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Betting the 2019 French Open – Early Preview with Odds and Predictions

| March 5, 2019 12:00 am PDT
2019 French Open Betting Preview

It might be a bit early, but most tennis fans are already looking forward to the 2019 French Open.

The tournament starts on May 26th, and there are a lot of question marks.

If you look at the current situation in the men’s circuit, you will see Novak Djokovic flying once again, but Rafael Nadal remains the big favorite on clay.

On top of that, it seems that Roger Federer will actually play this time around.

The Swiss maestro is 37 but still going strong, while some of the young guns like Thiem, Zverev, Coric, and Tsitsipas will be hoping to find a breakthrough.

The women’s bracket is equally interesting, as the title is wide open there.

It seems like Serena Williams is finally out of her prime, but she remains dangerous. There will be plenty of contenders for the throne, with the likes of Halep, Osaka, and Svitolina all with the right to feel confident in their chances.

I think this is the perfect time for a look at the 2019 French Open early odds for both the men’s and women’s event. Here’s my initial French Open betting preview with some predictions.

Men’s French Open 2019 – Odds and Prediction

Let’s start with the men’s bracket and see what the tennis betting sites have to offer on some of the top players.

Rafael Nadal1.83
Novak Djokovic2.87
Dominic Thiem13.00
Alexander Zverev13.00
Roger Federer33.00

The obvious favorite is Rafael Nadal, but many believe that he might fail to win the French Open this year.

Rafael Nadal

You might think that the price for Nadal to win Roland-Garros is quite low, but it’s actually higher than what the bookies have offered in the past couple of years. The reason is simple — Rafa is the best tennis player on clay courts in the history of the game.

The man has won the French Open 11 times so far, and his style is simply made for the red courts of Paris. The big question here is if Nadal is fit. He’s had a lot of injuries throughout the years, and this is one of the things that can prevent him from lifting the trophy once again.

He’s shown no signs of health issues so far in the season, and Rafa has looked good in the Australian Open, where he reached the final, and in Acapulco, despite the loss against Kyrgios in the second round.

I think that the main priority on his schedule between now and the French Open would be to stay healthy and hit peak condition when Roland-Garros starts.

If he is successful, Rafa will be close to unstoppable once again. I see only two people that might, just might, be able to beat him in Paris. One of them is Novak Djokovic, for obvious reasons. The Serbian number one is flying again, but even during his best years, Nadal still got the better of him in Paris.

The other guy that could stop the Spaniard is Dominic Thiem. The Austrian is probably the second-best clay court specialist out there, and he is just entering the prime of his career. Thiem has reached the semis of the French Open in 2016 and 2017 and lost to Nadal in the 2018 final.

The game was very one-sided, but the Austrian certainly learned from the experience and should be better, while Nadal might be a bit weaker because of his age.

And yet, I honestly think that it’s more about the physical condition of Rafa than anything else. If he is close to his best, he should be able to win it once again. This is why the price of 1.83 is quite tempting.

Novak Djokovic

A lot of people, including the author of this post, didn’t believe that Djokovic could return to his best. Well, I must admit I was wrong, as the man is once again leading the ATP rankings and has won the last three Grand Slams.

This gives him the chance to simultaneously hold all of the big four tournaments for the second time in his career. I’m sure that Djokovic will be eager to achieve that, and he has multiple reasons to believe in his chances.

The Serb absolutely demolished the competition at the Australian Open. If it wasn’t for Nadal, he would’ve been the major favorite to win the Roland-Garros too. And yet, the Spaniard is always the man to beat in Paris.

Djokovic is certainly up for the task, but I’m not sure if the price of 2.87 is worth it. He should be able to cope with most of the players out there, but you never know. Nole will be the underdog against Nadal, could potentially struggle against Thiem, and a couple of other youngsters could finally show up.

Dominic Thiem

I believe that Dominic Thiem is bound to win the French Open at some point in his career, but he will probably have to wait for a year or two. The Austrian is exceptional on clay, but as long as Nadal is there, he’ll face a strong challenge.

As I already mentioned, Thiem has been extremely consistent in Paris in the past three years. He should have the confidence that he is one of the best players in the tournament. If Nadal is not at his best, Thiem could certainly take advantage of that.

If you consider the price of 13.00, it might be worth taking a shot with a small bet.

The Rest of the Bunch

I decided to focus on the three players above for a very simple reason — I think that one of them will be the winner of the 2019 French Open. And yet, anything can happen in tennis, so it’s probably worth taking a look at some of the other guys out there.

Many believe Alexander Zverev will eventually improve his performance in Grand Slams. The boy is still only 21 and already winning Masters events. The price for him to win the French Open is 13.00, and I think that’s too short.

Zverev has yet to show the consistency required to make a deep run in a Grand Slam, and I doubt Paris is the place where this will happen for the first time.

There are a couple of other young players like Tsitsipas, Coric, and Kyrgios, but I don’t think they are ready to challenge.

What seems interesting is the price for Roger Federer. You can get 33.00 for the Swiss maestro, and I’m a bit tempted. He will play with no pressure whatsoever, which makes him dangerous. I don’t really think that Federer will win it, but you never know.

