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Anthony Smith vs. Glover Teixeira Betting Preview With Prediction, Odds, and Pick
What a wild time it is to be a fight fan. I mean, UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira will go down four days after UFC 249, and just three before another card headlined by Alistair Overeem vs. Walt Harris. Crazy, considering we have had no fights in such a long time, and now we get a bunch of them at once.
It kind of reminds me of that old saying involving a long wait for a bus to show up, only for three to arrive at the same time. But Anthony Smith and Glover Teixeira will not mind one bit, given that they get the headline slot in Jacksonville, Florida, on Wednesday, May 13, albeit behind closed doors.
This light heavyweight scrap is more than worthy of the headline slot at the Jacksonville Arena and should go down as one of the best bouts of all three UFC events in the pipeline. Smith is looking to build on a career-best win over Alexander Gustafsson, while Teixeira is chasing his fourth victory on the bounce.
I’m going to break this fight down for you today and take a close look at the Anthony Smith vs. Glover Teixeira odds and best bets. More than this, I will explain, in detail, why I have made my pick for this fight.
But first of all, here’s my Smith vs. Teixeira prediction.
Smith vs. Teixeira – Who Wins?
- Anthony Smith via KO/TKO
Smith enters this contest with the confidence of beating elite light heavyweight Alexander Gustafsson in June 2019.
Prior to that fight, he went the distance with a UFC light heavyweight champion, Jon Jones. If not for Smith’s insistence on fighting on after Jones landed an illegal knee when he was floored, Smith could arguably still be the champion right now.
Teixeira’s career trajectory in the UFC has been up and down. Yes, he is 3-0 in his last three but has never been able to step up against the truly elite fighters in the division. And as things stand, Smith is top-notch.
I’ll explain more later, but first, let’s see how the odds look for this fight.
Latest Smith vs. Teixeira Odds
Smith enters the contest as the -165 favorite.
With a record of 4-1 since moving up to light heavyweight — with the only loss so far to Jones in March 2019 — Smith has taken to the 205-pound ranks like a duck to water. He is currently ranked as the third-best contender in the division.
Teixeira is the +135 underdog in this contest. It’s fair to say that the 40-year-old veteran has probably seen better days, but having strung three wins together, one more against Smith could push him towards an eliminator fight for a crack at the title.
I think the odds here are pretty much what I was expecting. Smith is the younger guy, has beaten the better opposition recently, and has edges over Teixeira that will be evident on the night.
With that said, Teixeira is still a dangerous matchup for Smith. If “Lionheart” fails to give him the respect he deserves, he could be looking at an upset.
More on this a little later. Let’s take a look at the top bets for Smith vs. Teixeira first.
Best Smith vs. Teixeira Bets
When I heard this was confirmed, my immediate reaction was that it could be a very interesting one. But in terms of the winner, Smith should get it done.
Two of the three best bets for Smith vs. Teixeira, at least in my opinion, are on Smith winning. But as the prop odds have yet to be released for the fights, I can’t give you an accurate representation of prices just yet.
That said, these odds should be released a few days before the fight is scheduled to happen, so keep your eyes peeled on our recommended betting sites for those.
Smith to Win
Smith to win the fight (-165) is probably the safest bet that you can place on the headline bout of this card.
The American is the better fighter of the two, and the moneyline reflects this. You would put down $165 to make a $100 profit, which isn’t that bad at all. In fact, I can see the odds shortening the closer we get to the fight, for a few different reasons.
For one, Smith’s popularity grew massively among fans for pushing Jon Jones hard in their fight last year. And when they are aware that he is fighting, the majority of bets will be on Smith beating Teixeira.
Let’s not forget the win over Gustafsson, too.
But more than this, I’m backing Smith to win because he is young, fast, and powerful. A combination of qualities that Teixeira might struggle against.
Smith by KO/TKO
Speaking of speed and power, Smith has seven stoppages in his last seven wins, five ended by shots.
Smith is 7-3 in his last ten fights, with the only loss not to go the distance suffered against Thiago Santos in 2018. Even though he likes to fight aggressively and in the pocket, he has a solid chin.
A creative striker, Smith will get to Teixeira on account of his speed and intelligent setups, but is he powerful enough to hand the Brazilian his fourth knockout career loss in 18 years?
I think he can follow in the footsteps of Eric Schwartz and Anthony Johnson and do just that.
Fight to End in Round 3
You should get some good odds on this bet, and it’s definitely one to add to your list.
Smith is the younger, more powerful, and more dynamic fighter of the two but will not be throwing himself into shots for the sake of it. As Teixeira is now 40 and slowing down, presumably, he will be looking to wear him down over the course of the fight.
The Brazilian is a second-degree BJJ blackbelt with a pretty strong chin. But these skills will lose their edge once the gas tank goes. Teixeira has only been five rounds twice in his career and lost both.
Smith can periodically break him down and finish him in the third.
Why Smith Beats Teixeira
Anthony Smith looked on course for a career as a journeyman, having been released by the UFC after just one fight, in 2013.
After a period of bouncing between different promotions, the Texan’s career came to life in 2014 as he embarked on a seven-fight streak that saw him recruited by Dana White and co. for the second time.
Since then, Smith has gone 8-3 in the promotion. But when he moved up a division to light heavyweight, his true potential was found. Smith is now a fight or two away from a second title shot and will be ultra-prepared for all that Teixeira has to throw at him. The question is, will it be enough?
The Brazilian does have 17 KOs from 30 wins, but just four of those — against Misha Cirkunov, Rashad Evans, Patrick Cummins, and Ryan Bader — have been achieved in the past seven years. But his KO loss record, which reads just three in 18 years, makes Smith’s task that more difficult.
Where the Fight Will Be Won
This is a matchup that will come down to smarts.
So, who can manage their energy reserves more efficiently? Who can better execute the basics of their gameplan without being interrupted by the other? Who has the stamina and endurance to go the full five rounds, if needs be?
In my opinion, that guy is Anthony Smith. Not only does he have the advantages in age, speed, and pop, but his last two fights were a five-round battle against the greatest light heavyweight of all time (Jones) and a submission win over one of the very best the division has seen (Gustafsson).
Teixeira is approaching the end of his career and is doing a great job of showing that there is life in the old dog yet. But Smith represents a jump in class from the likes of Karl Roberson, Ion Cuțelaba, and Nikita Krylov. Not to take anything away from those wins, but Smith is a much tougher prospect than them all.
I can’t see this one realistically ending in a win for Teixeira, but he should give a good account of himself. But ultimately, Smith will get to him somewhere in the third round and end the contest with strikes.
Anthony Smith by KO/TKON/A
Will Smith Beat Texeira on Wednesday?
I’m not talking about Will Smith beating Teixeira, as that would be probably the biggest headline in MMA history if it happened. It would also confirm, without question, that the world has officially lost its mind.
Rather, I’m asking will SMITH beat Teixeira? This is a question for you, of course, as you have my answer above. It goes without saying that whether you think Smith or Teixeira will win, you can check out the odds on our recommended UFC betting sites. See what takes your fancy.
And don’t forget to keep an eye on the MMA portion of our blog. We have a packed schedule ahead of us over the course of the next week, and you will find all kinds of betting material dedicated to this huge fight week.
Thanks for reading, and enjoy the fights!