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Betting Advice for the Round of 16 at Euro 2020

| June 24, 2021 2:55 pm PDT

And just like that, the Euro 2020 group stage is over.

Italy, Belgium, and the Netherlands all qualified for the knockout phase with a 100% record, while France, Germany, and Portugal survived a late scare to make it out of the so-called “group of death.”

Turkey and North Macedonia were both eliminated without a single point to their name, while Ukraine was the only team with three points to scrape through.

Before we get stuck into my Euro 2020 round of 16 predictions, let’s take a look at the draw.

  • Wales vs. Denmark
  • Italy vs. Austria
  • Netherlands vs. Czech Republic
  • Belgium vs. Portugal
  • Croatia vs. Spain
  • France vs. Switzerland
  • England vs. Germany
  • Sweden vs. Ukraine

There are two obvious heavyweight clashes here – Belgium vs. Portugal and England vs. Germany.

With favorable draws, Italy, Spain, France, and the Netherlands are all expected to reach the quarter-finals. However, Wales vs. Denmark and Sweden vs. Ukraine are by no means clear-cut ties.

After looking at the updated European Championship odds, I will share my Euro 2020 predictions for every round of 16 match.

Let’s get right into it!

Latest Euro 2020 Winner Odds

With the group stage behind us, all the top-rated online sportsbooks have updated their odds for the Euro 2020 outright winner. Here are the latest prices.

Czech Republic67.00

Despite winning just one of their three group games, France (4.50) remains the bookies’ favorite to lift the trophy.

Germany (6.50), Italy (7.00), England (7.50), and Spain (8.00) are all relatively evenly priced, with the Netherlands (9.50), Belgium (10.00), and Portugal (13.00) also in the mix.

Denmark (21.00) sits between the frontrunners and the outsiders, leaving Sweden (51.00) to complete the top ten. After that, the prices range from 67.00 to 126.00.

Below, I share my round of 16 predictions for each Euro 2020.

My Euro 2020 Round of 16 Predictions

Let’s take a closer look at each round of 16 clash and make some Euro 2020 predictions.

Wales vs. Denmark

  • Date: Saturday, June 26
  • Venue: Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Wales to Qualify3.10
Denmark to Qualify1.36

Wales and Denmark kick off the Euro 2020 knockout phase in the Dutch capital, having both qualified for the last 16 as second-place sides.

After drawing with Switzerland, Wales produced a solid display to see off Turkey before giving a good account of themselves against Italy. However, the Dragons were beaten by the Azzurri and lost midfielder Ethan Ampadu to a red card.

The harrowing Christian Eriksen situation overshadowed Denmark’s tournament to begin with, as Kasper Hjulmand’s men suffered back-to-back defeats to Finland and Belgium. But they flexed their muscles last time out, thrashing Russia 4-1.

Although Wales is blessed with individual stars like Gareth Bale and Aaron Ramsey, it feels like the Denmark team is stronger. For that reason, I’m backing the Danes to edge out the Dragons.

  • My Pick: Denmark to Qualify (1.36)

Italy vs. Austria

  • Date: Saturday, June 26
  • Venue: Wembley Stadium, London
Italy to Qualify1.20
Austria to Qualify4.50

I think it’s fair to say that Italy slipped under the radar in the lead-up to the tournament. However, Roberto Mancini’s men are suddenly among everyone’s favorites to go all the way.

The Italians extended their winning streak to 11 games with victories over Turkey, Switzerland, and Wales – scoring a combined total of seven goals while achieving three shutouts. Remarkably, they head into the last 16 on a run of 11 consecutive clean sheets.

Meanwhile, the Austrians took six points from a possible nine in Group C. Wins over North Macedonia and Ukraine came either side of a loss to the Netherlands.

The Azzurri is on a seemingly unstoppable run at the moment. In both attack and defense, Italy looks seriously strong. Austria won’t go down without a fight, but Mancini’s men should qualify for the quarter-finals without any real issues.

  • My Pick: Italy to Qualify (1.20)

Netherlands vs. Czech Republic

  • Date: Sunday, June 27
  • Venue: Puskas Arena, Budapest
Netherlands to Qualify1.30
Czech Republic to Qualify3.40

The Netherlands produced a five-goal thriller against Ukraine on Matchday 1, eventually coming away with a 3-2 victory. Frank de Boer’s side then made light work of both Austria and North Macedonia, winning 2-0 and 3-0, respectively.

Having racked up two goals and two assists in three outings, Memphis Depay will be full of confidence. Only one player – Cristiano Ronaldo – has registered more Euro 2020 goal involvements that the Dutch talisman.

On the flip side, Patrik Schick has been the Czech Republic’s standout performer. The Bayer Leverkusen striker bagged a brace against Scotland – including a goal of the tournament contender – before netting in a 1-1 draw with Croatia.

The Czech’s were outclassed by England on Matchday 3 and failed to threaten one of the toughest backlines in the competition. With that in mind, I wouldn’t be surprised if they struggle to deal with the Dutch.

  • My Pick: Netherlands to Qualify (1.30)

Belgium vs. Portugal

  • Date: Sunday, June 27
  • Venue: Estadio La Cartuja, Seville
Belgium to Qualify1.73
Portugal to Qualify2.10

It seems crazy that one of these powerhouses won’t make it to the quarter-finals, doesn’t it? After all, Portugal is the defending champion, and Belgium was many people’s pre-tournament favorite.

