Best Presidential Election Bets for 2020 – Republicans to Win Michigan and More
Looking for the best bets for the 2020 US presidential election? If that’s the case, you were in my shoes about an hour ago. Care to see what I’ve found?
This election is projected to be the biggest betting event ever, with a ridiculous amount of money riding on Trump, Biden, as well as a ton of other markets related to the White House race. There is nothing more important than the election right now, so it’s fair to say everyone wants a piece of the action.
I’ve gone through our best sites and found numerous ways to potentially make money betting on the US election. I have a couple of solid, safer bets, a few in the midrange, as well as a long shot that could make you a pretty penny if it wins.
Naturally, you’re going to need a top political gambling site if you are to place any bets on the election. You can find our recommendations below.
Without further ado, let’s get down to the top wagers for the 2020 election.
Party to Win the Popular Vote
- Democrats (-500)
If Joe Biden wins the popular vote, the Democrats will have smashed it in seven of the last eight elections. This would be the first time this has been achieved since the foundation of America’s modern political system in 1828.
No party has won the popular vote more than six times from eight elections. The Democrats managed six between eight elections in the 1820s to the 1850s, while the Republicans nailed it in the 1890s to the 1920s. The Democrats did it again between the 1930s and 1960s.
Hillary Clinton won the popular vote in 2016 by around 3 million votes, and it looks likely that Biden will be the man to set this new record.
Folks, with just nine days until Election Day, your support is more important than ever.— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) October 25, 2020
Every dollar counts during this final stretch.
If you're able, please chip in today: https://t.co/zsgPxXrflF
On Which Date Will Loser Concede Election?
- November 13th or Later (-145)
If you’re expecting the result of the 2020 election to be announced on election night, then you might be in for a nasty surprise.
With the Democrats favorites to win the mail-in vote, and the Republicans expected to win the in-person vote, things might get messy. In a country that is dominated by partisan media outlets driven by quick results, we could see some Republican-aligned news sources declaring Trump as the winner based on states with a partial vote count. Democrat-aligned outlets might want to anticipate and declare early for Biden.
Then we have everything else to contend with. Some are expecting a similar hold up to the one we had between George W. Bush and Al Gore in 2000.
Whatever happens, it looks unlikely that fairness, accuracy, and objectivity will be the three values that many involved in covering the election will be looking to uphold. And this could, well, hold things up.
And let’s not forget that Trump suggested the process could be delayed back in July.
With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. It will be a great embarrassment to the USA. Delay the Election until people can properly, securely and safely vote???— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 30, 2020
Trump’s Popular Vote Share
- 40-45% (+100)
I like Trump to win between 40-45% of the popular vote.
You can get odds of +100 on the Republicans to hit between these numbers, and I think it is very achievable. I am a little cautious of backing Trump above 45%, and anything less than around 38%.
These numbers make sense to me. Would you consider this one of the best bets for the US election in 2020? Let me know in the comments if not.
Who Wins the Presidency?
- Donald Trump to Win (+130)
Trump’s odds to win the 2020 US presidential election come in at +130.
Am I backing Trump to beat Biden in this market? Yes, I think he can. Sure, we have all the polling data suggesting that Biden is flying high, but we were told that Hillary Clinton was 100% certain to win in 2016 and that Trump winning was a “fantasy.”
On election night, Trump was around +500 to win. Regardless of the polls, the trending patterns, and everything else, he won.
Now, things are a little different this time around. But there is still major optimism that 2016 was a “one-off,” and that Biden — who has been the target of some serious late allegations and smear tactics by Republicans — can win in style.
At odds of +130, I think Trump is a good bet to be reelected in 2020.
Michigan Electoral College
- Republican Candidate (+200)
Hillary Clinton lost Michigan in 2016. It was a huge surprise to see Trump win the state in 2016, albeit by a quarter of a percentage point, and that begged huge questions about the once-reliable Democrat state.
This time around, I think Michigan could turn out for Trump once more. Yes, the Democrats are taking the state seriously, and recent polls have Biden just under 8 points ahead of his Republican opponent.
But are the polls right this time?
Who Finishes Third in the Popular Vote
- Kanye West (+850)
How downright crazy would it be to see Kanye getting bags of votes in this election?
Well, it might not be as crazy as you think. After all, West is on the ballot and he is a huge celebrity in the US. Despite his personal issues, he is still a very popular guy.
OK, no comment on that video, but +850 to finish third in the popular vote sounds like a really fun bet. Is it among the best presidential election props?
More Bets for the 2020 US Presidential Election
So that’s it for me and my best bets for the presidential election, but don’t go anywhere just yet.
If you’re looking for more presidential election betting material, my colleagues and I are covering the election from all angles. You can find some top pieces below that should get the old ticker up and runnin’.
May the best man win!