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Best Player Prop Bets for the 2021 Super Bowl

| February 3, 2021 8:27 am PDT
11 Player Props Bets for Super Bowl 55

Super Bowl 55 is set up to be a game for the ages. Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes meet again. Old battles young. The Buccaneers and Chiefs both eye their second-ever Lombardi Trophy.

It’s going to be a wild one, and the 56 game total at most Super Bowl betting sites seconds that.

If this game lives up to the hype, you’ll probably want some action through some 2021 Super Bowl player props, too.

I’ve been tackling NFL player prop bets all year long, with some nice success. I hit on half of my Super Bowl player prop bets last year, and the goal is to have a much better conversion rate this year.

In a game that projects to be this explosive, featuring the #1 passing game and two offenses inside the top-5 in scoring, I think bettors should be in good shape.

So, how does that translate to actual Super Bowl player props? I’ve pinpointed my favorite player props for Super Bowl 2021, and how I think you should bet.

Patrick Mahomes Over 3.5 Rushing Attempts (-134)

There are a lot of Patrick Mahomes prop bets for Super Bowl 55 that you’ll want to consider.

This isn’t normally at the front of the line, but perhaps it should be. Ideally, the rushing attempt total is a tad lower, but I still think Mahome can get to the Over.

Tampa Bay owns the best run defense in football. Logic suggests the Chiefs won’t have much success on the ground in this one, while the Buccaneers have the elite pass rush to flush Mahomes out of the pocket.

All of this leads to Mahomes probably running for his life a bit in this one, and he’s never been a stranger to using his mobility in the past.

Mahomes cleared this rushing attempt total in the AFC title game, and he rushed the ball four times in his prior meeting with Tampa Bay. He also topped this 3.5 rushing attempt mark 11 different times on the year.

The athletic ability, tendency, and necessity all combine for the Over to look like a strong play.

Tom Brady Over 0.5 Rushing Yards (+150)

I really like this Tom Brady prop bet, as the guy needs just one rushing yard to win you some money.

One.

I know, it’s actually asking a fair bit, as Brady is 43 and has never been known for his athleticism. There’s also the potential for him to register negative yardage on kneel-downs if he and his Buccaneers win this one.

That said, Brady is often called upon for quarterback sneaks in short-yardage situations, and he has climbed the pocket on occasion to rumble for a few yards.

This isn’t a Super Bowl player prop that blows me away in terms of safety, as Brady has topped this rushing yardage mark just five times this season.

But five times is still five times, and one yard is one yard. At this cool +150 price, this feels like a roll of the dice worth taking on Super Bowl Sunday.

Tyreek Hill Over 92.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

One of the more reliable player prop bets for Super Bowl 2021 is this receiving yardage wager dealing with Tyreek Hill.

Perhaps the most explosive player in the entire league, Hill has popped off for 93+ receiving yards seven times this year, with a monster 172-yard effort coming in the AFC title game.

Hill has still had his fair share of quiet outings this year, but his loudest came against the very Buccaneers defense he faces in Super Bowl 55.

Yeah, Hill had himself a day back in week 12.

I doubt he lights up the Bucs to that degree again, but to suggest Tampa Bay has issues covering him would be an understatement.

Due to that, Hill’s tendency to rack up yardage, and his generally insane talent, the Over feels like the only logical bet here.

Chris Godwin Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Tyreek Hill’s receiving yardage will be among the most popular Super Bowl 2021 player props, but don’t ignore Chris Godwin’s.

Kansas City has a good secondary, and it will undoubtedly work to limit a man-eater like Mike Evans. It certainly did in the last meeting, where Evans scored twice, but was held to just 50 yards on nine targets.

With Evans not really doing damage in the middle of the field, Godwin took over that game, dropping 97 yards on Kansas City.

The guy has been busy after the catch during the postseason, too.

I’d imagine the game plan will be similar yet again, while Antonio Brown being banged up or out would only enhance Godwin’s role.

Godwin safely topped 74 receiving yards eight times during the season and torched the Packers for 110 in his last outing. I think he can top 73.5 yards again on Super Bowl Sunday.

Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (-136)

Patrick Mahomes is the biggest star in this game, so it’s only understandable to include some Pat Mahomes props in this post.

One bet I have touched on before and absolutely love is the Over for this 2.5 passing score total.

Mahomes tossed three touchdowns in a win against the Bucs earlier this year, and he put up at least three passing scores in seven contests this year.

The matchup is amazing, as the Bucs have had issues in the secondary all year. It also doesn’t hurt that Mahomes thrives under pressure.

Tampa Bay’s guys up front are really their best path to disrupting Mahomes’ rhythm, but what if he keeps crushing in the face of blitzes?

I don’t think they consistently accomplish that, and after seeing Aaron Rodgers hang three scores on the Bucs in the NFC title game, I think Mahomes follows suit.

Ronald Jones II Over 35.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Leonard Fournette prop bets may be a bit more popular, as he has a more concrete role in Tampa Bay’s offense these days.

I tend to favor 2021 Super Bowl player props dealing with Jones, though.

At one time, he was Tampa Bay’s clear feature back, and the last time he faced the Chiefs, he piled on 66 yards (103 total) and a touchdown.

Fournette is a clear obstacle for ROJO, but he has touched the ball at least 10 times in both playoff games he’s appeared in, and he cleared this rushing yardage total in the Divisional Round.

Jones also topped this rushing yardage mark 10 times in all this season.

If the workload is there, this feels like an easy hill to climb. Luckily, Jones is also rather explosive, so even if he doesn’t get a ton of touches, this yardage count isn’t too high to take a stab at.

Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Interceptions (+145)

While I firmly believe Mahomes is in for a big game during Super Bowl 55, I also think he could end up making a mistake or two.

It wouldn’t necessarily be on him, as the Tampa Bay defense is pretty aggressive. They can generate pressure up front, and their secondary has also been pretty productive in terms of making plays on the ball.

Tampa Bay’s pass defense is burnable, but they make their living on big plays. Namely, they force turnovers, and they’ve stepped up their game against elite quarterbacks.

Here’s some of the damage they’ve inflicted this year.

Quarterback Faced Interceptions
Aaron Rodgers (Jan 24th) 1
Drew Brees (Jan 17th) 3
Aaron Rodgers (Oct 18th) 2
Justin Herbert (Oct 4th) 1

Herbert gets a mulligan, as he’s a rookie, and he actually played exceptionally well in that game.

Rodgers was also fantastic in the NFC title game, but the point is the Bucs have a tendency to get to opposing quarterbacks – even great ones – and force them into mistakes.

With everything heightened on Super Bowl Sunday, don’t be shocked if Mahomes has at least one gaffe. Don’t be afraid to bet on it happening, either.

Tom Brady Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+132)

You can bet on Patrick Mahomes (or against him) all you want, but there’s another quarterback in this game.

That’s none other than the ageless wonder, Tom Brady, who recently suggested he could play well past the age of 45.

It’s wild to think about, but first thing’s first. Much like Mahomes, I think Brady is in for a big game, whether it be due to sheer dominance or necessity.

This is just one of many viable Tom Brady prop bets, of course.

Best Tom Brady Prop Bets for Super Bowl 55

There are a million ways to bet on Super Bowl 55. In the props market alone, the selection is massive. Narrowing the focus to specific bets tied to the Buccaneers starting quarterback, there is no shortage of opportunities. Rather than sift through several...

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You can bet on any number of Super Bowl 2021 player props featuring Tom Brady, but banking on three touchdowns (or more) feels like a solid try at this +132 price.

Brady has surpassed three passing scores in a game eight times this season, and he did it the last time he faced this Chiefs team, too.

That production largely came while Brady was playing catch-up, but your wallet doesn’t care about methods of winning. Brady has the talent to get the job done here, and the price makes it worth a bet.

Travis Kelce to Score a Touchdown (-164)

One of the best player prop bets for the 2021 Super Bowl should be Travis Kelce getting a touchdown.

Has there been a better bet in sports lately? Seriously, Kelce is on a heater, having scored in each of his last six games.

That hot run has Chad Johnson betting on Kelce big, and not just that he’ll score at any point, either.

Kelce has found the end-zone in both of Kansas City’s playoff games, and he actually scored twice in the AFC title game. He didn’t score in the first meeting with the Bucs, but he’s found paydirt in 12 of 17 possible games this season.

The math doesn’t lie. Kelce isn’t just a force in the red-zone, but he’s statistically a good bet to score at least once in the biggest game of the year.

Tom Brady Over 0.5 Interceptions (-180)

I wasn’t picking on Patrick Mahomes when I plugged the Over for his interception count as one of the best Super Bowl 55 player props.

There’s a pretty good chance both quarterbacks crush it in Super Bowl 2021, but I also think there’s a solid chance they also turn the ball over a bit.

Brady may be even more vulnerable, especially if you reflect on his total meltdown in the NFC title game.

Three second-half interceptions (on three consecutive drives) isn’t a good look, while Brady has thrown at least one pick in eight games this year.

He’s also struggled in playoff games lately. Here’s a look at his interceptions thrown in his last six playoff games.

Opponent Interceptions Thrown Result
Packers (Jan 24th) 3 Won
Saints 0 Won
Washington 0 Won
Titans 1 Loss
Rams 1 Won
Chiefs 2 Won

This illustrates Brady’s decline in New England, where he tossed four picks in his final three playoff games with the franchise.

He’s been plenty good with Tampa Bay, but his second-half performance in the NFC Championship game is at the very least troubling.

Kansas City has a good secondary and ranks 6th with 16 interceptions on the year. I think they can get one major error out of Brady on Super Bowl Sunday.

Mike Evans to Score a Touchdown (+120)

There are a ton of player prop bets for the Super Bowl, but I’ll cap things off with one more I absolutely love.

Some Super Bowl 2021 player props are about upside, and others are about fun. This, and a few others listed above, are about flat out converting your bet.

Much like the Travis Kelce prop, I think Evans scoring at least one touchdown is a borderline lock. He put up two scores in this same matchup earlier this year, after all.

Kansas City is good enough in the secondary to limit Evans overall, but he’s basically a mismatch for everyone once you get near the goal-line.

With the stakes so high, there’s just no way Tom Brady doesn’t target his moneymaker when the Bucs get inside the 20. I think he scores at least one touchdown, and this +120 price tag is just too good to pass up.

Betting Player Props for Super Bowl 2021

Above are my favorite 11 player prop bets for Super Bowl 55. I can’t stress enough that they aren’t the only Super Bowl player props worth betting on.

They certainly aren’t the only NFL player prop bets for the 2021 Super Bowl that exist, either.

The amount of possible Super Bowl player props is pretty insane, to be honest. You’d have to have a considerable amount of cash to bet even a tiny amount on every single one.

I don’t really suggest stretching yourself that thin, but it’s the last NFL game of the year. Nobody will blame you for betting on Super Bowl props a bit more than usual, and betting on Super Bowl props in general does make the game much more interesting.

Regardless, I like these 11 Super Bowl 55 player props bets more than most others. If you want to keep the good times going with Super Bowl props, check out some of the posts below.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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