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Best Props for Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane – Top Picks for the UFC 270 Headliner

| January 19, 2022 12:59 pm PDT

For those in the know, Francis Ngannou and Ciryl Gane finally square off this Saturday, January 22 from Anaheim. For everyone else, how’s cave life going?

All jokes aside, it’s going to be a cracker this weekend at UFC 270. In keeping with the optimistic spirit, I decided it would be worth putting together a list of the best bets for Ngannou vs. Gane, which will hopefully help you win some money.

I’ll be focusing on the basic markets as well as the top Ngannou vs. Gane props for UFC 270. So, find a groove, buckle in, and let’s get down to business.

Best Moneyline Odds for Ngannou vs. Gane

Before we get to the best UFC 270 props for the headliner, here’s a look at the betting line for Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane. The odds come courtesy of BetUS.

Francis Ngannou to Win+130
Ciryl Gane to Win-150
Draw+5000

If you’re looking to make money on the Ngannou vs. Gane bout, it’s advisable to check out the moneyline first. This type of wager is the easiest bet to place on UFC 270, but not necessarily the best when it comes to positive value odds.

Depending on who you are backing, you might want to look past this market. Then again, if you’re keeping things simple, picking the guy you think will win might be the trick.

As far as the best odds for Ngannou and Gane on the moneyline go, let’s quickly discuss both guys.

First, Gane is the better-rounded of the pair, so many believe he has more visible pathways to victory. 10-0 in MMA, the Frenchman has four KO/TKOs, three submissions, and three decision wins. In the UFC, he is 7-0 with victories over high-level opponents, including one over a former heavyweight king.

Ciryl Gane’s UFC Record
Opponent Event Result Date
Derrick Lewis UFC 265 Win by TKO August 7, 2021
Alexander Volkov UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane Win by Decision June 26, 2021
Jairzinho Rozenstruik UFC 256 Win by Decision February 27, 2021
Junior dos Santos UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie Win by TKO December 12, 2020
Tanner Boser UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren Win by Decision December 21, 2019
Don’Tale Mayes UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 Win by Submission October 26, 2019
Raphael Pessoa UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov Win by Submission August 10, 2019

Going by Francis Ngannou’s greatest UFC KOs alone, he is the most vicious finisher in the history of MMA. 12 of his 16 wins have come by way of KO, including 12 in the first round. If Gane is to win this fight, he’s going to have to evade that vicious right hand for a full 25 minutes. 

Unless he stops Ngannou, of course. Something that has never been done.

The top bet for Ngannou vs. Gane on the moneyline is the champ. At plus money odds, this is the best betting value we have seen for the Cameroonian since he closed at +170 against Cain Velasquez in February 2019. Ngannou won that fight in 26 seconds.

In my betting preview for Ngannou vs. Gane, I was clear about my assumption that the latter will get hit at some point. I’m not sure that anyone can take his power. Former training partner or not.

  • Pick: Ngannou (+130)

Recommended Francis Ngannou Props

  • Title: Heavyweight Champion
  • Betting Status: Underdog
  • Likely Method of Victory: KO/TKO

You should already know by now that I’m tipping Francis Ngannou to win this fight.

I have to get to disclose my top props for Ngannou at UFC 270, however. If I felt that it was unnecessary to look past the moneyline, you probably wouldn’t be reading this right now. The bottom line is that some top Ngannou props do make sense, so let’s check out the best of them.

Method of Victory Props for Ngannou

Let’s be honest here. The odds of Ngannou winning by anything other than a KO/TKO are easily passable.

Ngannou by KO/TKO+150
Ngannou by Decision+1000
Ngannou by Submission+2800

The man’s strength lies in his ability to flatten his opponents. Since 2016, all of Ngannou’s wins in the UFC — barring a submission win over Anthony Hamilton in 2016 — have ended by knockout. If the champ is playing to his strengths, which he will want to if he is to win this fight, he’s going to look for a knockout.

The odds for Ngannou to beat Gane by decision or submission are big and juicy. Ask yourself why that is, and you’ll get the answer you are looking for.

  • Pick: Ngannou by KO/TKO (+150)

Top Round Betting Props for Ngannou

If you’re looking for odds for the round Ngannou KOs Gane in, the top online apps for UFC betting have them. 

