Betting on the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year – Odds, Analysis, and Predictions

By Ben Morris in Soccer
| March 10, 2021 8:03 am PDT

Did you know that you can bet on the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year?

The EPL season isn’t scheduled to finish until May 23, but the bookmakers have already rolled out their odds for the PFA Player of the Year award in 2021.

Kevin De Bruyne scooped the prize last year, beating team-mate Raheem Sterling, as well as four Liverpool players, on the six-man shortlist. This year’s shortlist is yet to be announced, but there are plenty of big names in contention to win the award.

Join me as I discuss the favorites and sleepers for the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year. Below, I analyze the contenders and share my predictions. But first, let’s take a look at the PFA Player of the Year odds.

Latest 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year Odds

All of the leading online sportsbooks offer odds for betting on the PFA Player of the Year in 2021. Let’s check out the prices.

Bruno Fernandes -2.00
Ilkay Gundogan -6.00
Jack Grealish -9.50
Ruben Dias -10.00
Harry Kane -13.00
Kevin De Bruyne -13.00
Phil Foden -15.00
Mohamed Salah -17.00
Son Heung-min -26.00
Sadio Mane -34.00
Jamie Vardy -34.00
Youri Tielemans -51.00
Declan Rice -67.00
John Stones -101.00
Tomas Soucek -101.00

Manchester United playmaker Bruno Fernandes (2.00) is currently the bookies’ clear favorite to win the PFA Player of the Year award in 2021. However, Ilkay Gundogan’s price (6.00) has dropped significantly in recent weeks.

Aston Villa talisman Jack Grealish (9.50) is also among the leading candidates, along with Ruben Dias (10.00), Harry Kane (13.00), Kevin De Bruyne (13.00), Phil Foden (15.00), and Mohamed Salah (17.00).

Notable names carrying big prices include West Ham duo Declan Rice (67.00) and Tomas Soucek (101.00), as well as Manchester City’s rejuvenated center-back John Stones (101.00).

Favorites to Win the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year Award

Here are the betting favorites for the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year. Can anyone beat Fernandes to the award?

Bruno Fernandes (2.00)

It could be argued that Bruno Fernandes has singlehandedly transformed Man Utd. In fact, there isn’t really much of an argument.

Since joining Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side in January 2020, the Portugal international has made an almost immeasurable impact on the club, racking up 34 goals and 21 assists in 62 appearances in all competitions.

Fernandes has played a pivotal role in keeping the Red Devils at the top end of the Premier League table for much of the current campaign. Not only is he Man Utd’s top scorer this term (22), but he has also contributed the most assists (13).

BRUNO FERNANDES IN THE EPL THIS SEASON
Games Goals Assists Minutes
27 15 11 2,290

In the EPL, the attacking midfielder has chalked up 15 goals and 11 assists in 27 outings, featuring in every single game for his team this season.

Fernandes’ ability to produce moments of magic on a consistent basis undoubtedly makes him one of the league’s standout players, although he sometimes struggles to affect big games. Some voters may be swayed by the fact that he has failed to cause the country’s top teams too many problems this term.

Still, Fernandes’ numbers are difficult to ignore – and that’s why he is the bookmakers’ obvious favorite to win the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year award.

Ilkay Gundogan (6.00)

It’s fair to say that Ilkay Gundogan – and Man City – made a very slow start to the Premier League season. I mean, the 30-year-old only featured in five of City’s opening 11 matches, without contributing a goal or an assist.

But a phenomenal mid-season hot streak has thrust Gundogan into the PFA Player of the Year conversation.

Between mid-December and mid-February, the midfield maestro turned into a goal machine. In a phenomenal 12-game spell, Gundogan netted no fewer than 11 times, as well as notching up two assists.

Unlike Fernandes, Gundogan has shone in important matches this year. Indeed, the German bagged a brace in Man City’s 4-1 demolition of Liverpool, before scoring another double in the following game against Tottenham.

With Pep Guardiola’s men enjoying a seemingly unstoppable winning run at the moment, they could wrap up the EPL title with a large chunk of the campaign still to play. If Gundogan continues to dazzle, his Player of the Year odds are only going to fall.

Jack Grealish (9.50)

Given that Jack Grealish doesn’t play for a so-called “big club”, it feels like he doesn’t stand the same chance as players like Fernandes and Gundogan when it comes to claiming individual honors.

However, there is absolutely no denying that he deserves to be among the betting favorites to win the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year award.

