Amanda Nunes vs. Felicia Spencer Betting Preview – Nunes a Clear Favorite Over Spencer

| May 20, 2020 2:03 am PST
Amanda Nunes vs. Felicia Spencer for June 6, 2020

Bonafide badass Amanda Nunes defends her featherweight title against Felicia Spencer on the headline slot of UFC 250 on Saturday, June 6.

Nunes is a heavy favorite to beat Spencer on our recommended UFC betting sites, which should not surprise anyone. A reigning champion of the women’s 135 and 145 pound divisions — as well as the consensus number one pound-for-pound fighter in women’s MMA — The Lionness is as dominant in this sport as you will get.

Spencer takes a record of just 8-1 into a fight against arguably the greatest female fighter of all time. But the Canadian — a former Invicta FC featherweight champion — will be keen to prove that she is no walkover.

Having gone the distance with the absolute savage that is Cris Cyborg in July 2019, Spencer’s stock raised significantly. Just a couple of months earlier she submitted fellow former Invicta featherweight champion Megan Anderson to general acclaim. But can she match Nunes?

Well, today I’m going to attempt to answer that question. More so, in this Nunes vs. Spencer betting preview, I’ll be taking you through all you need to know about this fight — this includes the best Nunes vs. Spencer bets, a little breakdown of both fighters and what they bring to the cage, and, of course, the odds for UFC 250’s headline fight.

But before I do any of that, here’s my prediction for Nunes vs. Spencer.

Nunes vs. Spencer – Who Wins?

  • Amanda Nunes to Win by KO/TKO

Nunes is a special fighter that has beaten every single elite female fighter on the planet at least once. 

I will admit to backing against Nunes on a couple of occasions in the past, and I paid the price for it. But over the past few years, the 31-year-old has proven her class again and again. 

If you are betting on Spencer to beat Nunes at UFC 250, you will be backing an underdog. More than this, you will be betting on one of the biggest upsets in the history of the promotion, and that is saying something.

I’ll explain what I mean a little later. First, let’s look at the odds for UFC 250’s headline scrap.

Latest Nunes vs. Spencer Odds

Amanda Nunes-500
Felicia Spencer+350

In terms of value, what are the odds for Nunes to beat Spencer at UFC 250 compared to her last few fights? 

Well, get this — Nunes opened at around -400 in her UFC 245 rematch with inaugural UFC featherweight champion Germaine de Randamie in December. I saw them close at -2500 at one particular bookie, which is crazy. Nunes went on to win the fight by decision.

Prior to that scrap, Nunes closed at -465 to beat former women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm, having opened at -325. It took Nunes less than one round to stop Holm by TKO.

And against the legendary Cris Cyborg at UFC 232, Nunes closed at +138, having opened at +230. In this fight — perhaps the most impressive performance of her career to date — Nunes registered a huge upset by knocking out the 145-pound champion to take the title.

Spencer opened as the -625 favorite, closing at -1010 against Zarah Fairn in February. She won by way of a first-round TKO.

Against Cyborg, she closed at +300, having opened at +305. She would go on to lose to the hard-hitting Brazilian on the judges’ scorecards.

The Canadian opened as a +125 underdog against Megan Anderson on her UFC debut in May, closing at +167 in a fight she would go on to win by way of submission in the first round.

After analyzing the odds, I think Nunes should be priced slightly shorter with Spencer’s price a little higher. The double champion has found a way past the greatest female fighters of her era and should have too much for Spencer.

More than this, the bookmakers have marked her as an underdog in seven from thirteen bouts in the promotion. Despite this, her record is 12-1 in the UFC.

There is bound to be a few punters putting money down on a shock win for Spencer on that price, but I’m not sure it is worth it. She deserves to be a significant underdog in this fight, especially given Nunes’ incredible record in the promotion.

Let’s take a look at a few bets to make on Nunes vs. Spencer, and I’ll explain what I mean.

Best Nunes vs. Spencer Bets

At the time of writing, the UFC 250 prop bets have not been released by the bookies. That means I cannot share any odds with you for some of the bets below. 

However, what I can do is point you towards the markets to look at when betting on this fight. You might be reading this a little closer to fight night when the odds are available. As we get close to the fight, I will also be covering some of the best Nunes vs. Spencer props, so you won’t miss out.

Anyway, here are the best Nunes vs. Spencer bets in my eyes. Take a look.

Nunes to Win

Nunes is the -500 favorite ahead of this bout, and on account of both her popularity and ruthlessness, you can expect those odds to considerably shorten ahead of June 6.