Francis Ngannou
  • Francis Ngannou in Round 1: (+425)
  • Francis Ngannou in Round 2: (+650)
  • Francis Ngannou in Round 3: (+1200)
  • Francis Ngannou in Round 4: (+1800)
  • Francis Ngannou in Round 5: (+2500)

As you can see, the bookies think the chances of Ngannou winning the fight progressively diminish the longer the fight goes on. I agree with that sentiment. I think The Predator is going to be a particularly dangerous animal within the first half of the fight.

I spoke earlier about Ngannou’s propensity to hunt for the early KO and the success he has had over the years with finding the chins of his opponents early on. Four of his last five fights have ended in first-round KO/TKOs, with only Stipe Miocic making it to the 2nd from that bunch.

Of course, there are other things to factor in here. Ngannou will not be looking to gas himself out early and will likely be looking to snipe at any opportunities that come his way early on, rather than push for the stoppage.

The first stanza will be a feeling-out process to some degree. He should turn up the heat in the 2nd, where I think he’ll find his range and end the contest in style.

  • Pick: Francis Ngannou in Round 2 (+650)

Method and Round Props for Ngannou

In most cases, betting on the combination of the method of victory and the round can pay handsomely.

Comparing the UFC 270 props for Ngannou where rounds are concerned, there’s not a great deal to appeal to anyone backing him for the stoppage.

  • Ngannou in Round 1 by KO/TKO or DQ: +435
  • Ngannou in Round 1 by Submission: +4000
  • Ngannou in Round 2 by KO/TKO or DQ: +675
  • Ngannou in Round 2 by Submission: +4500
  • Ngannou in Round 3 by KO/TKO or DQ: +1300
  • Ngannou in Round 3 by Submission: +5000
  • Ngannou in Round 4 by KO/TKO or DQ: +2200
  • Ngannou in Round 4 by Submission: +5500
  • Ngannou in Round 5 by KO/TKO or DQ: +2800
  • Ngannou in Round 5 by Submission: +6000

For instance, if you’re betting on Francis Ngannou to win in Round 2 (+650), why risk adding on the KO/TKO for +675? 

Yes, he is likelier to win by KO/TKO than any other way. But let’s say something inexplicable happens, such as a DQ? Make sure you are covered by the betting site you are playing at.

What would happen if you went for the KO/TKO/DQ and Ngannou submitted a half-conscious Gane? That would mean you lose your bet, while if you had just chosen the round, you would get paid out at just +0.25 less.

It’s a no-brainer to ignore this market if you are betting props for Ngannou to beat Gane.

  • Pick: Avoid

Top Prop Bets for Ciryl Gane

  • Title: Interim-Heavyweight Champion
  • Betting Status: Favorite
  • Likely Method of Victory: Decision

If you’re betting on props for Gane to beat Ngannou, there are plenty of markets to choose from.

Again, it should be clear that I favor Ngannou in this matchup. Although, it’s very feasible that Gane could give his former training partner a lot of problems. Objectively, you simply cannot rule out the exceptionally skilled Frenchman.

If you are set to wager money on Gane winning this fight, the following should be among your best options.

Props for Gane’s Method of Victory

Unlike Ngannou, Gane could feasibly win this fight one of three main ways.

Ciryl Gane by KO/TKO or DQ+225
Ciryl Gane by Decision+275
Ciryl Gane by Submission+600

Funnily enough, the bookies appear to think that his best chance of beating the Cameroonian champion is by KO/TKO or DQ. 

I can certainly envisage a scenario where Ngannou walks into a head kick or a spinning back fist sometime late in the fight. Let’s say at a time when he has completely drained the tank and is a little unbalanced and tired out. 

With that being said, I don’t think Ngannou is going to gas himself out. If he is down on the scorecards, he will be more prone to overextending and making basic errors. But would Gane really risk throwing away a late lead by engaging? I don’t think so. 

If the interim champ is to win this fight, I think it will come on the scorecards. Again, a stoppage of some sort is possible, but the points victory is the top prop for Gane against Ngannou in this market.

  • Pick: Ciryl Gane by Decision (+275)

Round Betting Prop Bets for Gane

Gane’s chances of winning get better as the fight goes on.

I think his best chance is to clinch a victory on points, but you can’t completely rule out a late stoppage. If you are gambling on Gane, that is. 

Ciryl Cane
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 1: (+525)
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 2: (+725)
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 3: (+1000)
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 4: (+1600)
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 5: (+2200)

The bookies see this fight more than likely ending within two rounds. But I’m not too sure about that at all.

