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Best Bets for UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira – Rothwell to Beat Saint Preux and More

| May 8, 2020 8:30 am PDT
UFC Fight Night Anthony Smith vs. Glover Teixeira

It’s time to start thinking about your bets for Smith vs. Teixeira and the other big fights at UFC on ESPN 9 this coming Wednesday, May 13.

All eyes will be on the headline bout, where former UFC light heavyweight challenger Anthony Smith aims to take one step closer to Jon Jones with a win. Lionheart goes up against MMA veteran Glover Teixeira, who will be planning to make it four wins from his previous four fights.

The top UFC betting sites have some very interesting odds for Smith vs. Teixeira, as well as numerous other markets for the rest of the bouts on the night.

Ben Rothwell vs. Ovince Saint Preux is the co-main event, and that is just one of three other fights I have bets to recommend for. 

So, grab yourself a drink, and I’ll walk you through the UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira best bets as I see them.

Smith to Beat Teixeira

  • Odds of -163 available at Betway

Anthony Smith is on a mission to get his hands on another shot at Jon Jones’ UFC light heavyweight strap. In order to keep these dreams alive, he will need to get past Glover Teixeira.

This headline bout could be a very interesting one from a betting perspective. Smith is the favorite with the bookies, and on account of a nine-year age advantage — as well a better resume and all-round skillset — I don’t think there will be too many arguments about that at all.

With that said, Teixeira is not to be slept on. He has strung three consecutive wins together, beating Karl Roberson, Ion Cutelaba, and Nikita Krylov to thrust himself up the ladder. As unthinkable as it might sound now, a win over Smith could have him feeling confident enough to knock on the champ’s door.

But I don’t see things going that way. Smith is too young, fast, and athletic for Teixeira. More than this, he has the type of power to get the job done over the 40-year-old. Providing he enters the Octagon fully fit and with the right gameplan, he wins this fight.

While the championship rounds would show the best of the difference between Smith and Teixeira, I can’t see this fight making it past Round 3. This one ends with Smith stopping the Brazilian in that very same round.

Rothwell to Beat Saint Preux

  • Odds of +125 available at Bovada

In the strangest matchup of the evening, Ovince Saint Preux makes his heavyweight debut against “Big Ben” Rothwell.

This might not be seen as the worst matchup for Saint Preux on paper, but I have a feeling that the decision to accept the fight might come back to bite him on the ass. Even though both men are around the same height, Rothwell is going to be stronger than any other fighter he has faced before.

Sure, Rothwell is a much slower fighter than Saint Preux, but he still has the power to cause damage. Whether he can connect with OSP remains to be seen, but if he does, it could be the 29 knockouts in 38 fights for the Wisconsin native. 

Nonetheless, Saint Preux will fancy his chances of using his movement to navigate around the dangers Rothwell poses. But given his lack of power in striking, he’s going to need to be smart in this one. Yes, he has a great submission game, but he’s not going to keep a guy as big as Rothwell off his back for long.

The big difference between these two men is power, and Rothwell has it. Providing he can get close enough to cause damage, Rothwell wins this fight inside the distance. 

Hernandez to Beat Dober

Alexander Hernandez has a tough challenge ahead of him on Wednesday night in the form of Drew Dober.

The UFC matchmakers have got it right this time around. These two lightweights will certainly put on a show for fans, and I’m predicting this one to win the Fight of the Night.

Interestingly enough, this could also be a fight where both men show just how adaptable they are.

Hernandez was initially set to fight Islam Makhachev at UFC 249 in April, only for Makhachev to pull out due to travel restrictions. Omar Morales stepped in to take his place, but the event was pulled at the last minute. Dober was also preparing for another opponent in Carlos Diego Ferreira, only for the May 2 card to be scratched as well. 

Hernandez is probably best known to fans for the beating he took from Donald Cerrone after treating Cowboy to some very disrespectful trash talk. However, he also has wins over Beneil Dariush, Olivier Aubin-Mercier, and Francisco Trinaldo in the UFC.

Dober has been on the UFC books since 2014 and has enjoyed a fairly solid showing to date. Stoppage wins over Marco Polo Reyes and Nasrat Haqparast put him in a position to make it three from three should he beat Hernandez. 

Unfortunately for Dober, I see Hernandez as having too much for him. He is simply better all-round. I’m not a huge fan of MMA math, but it’s worth pointing out that Dober lost to Dariush and Aubin-Mercier, who Hernandez has victories over.

I’ll be interested to see if The Great can get the submission in this fight. Dober’s last three losses have ended in this manner, and I think he might be looking at four losses by sub in four fights when he takes to the cage against Hernandez.

Simon to Beat Borg

Ray Borg is looking to tear it up in the bantamweight division once more this coming Wednesday. 

Borg will be looking to make it three wins in a row against Simon, who won’t exactly be rolling over. The smaller of the two, Borg is also the underdog in what will be his first fight of the year.

Having struggled with making weight on several occasions, the move up to bantamweight might be a good idea. Even if he missed the 135-pound threshold against Casey Kenney in March 2019, he stands a much better chance of getting it consistently right at this weight class.

Borg comes into this fight following wins against Gabriel Silva and Rogerio Bontorin. The former flyweight contender is 1-1 at bantamweight and will be looking to make 135 pounds his home but might have his mind changed if he loses this fight.

Simon is 0-2 in his last couple of bouts. The 27-year-old lost by decision to Rob Font in December and was knocked out by Urijah Gaber in July. Not great for the confidence levels at all.

This bout will be very important for Simon. I believe a loss could have him staring down the barrel of a UFC exit, so he will need to throw everything at getting the win. And I think he will get what he’s after.

Although Borg has top wrestling skills, Simon holds the advantages in size and reach. He is two inches taller than Borg and enjoys a six-inch reach advantage that could come in very handy on the night.

Simon wins this fight by outworking Borg on the outside. I’m not expecting it to be the most exciting fight on the card, however.

Final Words

If you’re betting on UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira, the four bets above are certainly worth thinking about.

Smith, Rothwell, Hernandez, and Simon are my picks for what should be the four most important fights of the evening. But there are more fights on this rare Wednesday night card, and you can check them out on a recent piece I have done predicting the winners at UFC on ESPN 9.

You can also check out my Anthony Smith vs. Glover Teixeira preview, where I give a detailed explanation of why I like Smith for this fight.

With that, my time here is done. Enjoy the fights!

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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