ATP French Open Winner Betting Picks

It’s time to end this betting preview of the French Open men’s bracket and add my pick. I usually don’t go after the favorites, but I simply can’t ignore Nadal here.

As it stands, he is fit and in solid shape. This is more than enough for me to back him to win the French Open.

PICKRafael Nadal to Win the French Open1.83

Since I see Dominic Thiem as one of the men that can beat him, the price of 13.00 simply can’t be ignored.

It’s high enough to serve as a solid backup in case Nadal doesn’t do the job, so I’m going for two bets here.

PICKDominic Thiem to Win the French Open13.00

Women’s French Open 2019 – Odds and Prediction

Unlike the men’s event, there is no huge favorite in the women’s bracket of the 2019 French Open. A bunch of players have a shot at lifting the trophy, so let’s take a look at them.

Simona Halep6.00
Serena Williams8.00
Naomi Osaka11.00
Garbine Muguruza13.00

Simona Halep

The Romanian Simona Halep has reached the French Open finals three times and won the tournament last year. She is currently in the prime of her career, and it’s only natural to see her as the favorite of the bookies.

I don’t think Halep has been consistent enough in Grand Slams to be in that role, but Roland-Garros is the favorite event, and she certainly has the credentials to win it. Her style is perfect for clay, as Halep is steady and aggressive from the baseline.

This is what brought her the victory in 2018, and I feel the same could happen in the 2019 French Open. The start of the year hasn’t been the brightest for Halep, but once the clay court season is here, we will see her true face.

Serena Williams

On the surface, it seems like Serena Williams is in decline, which should be normal at her age. And yet, the American came back from giving birth in 2018 and still reached two Grand Slam finals.

She might’ve lost them both, but Serena remains a threat, and her performance in the Australian Open at the start of the year proves it. The former number one reached the quarterfinals, beating Halep in the process, and looked set to knock out Karolina Pliskova, too.

Serena was leading 5-1 in the deciding third set but somehow lost focus and was defeated. I’m not sure what happened there, but the overall level that she demonstrated during the tournament makes me think Serena should not be underestimated.

The problem is that the French Open has been her least successful Grand Slam tournament. The clay courts slow down Serena’s powerful shots, and this surface certainly is far from her favorite.

This is why the price of 8.00 is probably not high enough for my taste. Sure, Williams is dangerous and might make a deep run, but I don’t think she can win the 2019 Roland-Garros.

Naomi Osaka

I don’t think that there are any doubts that Naomi Osaka is the next big superstar in female tennis if she manages to stay fit for most of her career. The Japanese prodigy is only 21 and won the last two Grand Slam tournaments.

Osaka has both the power and technique to dominate on all surfaces. She is steady and aggressive from the baseline, and I think it’s only a matter of time before she wins the French Open. This could very well happen in 2019, as Osaka certainly has the confidence after claiming two Slams already.

She is also leading the WTA rankings right now, and at a price of 11.00, backing Osaka to win the French Open seems like a must to me.

Garbine Muguruza

Former French Open champion Garbine Muguruza is always a threat in Paris, which is the reason I will pay her special attention in my analysis. Her complex playing style works well on clay, as we’ve seen throughout the years.

Muguruza struggled badly in 2018, and yet, she was still able to reach the last four of the Roland-Garros. She seems in better shape at the start of 2019, and if her progress continues, Muguruza will be a tough opponent.

I feel she has a shot at the title, but the price of 13.00 seems about fair, so I don’t think I will back her.

The Rest of the Bunch

I believe that the winner of the WTA 2019 French Open will be one of the players I talked about so far, but a couple of others might be able to make a deep run.

Elina Svitolina and Sloane Stephens are the most obvious examples, but the likes of Daria Kasatkina, Karolina Pliskova, and Angelique Kerber will be hoping to leave a mark too.

And yet, the odds for any of them to win the French Open don’t seem high enough for my taste, and I would recommend you stay away from them.

WTA French Open Winner Betting Picks

I think that backing Naomi Osaka at 11.00 is a must, as she is bound to win the French Open at some point. Considering her rapid rise in the past year or so, this could very well be her year.

PICKNaomi Osaka to Win the French Open11.00

The other player that is certainly up there is Simona Halep. The Romanian loves Roland-Garros and always performs well in Paris. She is my number-one favorite, so the odds of 6.00 are tasty.

PICKSimona Halep to Win the French Open6.00

Combining those two is the best approach, if you ask me, and this is my final French Open 2019 prediction.

Final Words

You should keep in mind that it’s still early, and the French Open doesn’t start for a couple more months. I believe my early picks are solid, and the situation shouldn’t change that much, but you never know.

An injury to one of the favorites might open the door to other players, so make sure to keep your eyes open.

You should also check out my post on a few tennis Grand Slam prop bets that are currently available. There’s some good betting value to be had there.

Jerry Summer

Jerry Summer has a wide-ranging interest in gambling and the gambling industry. He's made a living out of both playing poker and betting on sports.

The English Premier League and the NBA are among Jerry's primary areas of expertise. He's knowledgeable about many other sports, too, along with poker and several casino games.

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