Make no mistake, the most likely scenario in this fight is a win for Nunes. At the risk of repeating myself, her record is absolutely effing phenomenal. She has beaten almost every bonafide legend of women’s MMA — Cyborg, de Randamie (twice), Holm, Shevchenko (twice), Ronda Rousey, Miesha Tate, as well as some other high-end competitors.

While Spencer is a tough nut to crack, Nunes is on another level. She is not invincible, sure, but she is as close to unbeatable as they come in women’s MMA.

Nunes to Win by KO/TKO

There is no woman in the sport as potent on their feet as Nunes. 

If there are any healthy-minded doubters still out there after she battered Cris Cyborg to pieces in one round back in December 2018 — the first and only loss Cyborg has suffered since her professional debut in 2005 — I would be surprised.

Betting on Nunes to knock Spencer out will be popular with punters. The champ has the advantages on the feet and a style that Spencer will find it very difficult to live with.

Spencer is tough and has decent striking skills. But Nunes’ pitch-perfect boxing and movement will be too much for the Canadian on the night.

Nunes to Win in Round 1

Nunes’ explosive style, cutting power, and sharpshooting accuracy are going to pose a lot of problems for Spencer.

The champion’s prowess at range will back Spencer up against the cageside, where she will find control of the fight. It will be here where Spencer’s inexperience will play against her, forcing her into mistakes where Nunes can capitalize.

Once Spencer feels the force behind Nunes’ shots, she will be in big trouble. And just like Germaine de Randamie, Miesha Tate, Ronda Rousey, Cris Cyborg, and Holly Holm before her, I can see the Canadian being finished in the first round.

Why Nunes Wins This Fight

Let me start by saying this — I think Felicia Spencer has looked very good in her UFC career so far. At 8-1, with her only loss to Cris Cyborg by decision, Spencer’s resume is solid.

As a featherweight competing in the female ranks, there are a few options available to her. All roads would eventually lead to Amanda Nunes, and this is where she will find herself on June 6. Whether she is ready for the champ will be something we will find out on the night.

But on the balance of things, would a couple of additional fights really help Spencer? The women’s 145-pound division is a pretty shallow pool, as evidenced by Spencer fighting Cyborg before taking on the unranked Zarah Fairn Dos Santos, who had previously lost to Megan Anderson.

The simple answer here is that it’s going to be difficult for Spencer to prepare for Nunes, period. The champ is an extraordinarily smart and well-rounded fighter that has improved in leaps and bounds over the past four years or so, sharpening the raw tools she exhibited in her early days in the promotion into the fearsome weaponry we know today.

Who Has the Advantages?

Nunes clearly has the advantage on the feet. A precise boxer with excellent distance management and control, Nunes works shots in from all kinds of angles from at range. 13 of her 19 wins have come by way of KO/TKO, which backs up her claim to have serious pop to her shots.

When it comes to wrestling, it will be interesting to see how these two mix things up. Nunes’ takedown accuracy is 47% per every 15 minutes fought, but her wrestling had markedly improved over the past few years. Her takedown accuracy is 80%, and I believe she has only ever been taken down twice in the UFC. 

Spencer’s takedown accuracy is 16%, while her takedown defense is non-existent at 0%. Although she has a black belt in judo, her wrestling will be tested to the full degree against the explosive and wily Nunes.

Both fighters have black belts in BJJ. Nunes has three career submissions, with Spencer having one more at four. But in reality, Spencer has yet to fight anyone with Nunes’ prowess on the ground.

Where the Fight Will Be Won

Nunes has the technique and power to finish this fight on the feet. Yes, Spencer put up a good showing against Cris Cyborg for three rounds in July 2019, but Nunes will be a different beast altogether.

Nunes has effectively dismantled taller, rangier strikers than Spencer in the past. Fighters like de Randamie, Holm, and, of course, Cyborg. While Spencer has relied on her size and frame in the past, it won’t cut it against Nunes.

I can see the champ taking control of the center of the Octagon, and combinations of straight, precise shots down the center line and some explosive, cutting hooks that force Spencer back. Once Nunes has her backed up against the fence, she will pretty much have things her own way.

I’m predicting a first-round knockout for Amanda Nunes.

Pick
  • Amanda Nunes by First Round KO/TKO
    N/A

Wrapping It Up

Amanda Nunes is looking to continue her reign of terror over women’s MMA at UFC 250 when she steps into the cage against Felicia Spencer.

Spencer will be facing one of the greatest fighters of recent times, regardless of gender, but is unlikely to have an answer to Nunes’ gameplan. Naturally, she has a chance as long as she is in there, but a win for the challenger would be a major shock.

Make sure to keep your eyes peeled for more UFC 250 bets, odds, news, and predictions ahead of a big night of fights on June 6. Or you could just bookmark the UFC section of our blog and make life a little easier for yourself.

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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