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6 College Football Team Win Totals to Bet on in 2022

| May 24, 2022 12:01 pm PDT
NCCA flag logo, college team logos of Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Clemson, and Michigan

The sportsbooks have begun to release 2022 college football win totals. Not every team has a projection, but we’ll be able to examine the top teams.

We’re all about finding value with NCAA football win totals. Alabama and Ohio State have an excellent chance to go over their win total, but the odds give them little value. We’ll have to look deeper to find better value.

Which teams will exceed expectations, and which will disappoint? Here is my NCAA football win total predictions.

Clemson Tigers Under 10.5 Wins (-105)

It’s interesting to look back on Clemson’s 2021 season because we remember them as disappointing. Everyone expected them to be in the CFP, but a 4-3 start ended their chances. However, they looked strong after finishing the season on a six-game win streak.

We know there’s much turnover in college football with the roster, but Clemson’s coaching staff will look different in 2022. Brandon Streeter and Wes Goodwin will replace Tony Elliott and Brent Venables. Elliott and Venables left Clemson to become head coaches.

Clemson has high expectations in 2022, but their win total could come down to quarterback D.J. Uiagalelei. His struggles were a big storyline in 2021.

DJ Uiagalelei
  • 55.6 completion percentage
  • 2,246 passing yards
  • 9 touchdowns
  • 10 interceptions

He is the primary reason I have Clemson going under their win total. I don’t have much confidence in Uiagalelei following a disappointing 2021 season. Can he prove me wrong?

Clemson can only afford one loss if they want to go over 10.5 wins. A late-season road matchup with Notre Dame could spell trouble. Notre Dame rarely lives up to the hype, but they should defeat Clemson at home.

Playing on the road is always tough in college football. Clemson will have their first road game against Wake Forest on September 24. Clemson had a big victory over Wake Forest last season, so there’ll be extra motivation for them.

A road matchup with Florida State won’t be easy either. Clemson will play Miami at home, but I wouldn’t count them out. Miami could be much better with Mario Cristobal taking over as head coach.

Clemson typically benefits from a weak ACC, but they’ll have more competition in 2022. Head over to Bovada to wager on NCAAF win totals.

Kentucky Wildcats Over 8 Wins (-115)

We’ve long thought of Kentucky as a basketball school, but its football program has been competitive over the last few years. They’ve won a Bowl Game in four straight years and won ten games in 2018 and 2021.

The college football win total odds don’t have Kentucky as a ten-win team, but they could reach that mark. Mark Stoops has helped build Kentucky into a contender. They also have a top-tier quarterback in Will Levis.

In his first season with Kentucky, Levis looked strong, passing for 2,826 yards and 24 touchdowns. He’ll need to cut down on his turnovers, but he should help Kentucky contend in the SEC.

Kentucky lost one of their top offensive players in wide receiver Wan’Dale Robinson, but they’ll have three new receivers for 2022. That’ll be a big boost for Levis.

Kentucky will need to win at least nine games to satisfy this bet. The schedule is in their favor, as they don’t play Alabama or LSU. Check out their toughest games of the 2022 season.

Kentucky logo
  • @ Florida
  • @ Ole Miss
  • @ Tennessee
  • Vs. Georgia

This group of games is vital for Kentucky to go over their win total. I don’t imagine they’ll have an issue in their other games, so they’ll need one victory in this stretch to go over eight wins.

Georgia is the only home matchup from this group, but it’ll be tough to take down the defending National Champions. It’s not impossible, but I’d take Georgia. That leaves Florida, Ole Miss, and Tennessee.

An early-season matchup with Florida is likely their best chance for a road victory. Florida will have a new coach, with Anthony Richardson becoming the full-time quarterback. A slow start should help Kentucky.

Check out the top US sports betting sites to bet on Kentucky.

Michigan Wolverines Under 9.5 Wins (-135)

Michigan was one of the big surprises of the 2021 season. They earned their first win over Ohio State since 2011. They also made the CFP for the first time in school history. There was much to like about their season, but it’ll be tough to replicate that success.

Michigan 2021 success hinged on their dominant defense. Aidan Hutchinson was a Heisman Trophy finalist, while David Ojabo was one of the top edge rushers in college football.

Unfortunately, they won’t have either player as they’ve moved onto the NFL.

Like Clemson, Michigan also lost its coordinators. Josh Gattis will be the Miami OC, while Mike MacDonald will be the DC for the Baltimore Ravens. That’ll make life more challenging for Jim Harbaugh and the Michigan coaching staff.

Those changes have this as one of the best college football win total bets.

Michigan needs three losses for their 2022 college football win total to go under. They’ll play at Ohio State in the season’s final game, so I’m immediately marking that as a loss. Where will we see the other two losses? Here are their toughest games.

Michigan logo
  • @ Iowa
  • Vs. Penn State
  • Vs. Michigan State

The schedule is in Michigan’s favor because of their home matchups. They’ll play Maryland, Penn State, Michigan State, and Nebraska in Ann Arbor.

Obviously, Ohio State will be their toughest road game, but I wouldn’t sleep on Iowa. They’re always a tough team to play at home. I believe they’ll take down Michigan.

Michigan would need to lose against Penn State or Michigan State to go under their NCAA football win totals. Michigan State is the better team, and they’ll play them after a tough matchup with Penn State.

