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Betting on the 2021 Champions League Top Goalscorer

| April 9, 2021 10:21 am PDT

As we approach the business end of the 2020/21 UEFA Champions League campaign, the race for the UCL Golden Boot is heating up.

Erling Haaland currently leads the way in the goalscoring charts, with Kylian Mbappe hot on his heels. There are also a few other players who will be confident of upsetting the Champions League Golden Boot odds in 2021.

Betting on the Champions League top scorer is always fun, so I thought it would be a good idea to create a UCL Golden Boot betting guide for the remainder of the season.

In this post, I look at the latest Champions League top goalscorer odds, assess the current leaderboard, and analyze the bookmakers’ favorites.

Latest 2021 Champions League Golden Boot Odds

Here are the current UCL Golden Boot odds. For a comprehensive list of all the contenders, head over to 10bet’s sportsbook.

Erling Haaland1.54
Kylian Mbappe2.70
Karim Benzema26.00
Robert Lewandowski29.00
Olivier Giroud34.00
Mohamed Salah41.00

There are a lot of hype around Erling Haaland (1.54) and Kylian Mbappe (2.70) at the moment, so it is no real surprise to find them at the top of the bookies’ Champions League top scorer odds list.

As you can see, Haaland and Mbappe are the clear favorites to win the UCL Golden Boot in 2021. But the high prices elsewhere in this market are worth considering.

Neymar (15.00), Olivier Giroud (34.00), and Mohamed Salah (41.00) are all locked on six goals, while Karim Benzema (26.00) and Robert Lewandowski (29.00) both have five Champions League goals to their name this term.

To help us make sense of the UCL Golden Boot odds, let’s check out the current top scorer standings.

Current Champions League Top Goalscorers

This is what the current UCL Golden Boot leaderboard looks like.

Player Team Games Goals
Erling Haaland Borussia Dortmund 7 10
Kylian Mbappe PSG 8 8
Neymar PSG 6 6
Mohamed Salah Liverpool 9 6
Olivier Giroud Chelsea 6 6
Robert Lewandowski Bayern Munich 6 5
Karim Benzema Real Madrid 7 5

Having bagged ten goals in seven matches, Haaland is in pole position as things stand. Following a brace against Bayern Munich, Mbappe is now just two goals behind the Dortmund wonderkid.

With a maximum of four games left for each player, it will be difficult for the likes of Neymar, Salah, and Giroud to overtake the frontrunners. However, a lot depends on which teams advance from the quarter-finals.

Right, let’s take a closer look at the Champions League Golden Boot betting favorites.

Analyzing the UCL Golden Boot Favorites for 2021

Below, I analyze every UCL Golden Boot contender in 2021 – considering stats, potential matchups, and more.

Erling Haaland (1.54)

Despite missing a couple of games through injury, Haaland has still managed to rack up an outrageous ten goals in seven Champions League appearances this season.

Remarkably, the 20-year-old netted four straight braces earlier in the campaign. Following his second double against Sevilla in the Round of 16, he broke the record for the fewest games to reach 20 UCL goals – achieving the feat in just 14 outings.

Goals Games Min Per Goal Shot Accuracy Goal Conversion
10 7 62 74% 43%

There is no doubting Haaland’s ability, but Dortmund currently trails Manchester City 2-1 heading into the second leg of their quarter-final tie. Given that Pep Guardiola’s side is the favorite to win the tournament, it is likely that Haaland will only play one more UCL game this season.

Even if the Dortmund striker fails to add to his Champions League tally, he could still win the Golden Boot. But backing him right now feels like a risky move.

Kylian Mbappe (2.70)

Mbappe failed to score across the opening five rounds this season. But ever since he opened his account on Matchday 6, the goals have kept on flowing.

In fact, each of the Frenchman’s eight UCL goals have come in his last four appearances. After scoring twice against Istanbul Basaksehir, Mbappe bagged a memorable hat-trick in Barcelona, before adding two more goals to his tally against Bayern Munich.

Mbappe inspired PSG to a 3-2 victory over the defending European champions last time out, meaning the Parisians have the upper hand in their quarter-final.

If PSG can get past Bayern and progress to the last four, Mbappe will almost certainly score more Champions League goals this season.