At the end of the day, Grealish’s importance to Aston Villa cannot be overstated. The gifted playmaker has clocked up six goals and 12 assists in 22 Premier League appearances this season, captaining his side to memorable wins over the likes of Liverpool, Leicester, and Arsenal.

JACK GREALISH IN THE EPL THIS SEASON
Games Goals Assists Minutes
22 6 12 1,978

Let’s face it – Grealish has been a POTY frontrunner even since he bagged two goals and three assists in Villa’s famous 7-2 rout of the defending champions.

The 25-year-old has missed a few games due to injury recently, but if he can rediscover his early-season form when he returns, he could make a late charge for the award.

Ruben Dias (10.00)

Man City may boast a frightening array of attacking players, yet at the other end of the pitch, Ruben Dias has been a rock at the heart of City’s backline this season.

Eyebrows were raised when Man City forked out over £60 million on the former Benfica center-back in September 2020. However, it’s safe to say that Dias has lived up to his price tag.

At just 23, Dias has been the commanding figure in City’s defense this term. Guardiola’s team has conceded just 17 goals in 27 EPL matches in 2020/21, while Dias has helped his side to achieve multiple shutouts along the way.

Defenders don’t often win the PFA Player of the Year award. Virgil van Dijk scooped the prize in 2019, but he was the first defender since John Terry to do so – and Terry’s triumph came all the way back in 2005!

Still, if Man City continues to keep clean sheets en route to clinching the Premier League title, Dias could add his name to the list.

Sleepers to Consider for the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year

Fancy an outside bet on the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year? Here are my POTY sleepers.

Harry Kane (13.00)

Harry Kane made a flying start to the season, racking up nine goals and ten assists across Tottenham’s opening 12 EPL games. The England captain was understandably the early frontrunner to win the Player of the Year award, but a lot has changed since then.

Spurs’ recent form has seen them fall from title contenders to mid-table strugglers over the past couple of months. Although Kane has still managed to score five goals in his last eight Premier League matches, he is no longer considered a POTY favorite.

HARRY KANE IN THE EPL THIS SEASON
Games Goals Assists Minutes
23 14 11 2,016

But we all know that Kane is capable of mounting freakish scoring streaks. If he can end the campaign as he started it, the Tottenham forward’s odds for the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year will surely drop.

Kevin De Bruyne (13.00)

By his own high standards, Kevin De Bruyne has had a relatively quiet season up to now. Okay – he is still producing assists at a ridiculous rate. But a couple of injuries have prevented him from playing a starring role for Man City this term.

With Guardiola’s side on course to secure the Premier League title, De Bruyne is a realistic POTY sleeper option. But if a Man City player is going to win the award this year, it is difficult to imagine Gundogan missing out.

Mohamed Salah (17.00)

Mohamed Salah was named PFA Player of the Year back in 2019 following a stellar individual campaign. As things stand, the Egyptian is the top scorer in the EPL. But at the same time, it doesn’t feel like he has done enough to warrant the award this season.

MOHAMED SALAH IN THE EPL THIS SEASON
Games Goals Assists Minutes
25 17 3 2,014

The clinical forward has netted 17 goals in 25 league appearances this term, outshining fellow Red Sadio Mane in that department. But Liverpool’s recent fall from grace means that it is highly unlikely that Salah will the 2020/21 POTY award.

Tomas Soucek (101.00)

Now, I know what you’re thinking. Tomas Soucek – really? But hear me out.

The likeable Czech has become an instant fan favorite at the London Stadium, chipping in with eight goals this season. There are certainly more worthy winners of the Player of the Year award, but Soucek’s massive price of 101.00 feels unnecessarily high.

If West Ham can cap off a much-improved campaign by securing Champions League soccer for next season, expect Soucek to be at the heart of the action.

Who Will Win the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year Award?

The majority of EPL teams still have 10+ games to play this season, meaning that a lot could change between now and the end of the campaign.

Right now, Fernandes is the bookies’ clear favorite. There is no denying that he has been one of the league’s standout performers this term, but he hasn’t been firing on all cylinders in recent games – and Man Utd has fallen off the pace, too.

Meanwhile, Gundogan’s price of 6.00 is very difficult to ignore. The Man City midfielder has been immense lately, and with Guardiola’s side all but confirmed as Premier League champions, his team’s unstoppable performances are only going to aid his POTY bid.

It will be tough for Grealish and Dias to overtake the two frontrunners at this stage, while many of the outsiders would have to do something seriously special to upset the 2020/21 PFA Player of the Year odds.

In my eyes, it’s a two-horse race. When it comes to betting on the PFA Player of the Year in 2021, Fernandes and Gundogan are both worth considering.

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