Betting on the Doug Polk vs. Daniel Negreanu Heads-Up Match

| August 17, 2020 4:58 am PDT
Betting the Doug Polk vs. Daniel Negreanu Heads-Up Match

The gloves are finally coming off.

Doug Polk has been instigating Daniel Negreanu for years and it looks like “DNegs” has finally cracked. The pair have agreed to battle it out on Twitch and give the fans what they want to see.

The format is set at two tables of $200-$400 NLH with the heads-up match taking place over the course of between 10,000-25,000 hands. The exact number of hands played is still to be determined, but here’s what we know.

When these two mega personalities in the poker world clash, you better have your popcorn ready.

Below is my Doug Polk vs. Daniel Negreanu Heads-Up prediction and all the info needed to cash in.

Doug Polk vs. Daniel Negreanu Odds

Doug Polk-275
Daniel Negreanu+215

The betting sites are convinced that Negreanu is a genuine underdog in this match. Ironically, “Kid Poker” has agreed wholeheartedly.

“He will try and tell you he hasn’t played in a couple years so that somehow evens the playing field, but I haven’t played this format in about 10 years, and when I did, it was for approximately a six-week period. It was shortly before Black Friday. So let’s not kid ourselves that this is a level playing field.”

Sounds to me like Negreanu is already lining up the excuses in the event things don’t go his way.

We all know Doug’s specialty was playing heads-up No-Limit Hold’em for the majority of his career and has logged countless hands against the world’s top HU specialists. Considering Polk has boasted about being up lifetime against heroes like “Jungleman” and “Sauce,” perhaps this line is reasonably fair.

Remember, this isn’t going to be a couple of guys sitting down for an hour or two playing a single session where anything could pan out. Once the sample size eclipses 10,000+ hands in a heads-up format, the cream will eventually rise to the top.

Doug Polk vs. Daniel Negreanu Prediction

If I could lay -120 that this match never ends up taking place, that’s probably where I’d put my money. The more Polk publicly antagonizes Negreanu and bothers him like a pest, the more likely Daniel will come to his senses and pull the plug on the operation altogether.

Seriously, if Daniel truly believes he’s such a distinct underdog, why put yourself at risk of losing a bunch of money? And for someone who cares about his image as deeply as Daniel does, why expose yourself to the poker world in a format that you’re likely to get embarrassed in?

You’ve already made it clear you don’t like or respect Doug as an individual, so why do you want to lock horns and battle him heads-up for an inordinate amount of time? It’s not like you need the money or the extra publicity.

On the other hand, it makes all the sense in the world that Doug is “all-in” on this match.

Dueling with arguably the most popular figure in poker is going to boost his viewership and subscriber count – regardless of where the chips fall. Squaring off against a “lesser opponent” will take “WCGRider” back to his bum hunting days on PokerStars and Full Tilt Poker.

I’m a fan of Negreanu and the way he interacts with others and helps grow the game. Nonetheless, backing him in this heads-up challenge issued by Polk isn’t something that piques my interest.

One this collision reaches 10K hands, the variance will become harder and harder to overcome.

  • Doug Polk
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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