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Best DFS Picks for UFC 259 – Adesanya and Others

| March 3, 2021 11:48 am PDT

The big one is finally here. Don’t get me wrong, UFC 258 was huge, and in just two short months, the UFC has made 2021 a year to remember.

But 259 is where it’s at.

This is a truly stacked card. The big headlining act is obviously the title clash between Jan Blachowicz and Israel Adesanya, but the fact that a Amanda Nunes fight ranks second probably tells you all you need to know about this event.

Oh, and MMA fans get to see Thiago Santos, Drew Dober, Islam Makhachev, Joseph Benavidez, Tim Elliot, Sean Brady, and Dominick Cruz.

When I say stacked, I mean stacked.

One (or three) of these fights are sure to be bumped due to MMA protocol, but as I write this, UFC 259 is set up to deliver.

The question, then, is how can you profit from it? In-house MMA betting expert Adam Haynes has worked hard to provide the latest odds and predictions, and you can catch them at our UFC picks page.

I’ll help with the fantasy side of things. With that, let’s dive into the top MMA DFS picks for UFC 259.

Israel Adesanya ($9.2k)

I’ve been burned by the main event lately, but I’m just going to check off the “not getting cute” box with some of my MMA DFS picks this week.

Adam Haynes breaks it down more eloquently in his Jan Blachowicz vs. Israel Adesanya betting preview, but the simple reality is Adesanya is the vastly superior fighter.

Blachowicz is the current champion, but Adesanya is a vicious striker who has literally never lost. He’s only allowed five of his 20 bouts to end in a Decision win, while his resume is about as good as it gets.

Skill-wise, Adesanya is the guy to side with. He’s also been more dominant, and he’s chasing history, as a win here would put him in select company as a multi-division title winner.

The only hiccup is the change in weight class, which Chael Sonnen highlighted as a potential problem in a breakdown.

Noted, but I don’t expect that to derail Israel here. If he can avoid major punishment, I love him to emerge victorious.

Joseph Benavidez ($7.9k)

Dropping down for a little value, I love the redemption tour narrative for Joseph Benavidez.

It was pretty arguable he suffered from some bad luck in his first loss to Deiveson Figueiredo, and then he worked extremely hard for the rematch, and it just didn’t go his way.

No matter, as 100 losses to Figueiredo will always look good, looking back. 

The nice thing is Benavidez could go overlooked here due to the two straight losses. They came against one of the best fighters in the UFC, though, and he’d won nine of his 10 fights leading into those bouts.

They weren’t cakewalks, either. Benavidez is a well-traveled fighter, scoring wins over Jussier Formiga (twice), Dustin Ortiz (twice), Alex Perez, Tim Elliott, and the big one – Henry Cejudo.

An extremely balanced, versatile, and durable mixed martial artist, Benavidez figures to be a considerable challenge for the technically undefeated Aska Askarov.

It won’t necessarily be easy, but I like the value here, and Benavidez deserves something to break his way after these last two gut-wrenching defeats.

Amanda Nunes ($9.6k)

I love to give you two studs and one value in my MMA DFS picks, which should serve as your core for building winning daily fantasy MMA lineups.

It only makes sense to cap things off with The Lioness, who is a borderline lock to remain the women’s champion when she faces challenger Megan Anderson this weekend.

If you’re planning on betting on UFC, this is one of the biggest fights to consider. For the betting side of it, check out this Amanda Nunes vs. Megan Anderson betting pick.

Spoiler alert; Amanda Nunes is the pick.

She’s one of the best daily fantasy MMA picks for UFC 259, too. The biggest reason is she’s just a monster that is basically unstoppable, as evidenced by her insane 11-fight winning streak.

This lady is a total monster, and she can win however she chooses. Just check out her top five finishes.

Nunes has admittedly cooled down a bit with two Decision wins, but her resume of late still includes finishes of Holly Holm and Cyborg, not to mention a complete 2016 dismantling of Ronda Rousey.

The 32-year old Brazilian has 13 KOs to her name, and it’s very difficult to see the 2020 Female Fighter of the Year being taken out by Megan Anderson.

If you want to dream big, save cash and go for insane upsets via Anderson or Blachowicz. Personally, I’d rather just have them be part of my UFC 259 DFS core.

Top MMA DFS Lineup for UFC 259

  • Israel Adesanya ($9.2k)
  • Joseph Benavidez ($7.9k)
  • Amanda Nunes ($9.6k)
  • Petyr Yan ($8.4k)
  • Drew Dober ($6.8k)
  • Dominick Cruz ($8.1k)

I don’t think my first three MMA DFS picks will raise many eyebrows. Adesanya has never lost and is favored to win, Nunes is an astronomical favorite, and Benavidez’s resume speaks for itself.

They’re all great plays, and if they’re chalky, so bet it.

Things could get interesting from there, but I also love the value with guys like Yan and Cruz.

Yan is on a tear right now and has one Decision loss to his name. Aljamain Sterling is a submission guru that just choked out Cory Sandhagen last summer, but Yan has the edge in striking.

It’s a close call, but I like Yan’s aggressive style a bit more. You can break down the odds for this fight, as well as how each fighter could win in this preview.

Betting Odds and Analysis for Yan vs. Sterling (UFC 259)

Petr Yan vs. Aljamain Sterling is scheduled for UFC 259 on March 6, 2021. I’ll be looking at the early Yan vs. Sterling odds below, as well as providing a little pre-fight analysis of the fight. I’ll be picking out the best odds for Yan and the...

Read More

Cruz is another veteran that is tough to shake. He isn’t in great form with two straight losses, but the 35-year old still has just three defeats in his legendary career.

Another loss here could signal the end of the line, but I’m not sure a Decision loss to Cody Garbrandt or getting finished by Henry Cejudo means he’s totally washed.

It’s also not impossible that it’s just the harsh reality, but this pick is about value.

So is Dober, who is a total flier at a cheap $6.8k. He makes this stacked MMA DFS lineup work, though, and it’s always possible he scores his 11th career knockout here.

Dober is a vicious striker that is back in the good graces of the UFC, thanks to three consecutive wins by stoppage. His lone loss in his last seven fights came to the polished Deneil Bariush, too.

And, I mean, the dude can throw.

His matchup will be regarded as a mismatch, but Dober is surprisingly candid about this potential mistake by DFS gamers and bettors alike.

He’s certainly had some hard times (8 career losses), and there’s no getting around Islam Makhachev’s overall skill-set and floor game.

But if Dober can get to him early and/or keep the fight standing up, he could be a slate-breaker.

Closing Daily Fantasy Advice for UFC 259

I am riding the chalk to the heavens at UFC 259. Obviously it’s an ugly night if either Nunes or Adesanya crumble under the pressure, but I just don’t see that happening.

It does get a bit dicier from there, as it’s always possible I’m just name-dropping my way to failure with the likes of Cruz, Benavidez, and Yan.

Again, I just don’t think that’s the case.

Dober is the only guy that feels truly risky here, and he’s such a vicious striker (and he’s so cheap), that I don’t mind throwing caution to the wind.

Hopefully it leads to a winning lineup that can cash, or even take down a GPP. If you’re not feeling it for your MMA DFS contests, of course, maybe I’ve talked you into backing one or more of these fighters at the best sites for betting on MMA.

Whatever you do, I wish you luck. Enjoy the fights!

Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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