The best football betting websites might not give you the best value for Michigan going under their win total, but I don’t see them winning ten games.

Oklahoma Sooners Over 9 Wins (-135)

I don’t think any team will have more turnover for 2022 than Oklahoma. We expected Spencer Rattler to transfer after losing his starting spot, but Lincoln Riley leaving for USC was a shocker. Then, Caleb Williams left to join Riley at USC.

Many people are likely fading Oklahoma this season, but I’d advise against that. This team should be back in contention with head coach Brent Venables. Venables did a great job rebuilding the roster.

He made additions on both sides of the ball, including adding quarterback Dillon Gabriel. Gabriel had a season-ending injury in 2021, but check out his overall numbers from 2019 and 2020.

Dillon Gabriel
  • 59.7 completion percentage
  • 314.2 passing yards per game
  • 59 touchdowns
  • 13 interceptions

Gabriel will take over as Oklahoma’s starting quarterback after spending three seasons with UCF. His presence gives me confidence in Oklahoma. It might be worth visiting the college football betting sites to check out their National Championship odds.

Oklahoma can only lose two games to satisfy their college football team over-under win total. They don’t have the easiest schedule, but their tough matchups are home games.

They’ll face Baylor and Oklahoma State at home, with a neutral site matchup against Texas. Those are their toughest matchups of the 2022 season. An improved defense should give them a good chance to win all three games.

Texas always comes close to beating Oklahoma, but I don’t see it happening in 2022. For the sake of this bet, let’s give them one loss between Baylor and Oklahoma. We’d have to look for a second loss on the road.

Iowa State or West Virginia could give them trouble, but I don’t see Oklahoma winning both games. Oklahoma going over nine wins should be among your college football win total predictions.

Texas A&M Aggies Over 9 Wins (-115)

Alabama has ruled the SEC for what feels like forever. Every year, there’s a battle between LSU, Georgia, Florida, and others for the second-best team. Georgia was the top dog last season, but Texas A&M could be right there in 2022.

Texas A&M had its moments last season, including beating Alabama. However, inconsistency ruined their chances of making the CFP. Hopefully, they put that behind them because they have the talent to win 9+ games.

Their recruiting class has been at the center of controversy lately, but they have the No. 1 class heading into the season.

We don’t know who will be the starting quarterback this season, but the talent on this roster should excite Texas A&M fans. They have a strong chance to clear their NCAAF win total and compete for a spot in the CFP.

Texas A&M needs two or fewer losses to make this a top college football team to win the total bet. That seems like a tough task, but this roster has enough talent to win ten games.

Let’s check out their toughest games.

Texas A&M logo
  • Vs. Miami
  • Vs. Arkansas
  • @ Alabama
  • Vs. Ole Miss
  • Vs. Florida

I know they beat Alabama last season, but it’ll be tough to do that again, especially in Tuscaloosa. Texas A&M can only have one loss in their other four tough games. Luckily, three are at home, with a neutral site game against Arkansas.

Texas A&M shouldn’t have much of an issue with Miami or Florida. Arkansas and Ole Miss should open the season in the top 25, so you can’t count them out. Both teams defeated Texas A&M last season.

They might lose one game, but both seem like a stretch. The early 2022-23 National Championship odds have Texas A&M as a top contender.

Early Odds for the 2022-23 College Football National Championship

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Texas Longhorns Under 9 Wins (+105)

Every year, the fans and media discuss if Texas is finally back? We’re waiting for them to return to the elites of college football, but it hasn’t happened. There’s hope surrounding their 2022 outlook, but I like the value for their college football win total odds.

Texas jumped out to a 4-1 start last season, but a six-game losing streak ended any hopes of competing. If Texas competes, it’ll be because of running back Bijan Robinson.

Bijan Robinson
  • 195 carries
  • 1,127 rushing yards
  • 11 touchdowns

Those represent his numbers from the 2021 season. He cleared 100 yards six times, including a career-high 216 yards against TCU. Ultimately, I don’t think his performance will be enough to push Texas over nine wins.

Should we expect Texas to go 10-2? The sportsbooks must think so, but I’m not buying into the hype. There’s a chance they don’t open the season in the top 25. They’ll need some luck to score ten wins.

Texas will have its annual matchup with Oklahoma. I’ve marked that as a victory for Oklahoma so that Texas will take the loss in that matchup. They’ll have a marquee matchup early in the season against Alabama.

Texas will have the pleasure of being the home team, but a victory over Alabama? That gives them two losses in their first six games.

Their schedule lightens up down the stretch, but they’ll have their hands full with Oklahoma State and Baylor. Those teams played in last year’s Big 12 Championship and should be competitive.

The Oklahoma State game will be on the road, so I don’t have much hope. Honestly, it wouldn’t surprise me if they lost at home against Baylor.

Taking the under on Texas’ win total should be one of your college football win total picks.

Looking at the College Football Win Totals in 2022

Theoretically, it should be easier to predict win totals in football because there are fewer games. However, we make these predictions with the season over three months away. We have no idea what’ll happen in the future.


I feel confident with my 2022 college football win totals, but I encourage everyone to do their research before making any bets.

Bettors can visit our college football betting advice page for any assistance with college football betting.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with GamblingSites.com since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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