It’s safe to say that Belgium enjoyed a far easier route to the last 16. In fact, the Red Devils secured a clean sweep in Group B – overcoming Russia, Denmark, and Finland while conceding just a single goal along the way.

Meanwhile, Portugal claimed four points from a possible nine in Group F. After seeing off Hungary, the reigning champs were thrashed by Germany before sealing a dramatic draw with France.

Player Team Goals
Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal 5
Emil Forsberg Sweden 3
Robert Lewandowski Poland 3
Romelu Lukaku Belgium 3
Patrik Schick Czech Republic 3
Georginio Wijnaldum Netherlands 3

The outcome of this matchup looks set to be decided by two world-class forwards – Romelu Lukaku and Cristiano Ronaldo. If you think Lukaku’s record of three goals in three games is impressive, don’t forget that Ronaldo has already notched a phenomenal five goals and one assist at Euro 2020.

This is destined to be a tight affair, but I can see the Portuguese’s know-how getting them over the line.

  • My Pick: Portugal to Qualify (2.10)

Croatia vs. Spain

  • Date: Monday, June 28
  • Venue: Parken, Copenhagen
Croatia to Qualify4.10
Spain to Qualify1.22

After drawing with Sweden and Poland, Spain was on the verge of falling at the very first hurdle. Yet, Luis Enrique’s men crushed Slovakia 5-0 on Matchday 3 to book their spot in the knockout phase.

It is difficult to predict how this transitional Spain side will fare as the tournament unfolds. Granted, Enriques squad is stacked with exciting players. But it’s clear that La Roja isn’t one of the strongest teams in the competition.

Croatia has also flattered to deceive this summer. The 2018 World Cup runners-up only managed to take a single point from their opening two group matches before edging out Scotland to advance.

Naturally, I wasn’t convinced by Spain after the first two matchdays. But having secured a morale-boosting thrashing in their previous game, I’m confident the Spaniards get the better of an aging Croatia outfit.

  • My Pick: Spain to Qualify (1.22)

France vs. Switzerland

  • Date: Monday, June 28
  • Venue: National Arena, Bucharest
France to Qualify1.20
Switzerland to Qualify4.33

Although France came through the group stage unbeaten, it’s probably fair to say that Didier Deschamp’s men have yet to find their feet at Euro 2020.

For all their attacking firepower, Les Blues were held to a draw by Group F underdogs Hungary on Matchday 2 and were exposed on multiple occasions in Wednesday’s 2-2 tie with Portugal.

That said, the reigning world champions should be able to get past Switzerland.

The Swiss gave a decent account of themselves in Group A, picking up four points in the process. The defeat to Italy was expected, but they did well to bounce back and record a solid 3-1 victory over Turkey last time out.

I expect Xherdan Shaqiri and co. to give the French a run for their money. Still, the likes of Kylian Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, and Karim Benzema should be far too strong for Switzerland.

  • My Pick: France to Qualify (1.20)

England vs. Germany

  • Date: Tuesday, June 29
  • Venue: Wembley Stadium, London
England to Qualify1.75
Germany to Qualify2.05

This is arguably the toughest round of 16 tie to call.

Alongside Italy, England is one of only two sides that has yet to concede a goal at Euro 2020. But despite avoiding defeat in Group D, the Three Lions only managed to score two goals, both of which were netted by Raheem Sterling.

With Harry Kane looking lost in Gareth Southgate’s system, it is difficult to imagine England scoring more than one goal in a game.

Game Result
England 1-0 Croaria Win
England 0-0 Scotland Draw
Czech Republic 0-1 England Win

By contrast, the Germans bagged six goals across their three group matches – putting four past Portugal and two past Hungary. However, they also conceded four goals in Group F and looked shaky at the back throughout the group stage.

Having watched both sides closely this summer, Germany is likely to outscore England at Wembley.

  • My Pick: Germany to Qualify (2.05)

Sweden vs. Ukraine

  • Date: Tuesday, June 29
  • Venue: Hampden Park, Glasgow
Sweden to Qualify1.65
Ukraine to Qualify2.20

It is no exaggeration to say that Sweden has exceeded all expectations at Euro 2020. I mean, not only did they go unbeaten in Group E, but they also finished two points clear of Spain.

After drawing with the Spaniards, Janne Andersson’s side managed to scrape past Slovakia and Poland, with Emil Forsberg scoring three goals across the previous two matchdays.

With just three points to their name, Ukraine qualified for the last 16 by the skin of their teeth. Still, I don’t think we have seen the best of the Blue and Yellow this summer.

Fueled by the dynamic midfield duo of Ruslan Malinovskyi and Oleksandr Zinchenko, Andriy Shevchenko’s men can cause Sweden plenty of problems. Following a tricky group-stage campaign, I’m backing Ukraine to come good in the knockouts.

  • My Pick: Ukraine to Qualify (2.20)

More Euro 2020 Betting Opportunities

If you like the look of my Euro 2020 round of 16 predictions, let me point you in the direction of some more Euro 2020 betting opportunities.

Of course, gambling on individual matches is the most popular option, while wagering on the outright winner is always fun. But why not get involved with some interesting Euro 2020 prop bets?

I have already created a post dedicated to Euro 2020 props, along with betting advice for the both the Golden Boot and Player of the Tournament.

Check them out!

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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