Neymar (15.00)

In my eyes, backing Neymar to win the UCL Golden Boot would be brave move. We all know what the Brazilian is capable of, but he has been hampered by injuries throughout the 2020/21 campaign.

The PSG forward netted six goals in a three-game hot streak earlier in the season, including a brace against Manchester United and a hat-trick against Basaksehir. Still, he has only featured in six of PSG’s nine Champions League matches this term.

Of course, Neymar is perfectly capable of going on another hot streak. But as things stand, he needs to score five goals to overtake Haaland – and PSG has a maximum of four games remaining.

Karim Benzema (26.00)

Having scored 24 goals in 34 games this term, it’s safe to say that Benzema is enjoying a prolific campaign. The 33-year-old may only have five UCL goals to his name, yet Real Madrid looks set to quality for the semi-finals.

Goals Games Min Per Goal Shot Accuracy Goal Conversion
5 7 114 78% 28%

Los Blancos beat Liverpool 3-1 in the first leg of their quarter-final, giving them a huge advantage. Although he failed to get on the scoresheet last time out, Benzema captained his side to victory.

Given that Real Madrid already has one foot in the last four, odds of 26.00 for Benzema to win the Golden Boot are very attractive. Granted, he will need to score at a rate of over one goal per game to clinch the crown. But he is no stranger to those kinds of numbers.

Robert Lewandowski (29.00)

I know what you’re thinking – why is Lewandowski priced at 29.00 to finish as the top scorer in the Champions League this season?

Well, unfortunately for Bayern, the Polish goal-machine is currently injured. Lewandowski picked up a knee injury while away on international duty, meaning he is likely to be sidelined for several weeks.

With Hansi Flick’s side trailing PSG 3-2, Lewandowski could have already played his last UCL game of the season. He won’t be available for the quarter-final second leg, so Bayern will have to cope without him.

Considering what Lewandowski has achieved in recent years, nobody would be surprised if he returned from injury and went on to outscore his rivals. However, it is unlikely that he will surpass Haaland.

Olivier Giroud (34.00)

Only Haaland and Mbappe have scored more Champions League goals than Giroud this term – and that’s a fact. But given that four of Giroud’s six strikes came in a single game, it is difficult to imagine him overtaking the current frontrunners.

The 34-year-old put on a goalscoring masterclass against Sevilla during the group stage, netting four classy goals in Spain. But since Thomas Tuchel’s arrival, Giroud has found game time hard to come by.

Best known for his link-up play, Giroud has never been a prolific striker. For that reason, I can’t see him challenging for the Golden Boot, even if Chelsea does go deep into the competition.

Mohamed Salah (41.00)

It is no secret that Liverpool is enduring a difficult season, yet Salah has continued to score goals at a rapid rate. The Egypt international has netted 27 goals in 42 appearances this term, including six goals in nine UCL outings.

While Salah has scored in each of Liverpool’s last four Champions League matches, his team-mates haven’t been at the same level. The Reds lost 3-1 to Real Madrid last time out, making it extremely difficult for Salah to win the Golden Boot.

On a personal level, you can’t fault Salah’s efforts. But he has ultimately been let down by his side this season.

Goals Games Min Per Goal Shot Accuracy Goal Conversion
6 9 115 79% 43%

Who Will Win the UCL Golden Boot in 2021?

You don’t need me to tell you that Haaland is in a seriously strong position to clinch the Champions League Golden Boot. I mean, even if Dortmund does fall to City in the quarterfinals, Haaland could still finish as the top scorer.

But with a price of just 1.54, is it worth backing Haaland?

In my opinion, Mbappe’s odds of 2.70 offer far better value. The French youngster has almost singlehandedly dragged his team through the knockout phase up to now – and it feels as though he is getting better as the season progresses.

As things stand, PSG is more likely to reach the semi-finals than Dortmund. That’s means Mbappe is likely to get more opportunities to add to his tally.

When it comes to betting on the Champions League Golden Boot winner in 2021, it is important to consider the teams and not just the players. Ultimately, PSG – and Mbappe – stands a far better chance of going deep into the tournament.

If you’re looking for more Champions League betting information, make sure you check out my betting preview for the UCL quarter-finals.

Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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