Betting on the 2021 French Open Women’s Singles – Odds, Contender Analysis, and Prediction

By Zarko Naric in Tennis
| May 20, 2021 6:58 am PST

In the Men’s Singles Championship of the 2021 French Open, Rafa Nadal is the #1 favorite at 1.83.

In Women’s Singles, the main title candidate is priced at 4.50, while the odds on the second favorite are somewhere in the ballpark of 6.00. Even the third and the fourth favorite to win the 2021 French Open Women’s Singles are given similar odds.

What all of this means is that bookmakers think we are going to see an exciting race for the Coupe Suzanne Lenglen this year.

Odds for the 2021 French Open Women’s Singles

Only one active player has more than one French Open Women’s Singles trophy in the collection. I am talking about Serena Williams, who won it three times in 2002, 2013, and 2015.

Oddsmakers, do not think she is going to get ahold of her fourth trophy. However, they do think that one of the previous French Open winners will get her second title.

Last year’s winner, Iga Swiatek, is favored to win the tournament. Ashleigh Barty, who won it in 2019, is also among the top favorites, and so is Garbine Muguruza, the winner of the 2016 French Open.

Then there’s also Aryna Sabalenka, who won the 2021 Madrid Open, another clay-court competition.

We also must not forget about Naomi Osaka, who is coming to the Roland Garros Courts after winning the previous two Grand Slams (2020 US Open, 2021 Australian Open).

All those ladies need to be of thought as good candidates for betting on the French Open, but they’re not the only ones!

The list of top 10 main favorites goes as follows.

Iga Swiatek4.50
Ashleigh Barty6.00
Aryna Sabalenka8.00
Garbine Muguruza11.00
Simona Halep12.00
Naomi Osaka17.00
Serena Williams21.00
Elina Svitolina21.00
Bianca Andreescu21.00
Petra Kvitova23.00

Can Swiatek Defend the Title?

Iga Swiatek is the reigning French Open champion. The 2020 title is her first and, so far, only Grand Slam. No surprise there, as she is still a teenager – Swiatek will turn 20 during the 2021 French Open.

She is coming to the French capital as the #9 in the WTA Ranking, which may make you wonder why she’s the #1 favorite for winning the title.

The reason for that lies in the fact that she’s established herself as a sort of expert on clay courts. Her career record on this surface is 80-13.

Eight of those 80 wins happened this year. She won six matches on her road to the Italian Open title, which was the last tournament she played.

Before that, she took part in another clay-court tournament but got eliminated in the 1/8-final by the world #1, Ashleigh Barty.

World #1 Ash Barty Looking for More Points

Last year, she decided not to take part in the French Open, despite being the defending champ. That decision did not harm her WTA position much as she remained on the top.

In fact, she still is the highest-ranked female tennis player in the world. And she will stay there no matter what happens at the courts of Roland Garros!

The thing is that she currently has 10,176 ranking points, which is 2,715 more than the WTA #2 Naomi Osaka.

Considering that the winner of the French Open gets 2,000 ranking points, it is impossible for anyone to leapfrog Barty.

If she managed to win the title, she would create a point gap that her rivals would find it almost impossible to bridge.

Winning the 2021 French Open would mean making a giant leap towards securing the #1 spot until the end of the year.

Obviously, she’s not going to lack any motivation, but what about her skills on the red dirt?

She did win the French Open two years ago, but her performances on clay aren’t too impressive. She’s won 59 career matches on clay while losing 27.

Three of those defeats happened this year. The most recent match she played was a defeat – Coco Gauff beat her in the quarterfinal of the 2021 Italian Open.

Truth be told, Gauff won only the first set, with Barty retiring in the second, despite leading 2-1 in games. The reason behind this decision was that she felt pain in her right arm.

In her own admission, the injury wasn’t too serious. However, she decided to give up to ensure the injury doesn’t follow her to France.

Other Potential Candidates for the Women’s Singles Title

Aryna Sabalenka comes in third in the list of the top candidates for winning the French Open Women’s Singles title.

She’s currently #4 in the WTA Rankings, which makes her a favorite by default. Still, the main reason why people think she might snatch the title in France is that she’s already won one important trophy this year.

It happened in early May, when she won the title in Madrid, after beating Ashleigh Barty in the final.

As that tournament is played on clay, it’s obvious why Sabalenka’s name entered the conversation about the 2021 French Open winners.

Another player who must not be forgotten is Naomi Osaka, the winner of the two previous Grand Slam tournaments. Although she has been brilliant over the last year or so, Osaka is only the #6 favorite for winning the Women’s Singles title at the 2021 French Open.

Why? Because she doesn’t seem to like playing on clay. Naomi Osaka said ahead of the 2021 Italian Open.

“I’m not sure if I should be telling you this, but I’m just not that comfortable on it (clay) still.”

Garbine Muguruza is also among the top title favorites, one of the reasons for which is that she already has one French Open trophy in the collection. She won it five years ago after beating defending champion Serena Williams.

Speaking of the devil, Serena is also in the conversation, although, at this point, it is still uncertain whether she’ll come to Paris at all.

The most decorated female tennis player in the Open Era, who has 23 Grand Slam singles titles, is struggling to find a proper form.

This year, she’s played only three matches on clay, losing two of those. With the time ticking away, she doesn’t have much time to prepare for the French Open, so we might see her skipping the entire tournament.

Who Wins the 2021 French Open Women’s Singles?

Ash Barty is the best female tennis player on the planet. She is not particularly superior on clay, but the fact is that she won the French Open once already.

She obviously wants to win it again, as evident from the fact that she’s been playing on clay for months. Each of her previous four tournaments were clay-court events – Charleston Open, Stuttgart Open, Madrid Open, and Italian Open.

Barty did give up on the Italian Open due to an injury, but she has plenty of time to recover (and get in top shape) for Paris.

  • My Prediction: Ashleigh Barty

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