ends of the pitch.

In typical Mourinho fashion, Tottenham has conceded the least goals in the EPL this season. The backline has been resolute, while Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg has offered ample protection to the defense. But unlike many of Mourinho’s former teams, the Spurs have been scoring goals for fun.

Having netted 13 goals in 16 appearances this term, Harry Kane is on course to break the EPL scoring record. Son Heung-min has bagged nine goals in ten league matches, while Lucas Moura and Giovani Lo Celso have also chipped in.

When Gareth Bale rebuilds some match fitness and rediscovers some form, he will make Tottenham’s forward line even more frightening.

The question is – can Spurs maintain their current level throughout the entirety of the 2020/21 campaign? Personally, I think they can.

It could be argued that Tottenham didn’t have a deep enough squad to mount a serious title charge under Mauricio Pochettino. But Spurs now possess top-class cover in every position, making them genuine challengers.

With serial-winner Mourinho at the helm and the Kane-Son combination showing no signs of slowing down, Tottenham will be difficult to stop in the coming months.

Can Any of the Outsiders Challenge?

The Premier League table is seriously congested at the moment, yet the bookmakers clearly believe there are four clear title favorites.

The prices for Man City (2.80), Liverpool (2.90), Chelsea (6.50), and Tottenham (6.50) are pretty tight, but the odds jump up significantly when you get to Man Utd (23.00), while Leicester’s (41.00) price is even higher.

I think we can already write off Arsenal (126.00), Everton (151.00), and Wolves (151.00).

As things stand, I would say Leicester has the edge over Man Utd. The Red Devils have been wildly inconsistent this term, although the Foxes haven’t exactly been overly convincing.

I would be surprised if Leicester doesn’t pick up more points than Man Utd this season. Brendan Rodgers’ side seems to be a lot more settled than Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s, and there is far less pressure on the Foxes to succeed.

Having said that, I don’t think either team is capable of building a meaningful title challenge this term. In my opinion, the 2020/21 EPL title battle is a four-horse race.

Closing Thoughts

I’m very excited to watch the EPL title race develop over the coming months. Liverpool ran away from the rest of the league last term, but the Reds have declined somewhat this season, while Tottenham and Chelsea have upped their game.

Man City may be in the bottom half of the table right now, but I’m sure they won’t be there for much longer. Guardiola boasts one of the best squads in world soccer, so it won’t be long before the Cityzens find themselves among the frontrunners.

The bookies are currently favoring Man City and Liverpool, with Chelsea and Spurs behind the two favorites. But in my eyes, the 2020/21 Premier League title is there for the taking.

We provide free betting tips and predictions for every EPL game in our soccer picks section, along with many other leagues from around the world.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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