As someone looking for the best props for Ngannou vs. Gane, regardless of who wins, I have one eye open for any potential risks that come with good value. In my humble opinion, Gane to win in Round 5 is more than worth risking a few dollars on.

At +2200, Gane’s odds to beat Ngannou in the final round make sense. He has the better engine and will likely be the favorite to win the fight once we get past the 3rd round mark. 

  • Pick: Ciryl Gane in Round 5 (+2200)

Combination Props for Gane to Win

This market is worth a look for anyone hoping to maximize their potential profit margin. 

  • Ciryl Gane in Round 1 by KO/TKO or DQ: +800
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 1 by Submission: +1600
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 2 by KO/TKO or DQ: +1100
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 2 by Submission: +1800
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 3 by KO/TKO or DQ: +1400
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 3 by Submission: +2200
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 4 by KO/TKO or DQ: +2000
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 4 by Submission: +3000
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 5 by KO/TKO or DQ: +2600
  • Ciryl Gane in Round 5 by Submission: +4000

The obvious lure for me here is Round 5 on both counts. By that, I mean the stoppage (including DQ) and the submission. 

For this reason, I’d probably avoid betting on Gane to win under either combination. Simply taking his odds to get the job done in the final stanza makes the most sense. With that said, would it hurt to put a dollar or two on Gane in Round 5 by KO/TKO/DQ and Gane in Round 5 by submission? If not, be my guest.

Personally, I won’t be getting greedy here.

  • Pick: Avoid

More of the Best Props for the Ngannou vs. Gane Fight

There are a few more UFC 270 prop markets for Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane worth a mention.

We have pretty much covered the top props for Ngannou vs. Gane already, but it’s always worth scanning the residual odds and markets. Sometimes, you can find the occasional gem that pays out. 

Fighter to Win Inside Distance Prop for Ngannou vs. Gane

Francis Ngannou+155
Ciryl Gane+160
Goes to Decision+200

Francis Ngannou to win inside the distance is the obvious choice for me here.

I believe the colossal KO artist will win the fight courtesy of his phenomenal stopping power. Those odds are not bad at all, but make sure you’re comfortable playing for a win inside the distance at +155 when you can get him just to win at +130.

  • Pick: Francis Ngannou (+155)

Prop for Ngannou vs. Gane to End Inside the Distance

Yes+200
No-260

Once again, it almost feels as though the bookies have their wires crossed here. 

On one hand, the top props for Ngannou vs. Gane appear to be leaning closer to a stoppage than the fight ending in a decision. Then, this market pops up and seemingly goes against all of that.

I’d recommend employing some strategy here and thinking about three major things. First, Ngannou is a clinical KO artist. Second, Gane has more stoppages on his record than decisions. Three, most heavyweight fights don’t make the distance.

All three combined should lead you toward the +200 on this top prop bet for Ngannou vs. Gane.

  • Pick: Yes (+200)

Other Top Prop Bets for Ngannou vs. Gane

Gane Has More Significant Strikes in Fight-163
Francis Ngannou: Scorecards No Action-120
Fight Ends Over 2.5 Rounds+110
Gane Wins Via KO/TKO by Kick+2000
Either Fighter Gets a Point Deducted+2000

Here’s a bunch of other top Ngannou vs. Gane props picks to look over.

Struggling to pick a winner? Don’t feel too bad. Even Jon Jones can’t decide which way to go.

Here’s some more advice that could help you get your props in order.

More Advice for Betting on Ngannou vs. Gane Props

As always, think before you place your bets. Make sure you are attacking the right odds and markets, at the very least.  

A good place to start would be with our betting strategy for UFC fights, which comes packed with top pointers and advice from our experts. I’d recommend a good look at that guide before you part with your money on the top props for Ngannou vs. Gane.

That is if you are still unsure about who or what to back.

It’s nice to get into the swing of things once more, especially from a betting perspective. Saturday should be a phenomenal night of action, with two title fights and a bunch of other top-quality matchups on the cards. If you haven’t already checked things out, you can find predictions and picks for UFC 270, below.

Good luck with your bets!

UFC 270 Betting Guide With Odds, Picks, and Predictions for All Fights

If you’re placing bets on UFC 270 from Anaheim this Saturday, January 22, this preview will come in handy. Naturally, all minds will be focused on predictions for Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane. It’s a tough one to call, with many pundits unable...

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Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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